Subaru Stakes 2026:An In-Depth Analysis of Key Contenders for the Kyoto Dirt 1400m

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Key Takeaways

  • ●The Subaru Stakes is set for Jan 10, 2026, at Kyoto Racecourse over 1400m on dirt.
  • ●The course’s turf start and layout favor front-runners from wide gates, demanding speed and stamina.
  • ●Top contenders Bidaya, Star Turn, Trillion Boy, and Continual are analyzed for pedigree and form.
  • ●Bidaya is a strong favorite, returning to a preferred distance, while Star Turn partners with top jockey Masahisa Kawada.

Race & Course Overview

Race Details

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Kyoto Racecourse, Race 11

Conditions: Dirt 1400m (Right-handed)

Class: Weight for Age

Kyoto 1400m Course

The course’s unique turf start benefits speedy, wide-drawn horses. A fast early pace is common, but the downhill section into the homestretch demands sustained speed and power. Adaptability to Kyoto’s characteristically light dirt is a crucial success factor.

Top Contenders

1st Favorite

Bidaya

Colt / 5 years old

1.7x Odds

Jockey: Ryusei Sakai

The overwhelming favorite, Bidaya returns to his preferred 1400m distance after a disappointing run in the Musashino Stakes. His sire, Real Steel, has produced successful dirt runners suited to Kyoto’s light surface. With excellent training performances and top condition, he is a strong candidate for a comeback victory.

Sire: Real Steel   Dam’s Sire: Sing Spree   Stable: Ritto/Yoshito Yahagi

2nd Favorite

Star Turn

Colt / 5 years old

4.2x Odds

Jockey: Masahisa Kawada

Star Turn’s inherent ability is considered top-tier. His last race was hampered by being boxed in, but his condition has since improved. His speed-rich pedigree (Greater London x Snitzel) suggests strong suitability for a 1400m contest. With the skilled Masahisa Kawada aboard, a smooth run could lead to victory.

Sire: Greater London   Dam’s Sire: Snitzel   Stable: Ritto/Tomoyasu Sakaguchi

3rd Favorite

Trillion Boy

Colt / 4 years old

9.7x Odds

Jockey: Yasunari Iwata

Currently on a winning streak after a powerful victory in the Mikage Stakes, this is Trillion Boy’s first race in open class. While the trainer expresses caution, this prime four-year-old cannot be underestimated. His sire, Make Believe, produces solid dirt performers, making him capable of handling the Kyoto course.

Sire: Make Believe   Dam’s Sire: Ruler Ship   Stable: Miho/Ryo Takei

Dark Horse

Continual

Colt / 6 years old

? Odds

Jockey: Yuichi Kitamura

A proven performer with inconsistent recent form. The stable is hoping for a turnaround with the addition of blinkers, suggesting a potential for significant improvement. As a Drefong offspring with a strong track record, he could surprise if he regains his true form.

Sire: Drefong   Dam’s Sire: King Kamehameha   Stable: Ritto/Yoshito Yahagi

Final Predictions & Further Reading

Combine this analysis with AI forecasts and professional insights to inform your final betting strategy. Check netkeiba for the complete prediction.👉 View AI Prediction on netkeiba

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