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Maiden Race Deep Dive: Jan 10, 2026:Orion Blade & Parfait: Poised for a Breakout?

January 9, 2026 / Updated January 9, 2026

As we approach the 3-year-old maiden races on Saturday, January 10, 2026, we bring you the latest insights and betting angles. A new crop of talented prospects from the 2023 foal crop are making their debuts. We’ll break down the top contenders at Nakayama and Kyoto, analyzing their training, pedigree, and AI-powered predictions.

Key Takeaways
1. Nakayama Races
2. Kyoto & AI Insights
Nakayama 4R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1800m)
1. Featured: Parfait & Earth Axis
2. AI Dark Horse: Ganymede
Nakayama 5R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Turf 2000m)
Kyoto 3R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1400m)
1. Featured: Holy Step
2. AI Dark Horse: Wide Gunsa
AI Prediction Summary
Final Predictions & Picks
Related Articles
1. ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

Key Takeaways

Nakayama Races

4R Dirt 1800m: Parfait and Earth Axis are top contenders. Ganymede is the AI-recommended dark horse.
5R Turf 2000m: Orion Blade, Intanon, and Run the World are the ones to watch in a high-class field.

Kyoto & AI Insights

3R Dirt 1400m: Holy Step is a strong favorite after impressive training. Wide Gunsa is a high-value sleeper pick.
AI Predictions: Our analysis integrates AI win probability and expected value to identify prime betting opportunities.

Nakayama 4R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1800m)

A true test of power and stamina. Keep an eye on the well-trained horses and our AI picks.

Featured: Parfait & Earth Axis

Parfait (Filly, Miya Stables)
Sire: Le Vent Se Leve | Dam’s Sire: Empire Maker
With a classic dirt pedigree, Parfait shows impressive movement in training and looks ready to fire first-time out. The AI gives her a strong 25.5% win probability, making her a central figure in this race.

Earth Axis (Filly, Kurita Stables)
Sire: Drefong | Dam’s Sire: Kurofune
This Drefong filly combines speed and power. The cross with Kurofune is known for producing versatile winners. The AI projects a race-high 31.0% win probability, and she’s expected to justify her 3.4 projected odds.

AI Dark Horse: Ganymede

Ganymede (Filly, Kimura Stables)
Sire: Drefong | Dam’s Sire: King Kamehameha
While Parfait and Earth Axis will attract most of the attention, Ganymede scores top marks in our AI’s “Expected Value” metric. Her Drefong x King Kamehameha bloodline offers plenty of underlying strength, making her an excellent value bet.

Nakayama 5R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Turf 2000m)

A key prep for the classics. This race is stacked with high-potential runners.

Orion Blade (Colt, Yahagi Stables)
Sire: Silver State | Dam’s Sire: Zoffany
Showing improvement with every workout, he clocked an impressive 52.2s (last furlong in 12.6s) at Ritto training track on Jan 7, beating his workmate. His readiness and speed are top-class. The AI rates him highly for both win probability and value.

Intanon (Colt, Hori Stables)
Sire: Kitasan Black | Dam’s Sire: Taiki Shuttle
Demonstrated exceptional ability in a late December workout at Miho, outperforming older horses (65.5s for 5 furlongs, last in 11.6s). He combines the powerful stride of a Kitasan Black colt with the speed of Taiki Shuttle. Unquestionable talent.

Run the World (Filly, Miya Stables)
Sire: Contrail | Dam’s Sire: Custom for Carlos
A highly anticipated debutante from the first crop of Triple Crown winner Contrail. Her pedigree is outstanding, and the meticulous preparation from Miya Stables means she should be ready to perform at her best.

Kyoto 3R: 3-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1400m)

Speed is paramount in this dirt sprint. One horse posted a blistering time in training.

Featured: Holy Step

Holy Step (Filly, Saito Stables)
Sire: Danon Kingly | Dam’s Sire: Cape Cross
She clocked a blazing final furlong of 11.8s at Ritto on Jan 7—the fastest of the day. This is an extraordinary turn of foot for a debutante, a time that would be competitive against experienced horses. If she handles the race pace, she has the potential to win decisively.

AI Dark Horse: Wide Gunsa

Wide Gunsa (Colt, Shono Stables)
Sire: New Year’s Day | Dam’s Sire: Novellist
Our AI flagged this colt with an “Expected Value of 100,” making him a special mention. He’s shown tenacity in training against older horses, suggesting he’s a true competitor. At projected odds around 8.4, he offers maximum betting appeal.

AI Prediction Summary

Race	Horse	Sex/Age	Stables	Sire	Dam’s Sire	AI Prediction (Win%/Value)	Notes
Nakayama 4R Dirt 1800m	Parfait	F3	Miya	Le Vent Se Leve	Empire Maker	Win 25.5%	Elite dirt pedigree, ready to go
Nakayama 4R Dirt 1800m	Earth Axis	F3	Kurita	Drefong	Kurofune	Win 31.0% (Top)	Speed & power, expected favorite
Nakayama 4R Dirt 1800m	Ganymede	F3	Kimura	Drefong	King Kamehameha	Top-class Value	Dark horse with great odds
Nakayama 5R Turf 2000m	Orion Blade	C3	Yahagi	Silver State	Zoffany	High Win% & Value	Excellent prep, top speed
Nakayama 5R Turf 2000m	Intanon	C3	Hori	Kitasan Black	Taiki Shuttle	–	Powerful stride, high potential
Nakayama 5R Turf 2000m	Run the World	F3	Miya	Contrail	Custom for Carlos	–	Contrail’s first crop, well-prepped
Kyoto 3R Dirt 1400m	Holy Step	F3	Saito	Danon Kingly	Cape Cross	–	Blazing workout, sharp acceleration
Kyoto 3R Dirt 1400m	Wide Gunsa	C3	Shono	New Year’s Day	Novellist	Value 100	Tough competitor, huge betting appeal

Final Predictions & Picks

For our final selections and recommended bets, see the full breakdown where we combine AI data with professional analysis.View This Week’s Final Picks

ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

専門分野: AIを使った競馬予想。生成AIを使ったコンテンツ作成

実績・資格:

主な活動実績 AI競馬マスターズ2023: 3位入賞俺プロ: 馬将認定参考成績（中央）: https://yoso.netkeiba.com/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562 参考成績（地方）: https://yoso.netkeiba.com/nar/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562