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Kawasaki Milers 2025: Reigning Champ vs. Resurgent Veteran

January 1, 2026

On January 3rd, 2026, the Kawasaki Racecourse hosts the prestigious Kawasaki Milers (S3). This preview breaks down the key factors in the showdown between the remarkably consistent Gold Legacy and the resurgent veteran, Alain Barows. We’ll dive deep into each contender’s pedigree, recent form, and the potential race dynamics.

Key Takeaways

  • ✓The Kawasaki Milers on Jan 3, 2026, is shaping up as a two-horse race between Gold Legacy and Alain Barows.
  • ✓Gold Legacy boasts incredible consistency, having finished in the top three in his last 11 starts.
  • ✓Alain Barows is expected to lead from the start at his favored Kawasaki mile course and could be difficult to catch.
  • ✓The race hinges on whether Gold Legacy’s powerful closing kick can run down the front-running Alain Barows.

Table of Contents

  1. Predicted Odds & Betting Trends
  2. Contender Analysis: Pedigree & Form
    1. Gold Legacy (8YO Stallion, Ooi)
    2. Alain Barows (8YO Stallion, Funabashi)
    3. Sea Serpent (6YO Stallion, Urawa)
  3. Pace Analysis & Race Strategy
  4. Final Verdict: See the Pro Picks

Predicted Odds & Betting Trends

Based on recent performance data, the betting market is expected to heavily favor proven contenders. While it’s a competitive field with three horses likely in single-digit odds, the spotlight is firmly on the duel between Gold Legacy and Alain Barows.

RankHorse NamePredicted Odds
1st FavoriteGold Legacy3.0
2nd FavoriteAlain Barows3.4
3rd FavoriteDonagine3.8
4th FavoriteArms Rain13.3

Contender Analysis: Pedigree & Form

An in-depth look at the pedigree and recent training performance of the top contenders.

Gold Legacy (8YO Stallion, Ooi)

SireGold AllureDamBel Air Sizzle (by Unusual Heat)

Analysis:
In his last start at the Mile Grand Prix (S2), he closed well on a heavy track to finish just 0.4 seconds behind the winner—a solid performance. Excluding a trip to Sonoda, he has finished in the money (top 3) in his last 11 consecutive starts, showcasing exceptional consistency. He also loves this track, with a win and a second-place finish in two previous starts at the Kawasaki 1600m.

Recent Training:
In a December 27th workout on the farm’s uphill track, he was pushed for a “strong gallop,” clocking 37.9-24.5-12.1. The stable commented, “He has been tuned up perfectly for this target race,” indicating he is entering in peak condition.

Alain Barows (8YO Stallion, Funabashi)

SireHenny HughesDamCasarosada (by Stay Gold)

Analysis:
The former Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushun winner returns to the scene of his greatest triumph at Kawasaki. He announced his return to form in his last race, the Sparking All-Star Challenge, where he crushed the competition by a massive 1.8-second margin.

Recent Training:
In a December 30th workout on the Funabashi outer course, he moved smoothly in a light canter, with fractions of 83.4-65.3-49.9-36.3. Described as “moving sharply,” he shows a vitality that belies his age. Trainer Masato Hayashi noted with confidence, “The Kawasaki mile is his best distance. Targeting this race was always the plan.”

Sea Serpent (6YO Stallion, Urawa)

SireDiscreet CatDamJojony (by Gold Allure)

Analysis:
Although he finished 6th in the Gold Cup last time out, he possesses graded stakes-level ability when the race develops in a way that favors his front-running style. Trainer Kokubo has high praise, stating, “He has reached a level where he can seize an opportunity like this.”

Recent Training:
In his final workout on Dec 31st at the Urawa training center, he showed a “powerful stride” while working at a canter. Despite the quick turnaround of only one week between races, he shows no signs of fatigue.

Pace Analysis & Race Strategy

Analyzing the running positions from the last five races suggests that Alain Barows is highly likely to secure an uncontested lead. With no other strong front-runners in the field, if Alain Barows is allowed to set his own pace, he could very well run away with it.

Conversely, Gold Legacy’s greatest weapon is his powerful late kick. The key question of the race will be how close Gold Legacy can stay to the lead, especially if Alain Barows tries to open up a significant gap early. The positioning of other horses like Beyond the Father from the inside post and Arms Rain, who will also look to stay prominent, will be crucial factors in shaping the outcome and constructing your wagers.

Final Verdict: See the Pro Picks

For our final selections and betting strategy based on this data and training analysis, please visit our partners at the link below.Get the Expert’s Final Picks

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。