Key Takeaways
- AI predictions for all 12 races at Funabashi on Jan 21, 2026.
- Picks selected based on AI-calculated expected value and place percentages.
- Rafaela Angel (Race 12) boasts the day’s highest expected value at 612%.
- JRA horse Catarite highly rated in the Bluebird Cup (Race 11).
- Detailed analysis of pedigree, training, and race dynamics for each horse.
Contents
AI’s Final Watchlist
A curated list of horses with an excellent balance of expected value and win probability, as determined by our AI prediction data for Funabashi on January 21, 2026.
| Race | Horse | Jockey | AI Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Funabashi 01R | Morgenrote | Koki Motohashi | 381% |
| Funabashi 02R | B B Primero | Shigeo Honda | 302% |
| Funabashi 03R | Billionaire Boy | Koki Motohashi | 401% |
| Funabashi 04R | Cuisiniere | Tatsuya Yamaguchi | 216% |
| Funabashi 05R | Sunny Saffron | Akira Harita | 280% |
| Funabashi 08R | Leo Spark | Akira Harita | 468% |
| Funabashi 10R | Landis City | Genki Fujimoto | 438% |
| Funabashi 11R | Catarite | Tsukasa Takasugi | 292% |
| Funabashi 12R | Rafaela Angel | Yuki Kasano | 612% |
Detailed Analysis: The AI’s Perspective
Explore the data-driven reasoning behind the AI’s top selections for each key race.
Funabashi R11: Bluebird Cup (1800m Dirt)
A key stakes race for 3-year-olds. The focus is on the power dynamic between JRA and local horses, and their ability to handle the 1800m distance.
- Top Pick: Catarite
- Pedigree: A JRA-affiliated colt by Danon Legend.
- AI Data: Win rate 25%, Place rate 58%, Expected Value 292% – outstanding figures for a stakes race.
- Training: Reportedly “improving steadily,” suggesting peak condition.
- AI Rationale: While the Funabashi night race is a new challenge, the AI concludes there is a very high probability that its JRA-level talent will prevail.
Funabashi R12: 2025 Jockeys Festival Final ① (1700m Dirt)
The final race in the jockey series. Intense tactical battles between riders create a high potential for upsets.
- Top Pick: Rafaela Angel
- Pedigree: Sired by Al Ain.
- AI Data: An incredible 612% Expected Value, the highest of the day, paired with a solid 55% place rate.
- Training: Some reports note “dissatisfaction with the finishing kick.”
- AI Rationale: If training concerns lower its popularity, the value becomes maximized. The AI believes the data-indicated potential makes it the day’s “ultimate value play.”
Funabashi R08: Shomon Raifuku Sho (1600m Dirt)
A special mile race where evenly matched competitors could lead to high-paying outcomes.
- Top Pick: Leo Spark
- Pedigree: By Karen Black Hill, out of a Manhattan Cafe mare.
- AI Data: A phenomenal 468% Expected Value. The place rate is also extremely high at 69%.
- Training: Reports of “no worries about falling behind” indicate a race-ready attitude.
- AI Rationale: The AI flags this horse as the “most likely longshot to hit the board.” A strong performance in line with its expected value is predicted.
Prediction reference source: netkeiba
Summary & Further Analysis
This article detailed the AI’s top picks for Funabashi on January 21, 2026. Horses with high expected values could deliver surprising returns. Use these insights to inform your wagers.
For more detailed race simulations, check out our YouTube channel.Watch on YouTube
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