GIII RACE PREVIEW :Fairy Stakes 2025: Predictions & Top Contenders:The 42nd Fairy Stakes (GIII), a key race forecasting the 2026 classic season for 3-year-old fillies, takes place Sunday, January 11th at Nakayama. We break down the top prospects, focusing on training form and pedigree in this high-stakes clash.

January 10, 2026•Last updated: January 10, 2026

Key Race Factors

Epiphaneia’s Influence

The performance of Epiphaneia’s progeny will be decisive. Evaluating his offspring is crucial for your betting slip.

Training Form

Keep an eye on the sharp workouts from Piedra Pan and the promising condition of Black Chalice.

AI Top Pick

Advanced AI analysis strongly recommends Black Chalice, identifying high potential for a strong comeback performance.

Top Contenders Analysis

1

Black Chalice

Sire: Kitasan Black

Ranked #1 by AI with a 21.9% predicted win rate. Despite a 4th place finish in the Fantasy Stakes (GIII), she’s been meticulously prepared for this race. A Jan 7th workout was rated “Excellent Condition”, showing sharp, agile movements. She’s in peak form.

Key Strengths:

• Extending to a mile distance is a plus.
• Valuable experience in graded stakes races.
• AI data suggests a high probability of a rebound.

2

Piedra Pan

Sire: Epiphaneia

The likely favorite. Her final workout on Jan 8th was exceptional, earning a rating of “Further Improvement” for her razor-sharp turn of foot. Her pedigree suggests she is perfectly suited for the Nakayama mile course, and her improved maneuverability makes her a formidable opponent.

Key Strengths:

• Dam was a record-holder at this track and distance.
• Workouts show enhanced control and responsiveness.
• Expected to be a major contender for the win.

3

Gillies Ball

Sire: Epiphaneia

Another promising Epiphaneia filly with C. Lemaire aboard. She won her debut impressively and returns from a 3.5-month layoff. Her Jan 8th workout was described as “sharp and energetic”, showing dynamic movement that dismisses any concerns about her fitness. Her speed is well-suited for Nakayama.

Key Strengths:

• Impressive condition despite the layoff.
• Explosive speed is a great asset for this course.
• Strong family pedigree with successful siblings.

4

San Antoine

Sire: Drefong

Ridden by Keita Tosaki, she enters the race with momentum after winning a 1-win class race. Her Jan 8th workout confirmed her “Sustained Good Form”. Her rhythmic and powerful stride demonstrates she has the ability to compete at the graded stakes level. Her high level of maturity is a significant advantage.

Key Strengths:

• Proven track record, ranking high among the field.
• Professionalism and maturity give her an edge.
• Currently in top form and ready to compete.

Prediction Summary

This year’s Fairy Stakes hinges on three key factors:

• The Epiphaneia Factor: Progeny of this sire, like Piedra Pan and Gillies Ball, are favored at Nakayama. Deciding which one to prioritize will be the key to cashing tickets.
• Workout Performance: Recent reports highlight Piedra Pan’s “Further Improvement” and Black Chalice’s “Excellent Condition.” Black Chalice, in particular, seems poised for a major comeback.
• AI Endorsement: The AI model strongly favors Black Chalice, not just based on past performance but also on her high potential for return on investment.

For our final selections and detailed betting strategy, see the link below!

View Final Fairy Stakes Picks

Related Reading

Access Guide to Nakayama RacecourseBeginner’s Guide to Data Analysis in RacingThe Complete Guide to Smart Race Cards2022 Foal Crop: Filly Classic CandidatesAnalysis of Kitasan Black Progeny Trends