January 10, 2026
An in-depth analysis of the Geishun Stakes (3-Win Class, 2200m turf) at Nakayama Racecourse. We break down the AI’s top picks, focusing on main contender My Universe and high-value dark horse Moz Maverick, analyzing pedigrees and course suitability to give you the ultimate betting edge.
Key Takeaways
The Geishun Stakes is held at Nakayama on the 2200m outer turf course, a tough test of stamina and agility.
Bloodlines like Roberto, Stay Gold, and Heart’s Cry have a strong track record on this course.
The central contender is My Universe, returning from the Kikuka Sho with proven suitability for the Nakayama course.
The AI identifies dark horse Moz Maverick as the top value pick based on expected returns.
Geishun Stakes 2025: Course Analysis & Trends
Nakayama Turf 2200m (Outer Course) Characteristics
The race takes place on Nakayama’s 2200m outer turf course, starting from the main straight and completing one full lap. An immediate uphill climb after the start tends to settle the pace, but the course is notoriously tough, demanding both sustained stamina for the long stretches and agility for the tight corners.
Favorable Bloodline Trends
In terms of pedigree, sires known for excelling at this course, such as the Roberto line, along with stamina-rich lines like Stay Gold and Heart’s Cry, tend to produce strong results. Horses with these bloodlines often demonstrate the grit required to perform well under these challenging conditions.
Top Contender Analysis: Focus on My Universe
| Horse | Age/Sex | Sire | Maternal Sire | Key Features | AI Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Universe | 4yo Colt | Rey de Oro | Neo Universe | Post-Kikuka Sho, proven winner at Nakayama 2500m, strong pedigree | 28.6% (Top) |
| Elan | 5yo Colt | Lovely Day | Deep Impact | Consistent front-runner, Nakayama specialist | Low Expected Return |
My Universe: Profile and Evaluation
The standout in this field is the four-year-old, My Universe. Although he finished 13th in his last race, the prestigious Kikuka Sho (G1), he has previously won the Kujukuri Tokubetsu (2-Win Class, 2500m turf) on this very course, proving his suitability. His robust pedigree, sired by Rey de Oro out of a Neo Universe mare, is a perfect match for the demanding Nakayama 2200m. The AI model backs this up, giving him a 28.6% win probability, the highest in the field. He is the one to beat.
Elan: Evaluation and Caution
Currently the second favorite, Elan is known for his reliable front-running style and affinity for the Nakayama course. However, the AI flags him with a low expected return value, suggesting he may be overvalued. His reliability at short odds is questionable, and bettors should consider his price and condition on race day before placing full trust in him.
AI’s Dark Horse Pick
Moz Maverick: Potential and AI Rating
The AI has identified Moz Maverick as the top value pick with an expected return index of 120. Despite recent double-digit finishes, the AI sees significant untapped potential and value in his current odds. As a son of Real Steel, he could deliver a surprise if the race evolves into a test of endurance. With projected odds of 26.0 (7th favorite), he is a high-upside inclusion for any exotic bet.
Other Horses to Watch
- Meiner Laurier (by Gold Ship): Expected to improve after a long layoff. As a Gold Ship offspring, the tough Nakayama track should be to his liking.
- Ask Nice Show (by Silver State): Ranks highly in the AI evaluation. Has a solid chance if he can secure a forward position and hold on.
Conclusion
This year’s Geishun Stakes sees My Universe leading the pack in both実績 and course suitability. For supporting roles, keep a close eye on the AI’s high-value pick, Moz Maverick, and the gritty Meiner Laurier.
Start the new horse racing year with a winning ticket! Good luck!View Final AI Selections (netkeiba.com)
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