AI Racing Analyst|January 24, 2026
Key Takeaways
- ➜The opening week’s 2000m turf at Kokura statistically offers a massive advantage to front-runners.
- ➜Teletha leverages a prime gate and course record, aiming for a wire-to-wire victory with her Admire Mars-sired speed.
- ➜Well-bred Jocelyn, sired by course-specialist Epiphaneia, is set to demonstrate her G1-caliber potential under C. Lemaire.
- ➜Proven contender Coconut Brown boasts superior stamina; if she handles transport well, her power is top-tier.
- ➜Lightweight handicap horses at 51kg, like In Vogue and Pulchritude, could cause an upset on the fast track.
Analysis Index
【CONCLUSION】AI’s Final Recommendations
After integrating all data points—pedigree, course suitability, recent form, and jockey assignments—the AI has computed its final recommendations for the 2026 Kokura Himba Stakes.
| Rank | Horse | AI’s Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| ◎ | Teletha | Perfect storm: opening week track, inside gate, and course record. High probability of a wire-to-wire win. |
| ◯ | Jocelyn | Exceptional pedigree for this course. G1-level talent is undeniable, and the jockey is top-tier. |
| ▲ | Coconut Brown | Stamina and endurance are among the best in the field. If she travels well, she has the power to dominate. |
| △ | Christmas Parade | Can overcome the top handicap with her power. Consistent front-running style will shine on this track. |
| △ | In Vogue | The 51kg lightweight handicap is a major weapon. Possesses enough speed to be competitive at this grade. |
【DEEP DIVE】AI’s Analysis Matrix
The AI analyzes each horse’s capabilities from multiple dimensions: pedigree, course suitability, and recent condition, uncovering strengths that human analysis might miss.
Teletha: Speed & Grit from Sire Admire Mars
The likely favorite, Teletha, boasts a pedigree of Admire Mars ex Nathaniel. This combination brilliantly fuses the speed inherited from her sire, suitable for mile races, with European stamina from her dam’s side. Key points:
- Speed and Pacing: Inherits the mobility of the Daiwa Major line. Her wire-to-wire win over 1800m at Kokura proves her high aptitude for tight tracks.
- Optimal Conditions: The fast track of the opening week and the prime No. 1 gate create the perfect stage to maximize her abilities.
- Pristine Condition: A well-spaced racing schedule is part of the stable’s plan. She is refreshed and in peak condition.
Jocelyn: The Supreme Bloodline of a Horse of the Year’s Sister
As the full sister to Horse of the Year Efforia, Jocelyn is a true gem. Her sire, Epiphaneia, is the most successful stallion over Kokura’s 2000m turf, making her course suitability a given.
- Course Aptitude: The Epiphaneia x Heart’s Cry cross is ideal for sustained speed battles in mid-distance races, statistically proven at Kokura.
- Untapped Potential: Despite being blocked in the final stretch, she finished 4th in the Shuka Sho (G1). With a clear run, her talent is among the best fillies.
- Determined to Win: Securing jockey C. Lemaire shows the team is fully committed to capturing her first graded stakes title.
Coconut Brown: Kitasan Black’s Stamina and Endurance
Sired by Kitasan Black ex King Kamehameha, Coconut Brown is a testament to her world-class sire, armed with immense stamina and a long-lasting finishing kick.
- G1 Performance: Her 5th place finish in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup (G1) ranks her at the top of this field. Her growth as an older horse is remarkable.
- Pedigree Support: Her sire’s line (Black Tide) has a high placing rate at Kokura’s 2000m turf, confirming her suitability for this stage.
- Key Concern: The only worry is potential weight loss from long-distance transport. Her condition and weight on race day must be checked.
【SIMULATION】Projected Race Scenarios
With multiple front-runners in the lineup, the early battle for position will be the deciding factor in this race.
Scenario A: Teletha’s Solo Lead
Using her No. 1 gate advantage, Teletha smoothly takes the lead. Aided by the opening week’s track, she fend off late challengers. This is the most probable scenario.
Scenario B: Heated Pace Battle
Horses from wider gates, like Arenaria, also push for the lead, resulting in a fast early pace. This would create an opening for stalkers like Jocelyn or closers with deep stamina like Coconut Brown.
Kokura’s final straight is short at 293m. Being within the top 5 positions at the 4th corner is almost a prerequisite for victory.
Summary & External Resources
The 2026 Kokura Himba Stakes will likely be dominated by front-runners who can leverage the track conditions, making Teletha the central figure from her prime gate. However, the pedigree of Jocelyn and the proven class of Coconut Brown cannot be dismissed. The final decision should be made after observing the horses on race day.
Watch Simulation on YouTubeExpert Columns on netkeiba.com
Disclaimer: This analysis does not guarantee winning bets. Please wager responsibly.
未分類
未分類
未分類