By Yanashi CEO
|Jan 20, 2026
Our AI deeply analyzes the Funabashi races for January 20, 2026, identifying 7 “value” horses where true win probability outstrips market odds. Discover our top picks, including Filio del Sol with a stunning 441% expected value and the class-dropping Kitasan Shiden.
AI Analysis: Key Takeaways
01
AI identifies 7 high “expected value” horses for the Jan 20 Funabashi meet.
02
Filio del Sol (Race 11) shows an incredible 441% expected return value, despite a long layoff.
03
Kitasan Shiden (Race 12) is highly rated with 362% EV, benefiting from a drop in class.
04
Field Crown (Race 4) is our top pick (◎), possessing dominant ability in the C3 class.
Final Verdict: AI Top-Rated Horses
After a multi-faceted analysis of win probability and expected return value, our AI presents the following top-rated selections for Funabashi on January 20, 2026. The real betting edge lies with horses whose potential significantly exceeds their market perception.
| Rank | Race | Horse | AI Win % | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 4R | Field Crown | 33% | 244% |
| ◯ | 12R | Kitasan Shiden | 21% | 362% |
| ▲ | 11R | Filio del Sol | 11% | 441% |
| △ | My Believe (1R): 333% EVPresto Emperor (7R): 299% EVCrown Bravo (8R): 358% EVHaseno Brian (10R): 357% EV | |||
Deep Dive: AI’s 7 Value Selections
◎
4R: Field Crown
Top Pick
With the highest win probability of 33%, Field Crown stands out. Despite being 8 years old and new to the stable, its raw ability is more than enough to overcome these concerns.
- Reasoning: Possesses outstanding clock times for the C3 class and faces a favorable lineup.
- Pace Advantage: The outside post (8-11) is ideal, allowing it to dictate the pace without being boxed in.
- Odds Value: Cautious comments from the stable about being “a bit heavy” could suppress its popularity, creating excellent betting value.
◯
12R: Kitasan Shiden
High Potential
A prime contender in the final 1800m race. With a 21% win probability and 362% expected value, it offers a superb blend of reliability and value.
- Reasoning: As trainer Inamasu noted, “the drop in class is a big factor.” Moving down to C1 is a decisive advantage.
- Training: Clocked an exceptional 50.4s for 4F / 37.0s for 3F in its final workout, described as a “powerful finishing kick.”
- Pedigree: Its stamina, inherited from sire Kitasan Black, is perfectly suited for the demanding Funabashi 1800m course.
▲
11R: Filio del Sol
Highest EV: 441%
Today’s most intriguing horse. A low 11% win chance is offset by an astronomical 441% expected value, indicating a massive gap between the market’s assessment and the AI’s.
- Reasoning: Its 3rd place finish in the 2022 Yushun Sprint makes it the class of this field. Its true potential is G-race level.
- Hidden Gems: The market is discounting it due to red flags like a “long layoff” and “stable change,” creating an opportunity.
- Training: Has been trained thoroughly at the Moriyasu stable, showing sharp movement with a 38.1s for 3F on Jan 10. Condition is solid.
△
1R: My Believe
Dismiss its last race due to a severe bump at the start. Training has been excellent, and its pedigree (sire Furiant) suits Funabashi’s current track surface.
△
7R: Presto Emperor
Mentally tougher after competing in a stakes race. With a 69% in-the-money probability, it’s one of the most reliable horses to hit the board. A strong final workout confirms its speed.
△
8R: Crown Bravo
Its last win was no fluke. With other top contenders facing issues (layoffs, gate problems), its current peak form provides a significant advantage. Expected value is a high 358%.
△
10R: Haseno Brian
A horse that saves its best for race day. Its powerful running style, typical of Asia Express offspring, is a great match for Funabashi’s tough dirt. Improving with every start.
Track Analysis: The “White Sand” Factor
Funabashi’s unique “white sand” track, introduced during renovations, is a key variable. It’s fast and drains well, but also demands power. Our AI’s analysis incorporates these specific track biases.
- 12cm Cushion DepthReduces stress on legs but penalizes horses lacking stamina. This is why many of our picks have power-oriented pedigrees.
- Low KickbackThe fine sand particles create less kickback, which helps closers maintain visibility and execute their late runs effectively.
- Course NuancesOutside posts are favored at 1200m, while the 1800m course tests both front-running speed and staying power, which the AI models.
Simulation & In-Depth Video
This article highlighted our AI’s data-driven value picks for Funabashi. Horses like Filio del Sol (441% EV) and Kitasan Shiden represent significant betting opportunities. Watch how they perform!Watch on YouTube: Yanashi CEO’s Generative Racing AI
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