2025年12月20日開催の中京競馬から…
By AI Racing Analyst | January 20, 2026
On Jan 20, 2026, the Shirafuji Tokubetsu unfolds at Funabashi. Our AI pinpoints two extremes: the favorite, Bannerman Tesoro, and the high-value longshot, Land Max. This report dissects their chances and those of other key contenders.
| Mark | No. | Horse Name | AI Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|
| ◎ | 6 | Figlio del Sol | Best balance of win rate and expected value. Most reliable anchor. |
| ◯ | 10 | Bannerman Tesoro | AI’s #1 win rate. Top-tier ability but likely over-hyped. |
| ▲ | 13 | Light Three | US-bred with upset potential. A wide draw could be the key. |
| ☆ | 8 | Land Max | #1 in expected value & overall AI score. A high-risk, high-reward bomb. |
| △ | 3, 4, 7 | Bounce Light, etc. | Solid contenders for exotics with consistency or pace advantages. |
The Balanced Favorite
Sired by Creator II (Belmont Stakes winner) out of a Manhattan Cafe mare, this horse’s pedigree screams stamina and grit. In the demanding Funabashi mile, this endurance is a key weapon. The AI data highlights its remarkable consistency.
14.6%
Win Rate (2nd)
233
AI Score (2nd)
135
Exp. Value (2nd)
The Win Rate Leader
With a pedigree combining the stamina of Heart’s Cry with the speed of Astronomer Royal, its ability is undeniable—reflected in its #1 AI win rate. However, the AI also issues a warning: this is a classic “over-hyped” profile, where high win probability doesn’t translate to good betting value.
16.2%
Win Rate (1st)
175
AI Score (7th)
88
Exp. Value (8th)
The American Wildcard
A pure American bloodline (City of Light x Honor Code) guarantees power for deep local tracks. The AI highly rates its potential. The outside gate (post 13) is a huge plus, allowing it to avoid traffic and use its speed. If it gets a clean start, it could run away with the race.
The AI’s Secret Weapon
This is the race’s biggest story. The AI data for Land Max is an anomaly. While its win probability is low, its AI Score and Expected Value are #1. The AI concludes: “The chance of winning is slim, but the potential payout is so massive it represents an exceptional investment.” A must-include for longshot hunters.
2.2%
Win Rate (12th)
243
AI Score (1st)
137
Exp. Value (1st)
The short straight after the start forces a battle for the lead. Horses from wide gates like Light Three press forward, setting a fast pace. This scenario favors closers with stamina like Figlio del Sol and Taisei Warrior, who can save energy behind the speed duel.
Late January in Funabashi often means a dry, deep track that demands raw power. This condition benefits the American-bred powerhouses like Land Max and Light Three. Pure speed horses may falter in the final stretch.
The 2026 Shirafuji Tokubetsu is a fascinating puzzle defined by the conflict between “Win Rate” and “Expected Value.” Do you trust the favorite, Bannerman Tesoro, or gamble on the AI’s high-value pick, Land Max? Our final verdict leans towards the balanced Figlio del Sol, but the potential payout from Land Max is too tempting to ignore.Watch Full Simulation on YouTube
Disclaimer: Horse racing involves many uncertain factors. The AI data and forecasts in this report do not guarantee a win. Please place bets responsibly and consult official sources.
By Yanashi CEO …