In-Depth Analysis
A comprehensive deep-dive into the six major races leading to the 2025 Central Horse Racing climax.
Races at a Glance
Poinsettia Stakes
Strong potential expected from Wayniessu.
Christmas Rose Stakes
A duel between the well-developed Vogel and the rapidly improving Tamamo Ikaros.
Tanzanite Stakes
Focus on a speed battle between Carlo Veloce and Asakara King.
December Stakes
Centered on the consistency of Contrapast.
Betelgeuse Stakes
Hapi expected to overcome the weight handicap.
Cold Moon Stakes
Expectation of a solid performance from Logia Adelaide.
Table of Contents
- Track Bias & Condition Analysis
- Poinsettia Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- Christmas Rose Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- Tanzanite Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- December Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- Betelgeuse Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- Cold Moon Stakes In-Depth Analysis
- Overall Conclusion & Betting Strategy
1. Track Bias & Condition Analysis
Hanshin Racecourse
The turf is becoming tougher and slower, demanding stamina. European Northern Dancer and powerful Roberto lineage horses excel. The dirt course favors front-runners, especially at 1800m and 1200m.
Nakayama Racecourse
A characteristic “power-requiring track” for winter. Maneuverability around the tight corners is crucial, favoring horses with agility and a pitch-stride.
Chukyo Racecourse
Known for its long, left-handed straight and steep incline. Closers can be a threat in turf sprints, while initial acceleration is vital on the dirt course due to the turf start.
2. Poinsettia Stakes
2-year-old Open, Dirt 1800m, Hanshin
Top Contenders
◎
Wayniessu
Ritto – Nakanaida Stable
Possessing a grand physique typical of American-bred horses, Wayniessu has demonstrated high potential, recording a sharp final furlong of 11.2 seconds in training. Its previous dominant win at Hanshin Dirt 1800m indicates high reproducibility.
○
Kentucky Home
Ritto – Matsushita Stable
A Gold Dream progeny with power-oriented training. Despite an early disadvantage in its previous race, it secured victory with exceptional fighting spirit.
▲
Justin Leman
Ritto – Sugiyama Haru Stable
Showed significant improvement and agility in training. Possesses good stamina and will be tenacious if it can run its own race.
Other Notable Horses
- T.M. Sun Reve
- Wonder Dean
- Dantz Shitan
Prediction Summary
The main point is how much the other horses can challenge Wayniessu’s overwhelming potential. Wayniessu appears a step ahead, with Kentucky Home and Wonder Dean as potential challengers.
3. Christmas Rose Stakes
2-year-old Open, Turf 1200m, Chukyo
Top Contenders
◎
Vogel
Ritto – Saito Takashi Stable
An Al Ain progeny in good physical condition. The use of cheekpieces in its previous race improved its reaction, leading to a closing win. Mental maturity is key.
○
Tamamo Ikaros
Ritto – Fujioka Ken Stable
A Declaration of War progeny who won its previous race with a dominant, powerful performance. The tough Chukyo course is favorable.
▲
Coral Leaf
Ritto – Sato Yu Stable
A Big Arthur progeny with sharp acceleration. Chukyo’s long straight can maximize its fierce late charge finishing speed.
Other Notable Horses
- Land Star
- Happy Angel
Prediction Summary
Vogel is the central figure due to its maturity. Tamamo Ikaros’s power and Coral Leaf’s finishing speed make them strong contenders. Happy Angel’s graded race experience is also a factor.
4. Tanzanite Stakes
3-year-old and up Open, Turf 1200m, Hanshin
Top Contenders
◎
Carlo Veloce
Ritto – Sugai Naoshi Stable
A Silver State progeny known for fast times and strong legs. Its front-running ability on Hanshin’s inner 1200m course is a major asset.
○
Asakara King
Ritto – Saito Makoto Stable
A “training champion” with top-class absolute speed. Returning to its preferred turf sprint, it is highly likely to overwhelm others with natural speed.
▲
Birth Cry
Ritto – Chida Stable
A Heart’s Cry progeny in its prime. With a favorable handicap of 54kg, its closing speed could be effective if front-runners battle for pace.
Other Notable Horses
- Ask One Time
- Milto Claymore
- Yabusamé
Prediction Summary
The key lies in the dynamic between front-runners Carlo Veloce and Asakara King. If they push the pace, Birth Cry or the surprise contender Yabusamé could emerge.
5. December Stakes
3-year-old and up Open, Turf 1800m, Nakayama
Top Contenders
◎
Contrapast
Miho – Kikuzawa Stable
A Ruler Ship progeny in perfect condition. Its ability to persistently hold ground from a good position is a significant asset on this course.
○
Grandia
Ritto – Nakanaida Stable
A Harbinger progeny excelling on tough tracks. Showed sharp movements in training and possesses the power for Nakayama’s steep incline.
▲
Shonan Magma
Miho – Ozeki Stable
A six-year-old showing no decline. Its front-running ability is key; if it sets its own pace, it will aim for a tenacious hold.
Other Notable Horses
- Gonbade Carboos
- Meiner Memory
Prediction Summary
The consistency of Contrapast, a Nakayama specialist, is trusted. Grandia and Shonan Magma are the main opponents. Contrapast is prioritized for reliability.
6. Betelgeuse Stakes
3-year-old and up Open, Dirt 1800m, Hanshin
Top Contenders
◎
Hapi
Ritto – Okura Ryu Stable
A talented Kizuna progeny with superior finishing power. Despite carrying 59kg, it is highly likely to win by sheer class.
○
Jinsei
Ritto – Shono Stable
A Justaway progeny showing significant improvement. With better condition and a weight advantage, it aims for an upset over Hapi.
▲
Tagano Babylon
Ritto – Nishizono Sho Stable
A 3-year-old Henny Hughes progeny with momentum. Its front-running ability and tenacity fit well with the Hanshin 1800m course.
Other Notable Horses
- Mystic Roar
- Hagino Sustainable
Prediction Summary
Hapi is the central figure, with its 59kg weight being the main question. Jinsei and the in-form Tagano Babylon are the main rivals.
7. Cold Moon Stakes
3-year-old and up Open, Dirt 1400m, Chukyo
Top Contenders
◎
Logia Adelaide
Miho – Inagaki Stable
A Drefong progeny in improving condition. The Chukyo 1400m dirt course with a turf start is a suitable condition for this consistent performer.
○
Star Turn
Ritto – Sakaguchi Tomokazu Stable
A Greater London progeny described as being in “peak condition.” Its ability is clearly superior within this field if it gets a smooth race.
▲
Danon Feugo
Ritto – Tomomichi Stable
A 3-year-old Into Mischief progeny with high potential. Its speed and power suggest it can be competitive immediately at this level.
Other Notable Horses
- Secret Vow
- Satono Phoenix
Prediction Summary
Logia Adelaide is favored for its consistency. Star Turn and the promising 3-year-old Danon Feugo are the main rivals. A contest likely among these three.
8. Overall Conclusion & Betting Strategy
This week’s major theme is the clash between established horses and promising young contenders. It’s advisable to construct betting strategies focusing on the strong contenders highlighted in each analysis.
However, always consider the paddock condition on race day and the latest track bias. In winter, even well-trained horses can stiffen up in the cold. Pay close attention to their footwork and overall demeanor before placing your bets.
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