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Sonoda Racetrack:Sonoda Junior Cup 2025 Preview

An in-depth analysis of the top contenders in the two-year-old championship showdown. We break down the favorites, God Fencer and Legal Time, to find the true master of Sonoda’s tricky 1700m course.

Published on December 30, 2025

Key Takeaways

  • The Sonoda Junior Cup, a championship for two-year-olds, will be held on December 31 over 1700m on dirt.
  • Distance experience and pace control are crucial on this stamina-demanding course.
  • God Fencer is a prime contender, showing significant mental maturity and a commanding trial win.
  • Legal Time counters with proven class, finishing second in consecutive major stakes races.
  • Keep an eye on progeny of Le Vent Se Leve, whose bloodline suggests a strong aptitude for middle-distance dirt races.

Contents

  1. Course Analysis
  2. Top Contenders
  3. Bloodline Angle
  4. Training Insights
  5. Final Verdict

Course Analysis: Sonoda 1700m Dirt

The 1700m dirt course at Sonoda is unique, featuring six turns that demand both stamina and tactical skill. For inexperienced two-year-olds, this distance is often uncharted territory, making “distance aptitude” and “pace judgment” the primary factors for success. With many entrants in this field being 1400m specialists, horses with prior experience over 1700m hold a distinct advantage.

Top Contenders: In-Depth Breakdown

God Fencer

Colt | Jockey: Futoshi Komaki

Pedigree: Le Vent Se Leve / Lord Kanaloa (damsire)

Last Race: 1st in Special Weight (Trial) on Dec 9 (1:54.8)

Analysis: Showcased immense potential in his last race, charging from mid-pack with the fastest closing split to win decisively. He seems to have overcome his previous aversion to kickback. Trainer Morimoto notes, “We’ve taught him how to race, and he ran without flinching from the kickback last time,” indicating significant mental growth.

Training Note: Clocked 67.4-50.8-38.0 at a canter on a sloppy track at Nishiwaki on Dec 27. He appears to be in peak condition.

Colt | Jockey: Yoshiyuki Kamimiya

Pedigree: Best Warrior / Precise End (damsire)

Last Race: 2nd in Next Star Sonoda on Oct 29

Analysis: Highly consistent, with runner-up finishes in both the Hyogo Juvenile Cup and Next Star Sonoda. While he struggles to find the winner’s circle, his sharp closing kick and reliability against tough competition are undeniable. Returning from a two-month layoff, he’s reportedly strengthened up at a training farm.

Training Note: Posted an impressive 64.9-49.4-36.4 (ridden strongly) at Nishiwaki on Dec 19. Shows no signs of rust.

Southern Warrior

Colt | Jockey: Wataru Hirose

Pedigree: Majestic Warrior / Sakura Bakushin O (damsire)

Last Race: 2nd in Special Weight (Trial) on Dec 9

Analysis: A front-runner by nature. Though defeated by God Fencer in the trial, he put up a strong fight for second after taking an early lead. Trainer Ryohei Hori is optimistic, stating, “The experience over 1700m should be a huge advantage.” If he can secure an uncontested lead, he’s a serious threat to hold on.

Shena Max

Colt | Jockey: Kazuma Ogaki

Pedigree: Le Vent Se Leve / Brian’s Time (damsire)

Last Race: 3rd in Special Weight (Trial) on Dec 9

Analysis: A model of consistency, finishing in the money in all but his debut race. He has been racing over middle distances for his last four starts, giving him a wealth of experience at this trip that few others possess.

Training Note: Clocked 69.3-53.9-40.0 at a canter on a sloppy Nishiwaki track on Dec 24. Described as “full of energy,” he’s maintaining top form.

Bloodline Angle

The most noteworthy sire in this race is Le Vent Se Leve, represented by top contenders God Fencer and Shena Max. Le Vent Se Leve (by Symboli Kris S) was a dominant force in middle-distance dirt races, and his progeny are expected to thrive in stamina-testing conditions like this 1700m event. Additionally, Southern Warrior’s sire, Majestic Warrior, is known for producing power types who excel in demanding, strength-sapping contests.

Training Insights: Key Workouts

Horses showing exceptional form in workouts from mid-to-late December.

HorseWorkout DetailsAssessment
Zeus SilhouetteDec 25, Sonoda (Heavy): 49.8-36.4 (Canter)Excellent overall and closing times. Trainer Shinko praised his improvement, calling him a “dark horse with upset potential.”
Legal TimeDec 19, Nishiwaki (Good): Final 3F 36.4Displayed a sharp turn of foot despite the layoff. He is fit and ready to fire first-up.
Southern WarriorDec 25, Sonoda (Heavy): 50.8-37.8 (Slightly Strong)Despite a consistent racing schedule, shows no signs of fatigue and is training with enthusiasm.

Final Verdict

Will it be the surging God Fencer, the proven Legal Time, or a front-runner who capitalizes on a favorable pace? The 2025 Sonoda two-year-old championship is set for a thrilling conclusion. Who will claim the crown?

👉 Get the Final Picks for the Sonoda Junior Cup 2025

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。