An in-depth betting guide for the December 14th race at Nakayama. We analyze top contenders like Brian Sense & T O Password, using data and pedigree to predict the winner of this tough 1800m dirt handicap.
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025 ・ 14:40 JST
Nakayama Racecourse ・ 1800m Dirt (Right-handed)
3yo+ Open (Intl.) (Spec.) Handicap
Expected: Firm
The Nakayama 1800m dirt course is notoriously tough, featuring steep inclines just after the start and again before the finish line. This challenging layout demands not only stamina and power but also a high degree of versatility from the horses.
Sire: Hokko Tarumae / Damsire: Brian’s Time
Despite carrying a top weight of 58.5kg, Brian Sense stands out with the best record in this field. Although he finished 6th in his last outing at the Miyako S (G3), he’s looking to rebound. The stable’s comments are confident: “He can perform well on a course where he has won a graded stakes race.” He should be a central figure in any betting strategy.
Sire: Copano Rickey / Damsire: King Kamehameha
This 4-year-old has international experience, having run in last year’s Kentucky Derby. His 7th place finish in the recent Sirius S was underwhelming, but the camp notes, “He has a win at Nakayama and can make a move from anywhere.” His recent trackwork has been exceptional, and a comeback is highly likely if he gets a smooth trip.
Sire: Makfi / Damsire: Empire Maker
Showing signs of a return to form, he finished 6th in the Musashino S (G3) with the fastest closing sectional time. Trainer Takagi has praised his performance, and his powerful late kick makes him a serious threat if the pace is right. He clocked a fast time in his final gallop at Miho, indicating excellent condition.
Sire: Leontes / Damsire: Special Week
After a strong 3rd place in the Fukushima Minyu Cup, his condition is on the rise. Trainer Isegami is hopeful: “He has a good record at Nakayama, and if he gets a smooth run, he’ll be competitive.” The key will be whether he can overcome the 57.5kg handicap using his signature front-running style.
Pod Logo(Sire: Logotype)
Won the Fukushima Minyu Cup last time out. His fighting spirit to overcome a disadvantageous position is commendable, and the stable is bullish, stating “there’s more improvement to come.”Meisho Funjin(Sire: Hokko Tarumae)
The 58.5kg handicap is a concern, but the camp believes “he’s tough if he can get to the front.” A horse to watch if he manages to secure an uncontested lead.Conque Shell(Sire: Kizuna)
This is the filly’s first race on dirt. While there are many unknowns, her pedigree is intriguing, and she could be a surprise package.
The power-demanding Nakayama 1800m dirt course favors horses with stamina-rich bloodlines. The following sires are particularly noteworthy:
These sires from the “Gold Allure” line have a high affinity for this course and should be given extra consideration in your picks.
Based on their final workouts, these horses appear to be in peak condition:
For our final expert picks and recommended betting combinations for the Shiwasu Stakes 2025, please check out our trusted partner sites. Combine our analysis with professional insights to maximize your chances.View Final Picks
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