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Shiwasu Stakes 2025

An in-depth betting guide for the December 14th race at Nakayama. We analyze top contenders like Brian Sense & T O Password, using data and pedigree to predict the winner of this tough 1800m dirt handicap.

Race Overview & Course Details

Date & Time

Sunday, Dec 14, 2025 ・ 14:40 JST

Course

Nakayama Racecourse ・ 1800m Dirt (Right-handed)

Conditions

3yo+ Open (Intl.) (Spec.) Handicap

Track Condition

Expected: Firm

The Nakayama 1800m dirt course is notoriously tough, featuring steep inclines just after the start and again before the finish line. This challenging layout demands not only stamina and power but also a high degree of versatility from the horses.

Top Contenders Analysis

Brian Sense

Sire: Hokko Tarumae / Damsire: Brian’s Time

Despite carrying a top weight of 58.5kg, Brian Sense stands out with the best record in this field. Although he finished 6th in his last outing at the Miyako S (G3), he’s looking to rebound. The stable’s comments are confident: “He can perform well on a course where he has won a graded stakes race.” He should be a central figure in any betting strategy.

T O Password

Sire: Copano Rickey / Damsire: King Kamehameha

This 4-year-old has international experience, having run in last year’s Kentucky Derby. His 7th place finish in the recent Sirius S was underwhelming, but the camp notes, “He has a win at Nakayama and can make a move from anywhere.” His recent trackwork has been exceptional, and a comeback is highly likely if he gets a smooth trip.

Walzer Schall

Sire: Makfi / Damsire: Empire Maker

Showing signs of a return to form, he finished 6th in the Musashino S (G3) with the fastest closing sectional time. Trainer Takagi has praised his performance, and his powerful late kick makes him a serious threat if the pace is right. He clocked a fast time in his final gallop at Miho, indicating excellent condition.

Action Plan

Sire: Leontes / Damsire: Special Week

After a strong 3rd place in the Fukushima Minyu Cup, his condition is on the rise. Trainer Isegami is hopeful: “He has a good record at Nakayama, and if he gets a smooth run, he’ll be competitive.” The key will be whether he can overcome the 57.5kg handicap using his signature front-running style.

Dark Horses & Special Mentions

Pod Logo(Sire: Logotype)

Won the Fukushima Minyu Cup last time out. His fighting spirit to overcome a disadvantageous position is commendable, and the stable is bullish, stating “there’s more improvement to come.”Meisho Funjin(Sire: Hokko Tarumae)

The 58.5kg handicap is a concern, but the camp believes “he’s tough if he can get to the front.” A horse to watch if he manages to secure an uncontested lead.Conque Shell(Sire: Kizuna)

This is the filly’s first race on dirt. While there are many unknowns, her pedigree is intriguing, and she could be a surprise package.

Insights from Pedigree & Training

Pedigree Trends

The power-demanding Nakayama 1800m dirt course favors horses with stamina-rich bloodlines. The following sires are particularly noteworthy:

  • Hokko Tarumae Progeny:Brian Sense, Meisho Funjin
  • Copano Rickey Progeny:T O Password

These sires from the “Gold Allure” line have a high affinity for this course and should be given extra consideration in your picks.

Top Picks from Training

Based on their final workouts, these horses appear to be in peak condition:

  • T O Password: Showed excellent, fluid movement in a canter up the Ritto hill course. Appears to be in perfect shape.
  • Walzer Schall: Pushed strongly up the Miho hill, displaying a low center of gravity and clocking a fast time.
  • Dante Barrows: Maintained good form with a powerful ascent up the Ritto hill course. His condition is excellent.

Key Takeaways

  • The Shiwasu Stakes is a tough 1800m dirt handicap at Nakayama.
  • Brian Sense is a key contender despite his top weight of 58.5kg.
  • T O Password‘s excellent training suggests a strong comeback is likely.
  • Walzer Schall is a threat with his powerful closing speed if the race pace suits him.
  • Pedigrees from the Gold Allure line (Hokko Tarumae) have a course advantage.

Contents

  1. 1. Race Overview & Course Details
  2. 2. Top Contenders Analysis
    1. → Brian Sense
    2. → T O Password
    3. → Walzer Schall
    4. → Action Plan
  3. 3. Dark Horses & Mentions
  4. 4. Pedigree & Training Insights
    1. → Pedigree Trends
    2. → Training Picks
  5. 5. Final Predictions

Final Predictions & Betting Slip

For our final expert picks and recommended betting combinations for the Shiwasu Stakes 2025, please check out our trusted partner sites. Combine our analysis with professional insights to maximize your chances.View Final Picks

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)