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Rigel Stakes 2025

In-depth Analysis of Bloodlines, Training, and Race Development of Promising Horses for the Hanshin Turf 1600m

December 13, 2025

Key Takeaways

Crucial Predictor

The Rigel Stakes is a key race for predicting the outcome of next year’s mile graded races.

Hanshin 1600m Demands

The course demands sustained finishing speed and power to conquer a steep uphill finish.

Bloodline Trends

Deep Impact lineage crossed with power bloodlines and Lord Kanaloa progeny are favored.

Top Contenders

Lance of Chaos, Shivers, Danon Ayers Rock, and World’s End are the key horses to watch.

Pace Prediction

A solo breakaway by Selberg is expected, leading to a contest of explosive speed and stamina in the final stretch.

Analysis Sections

1. Venue Setting: Hanshin Turf 1600m

Course Layout Demands

The Hanshin Racecourse turf 1600m (outer course) is a legendary stage. Its long backstretch minimizes early pace battles, often leading to a moderate start. However, the race’s climax is defined by its two key features: the wide, gentle final turns allowing for a full-stride sprint, and the grueling steep uphill finish. This combination demands a rare blend of “sustained finishing speed” and raw “power,” creating a true test of a miler’s stamina and heart.

December Hanshin Track Conditions

By December, the Hanshin turf can be worn and challenging. While modern track management often preserves a fast surface, the winter conditions typically favor horses with power-oriented bloodlines (like Roberto or European Northern Dancer lineages). It remains a fair course where the most capable horses shine, but adaptability to the track’s condition on race day is paramount.

2. Full Field Analysis

Cranford(牝4, 55kg, T. Danno)

Danon Ayers Rock(牡4, 57kg, J. L. L. Jeru)

Kyoei Brissa(牡5, 57kg, M. Sakai)

Nishino Souvenir(牡6, 58kg, Y. Iwata)

Ashurbanipal(牡4, 57kg, Y. Hishida)

World’s End(牡4, 57kg, C. Demuro)

Selberg(牡6, 59kg, R. Wada)

Bloomin’ Design(牡4, 57kg, R. Sakai)

Go to First(牡5, 57kg, T. Kitamura)

Lance of Chaos(牡3, 56kg, S. Yoshimura)

Shivers(牡4, 57kg, M. Kawada)

Meisho Shintake(牡7, 58kg, R. Takasugi)

Yankee Barrows(牡3, 56kg, M. Iwata)

3. Bloodline Trends & Keys to Success

Deep Impact + Power Fusion

The ideal mating combines the explosive speed of “Deep Impact blood” with the toughness of “European stamina” (Sadler’s Wells, Roberto) or “US power”. This blend is crucial for handling the demanding December track.

ShiversLance of ChaosDanon Ayers Rock

King Kamehameha & Lord Kanaloa Speed

Absolute speed to handle fast finishes is also essential. Progeny of Lord Kanaloa and horses with King Kamehameha as the broodmare sire have a proven track record on this course.

World’s EndCranford

4. Race Development Prediction

Pace Setter: The race dynamics point to Selberg taking an uncontested solo lead, setting a moderate early pace.

Positioning: Expect World’s End, Danon Ayers Rock, and Shivers to settle in the leading group. Horses with a strong finish, like Lance of Chaos, will likely conserve energy in the mid-pack for a late surge.

The climax will unfold on the final straight. As the pace intensifies, the steep Hanshin uphill will separate the contenders from the pretenders. The winner will need both explosive speed and the stamina to accelerate again after the climb.

5. Final Workout Diagnosis

S Rank

Shivers

Noticeably light movement. Shows no fatigue despite a short break. Sharp stride suggests peak condition and a performance that will exceed its last race.

A Rank

Lance of Chaos

Excellent movement despite a layoff. Outpaced its partner with a final 11.6s furlong. Body condition is excellent, showing clear improvement.

A Rank

World’s End

Powerful and fresh. Physique appears stronger than its previous race. Poised to unleash its full ability if temperament issues are managed.

B+ Rank

Nishino Souvenir

Recorded a strong time of 51s in a Tuesday workout. Received sufficient exertion and is in perfect condition for the race.

6. Rigel Stakes 2025 Prediction

This high-level race features future Grade 1 contenders. After careful analysis, our top pick is:

Lance of Chaos

Its bloodline is perfectly suited to the Hanshin mile. The extended distance, combined with significant improvement in training, makes it a formidable contender.

Other Key Horses:

  • Shivers: Well-bred with outstanding training, a sprint finish is its domain.
  • Danon Ayers Rock: Pure ability cannot be overlooked.
  • World’s End: Excellent mile suitability.

Outsider Bets:

  • Selberg: The breakaway contender could steal the race.
  • Nishino Souvenir: Excellent training form makes it a dark horse.

Get the Professional Edge

For final selections and expert betting strategies, consult the pros.Check Professional Predictions

Information in this article is based on training data from December 3rd to December 10th, 2025, and recent race results.

Please confirm the final list of runners and post positions before placing any wagers.

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)