A deep dive into the training, pedigrees, and prospects of the top contenders for Japan’s most prestigious steeplechase.
December 27th, Nakayama Racecourse
S
Rated ‘S’ for peak condition. His Kitasan Black lineage provides immense stamina, making him the one to beat for a repeat victory.
A
Strong weekend training signals readiness, but overcoming the unique challenges of the Nakayama course remains his biggest hurdle.
A
A true “stamina monster” with specialized gate training. Primed to excel in a grueling, high-stakes endurance race.
The Nakayama Grand Jump, contested over 4100 meters, is the pinnacle of the sport. Its infamous obstacles, including the 1.6m high ‘Otakezaku’ and ‘O-seki’ fences, and the energy-sapping ‘Banket’ undulations, demand a rare combination of speed, courage, stamina, and an unbreakable bond between horse and rider. Success here cements a legacy.
Colt, 6 y/o, Miho TC – Takaki Iwato Stable
S Rating
Sire: Kitasan Black (Stamina, sustained speed)
Dam: Clarinet by Giant’s Causeway (Power, fortitude)
Inbreeding: 5×5 Lyphard (Endurance)
MiW (Good) | 6F 83.4 – 5F 67.5 – 4F 52.7 – 3F 38.4 – 1F 12.1s (Handily)
Finished with ease alongside a stablemate, showing sharp acceleration and perfect condition.
“The horse looks and feels good, his condition is perfect. There are no excuses.”— Trainer Iwato
Colt, 7 y/o, Ritto TC – Takehito Takei Stable
A Rating
Sire: Lord Kanaloa (Speed)
Dam: Admire Sabrina by Symboli Kris S (Stamina, Power)
RiCW (Slight Heavy) | 7F workout, 1F 11.6s
Powerful finish comparable to flat racers, indicating peak cardiovascular fitness.
“His condition is excellent. I’ll discuss strategies… doing the same thing won’t yield different results.”— Jockey Takada
Colt, 7 y/o, Ritto TC – Shozo Sasaki Stable
A Rating
Sire: Kizuna (Explosive speed)
Dam: Velvet Queen by Singspiel (European stamina)
Lineage built for exceptional endurance in grueling races.
RiGate (Heavy) | 4F 53.6 – 3F 39.5 – 2F 25.7 – 1F 13.0s (Slight Full)
Consistent, hard gate training to build stamina for Nakayama’s uphill sections.
“The longer the distance, the better.”— Trainer Sasaki
Untapped potential with a blistering 11.5s final furlong. High course suitability.
Likely front-runner with stamina pedigree. Will try to set the pace and control the race.
A “race-fit” type who may outperform his training times. Possesses sufficient power and stamina.
Stamina is a question mark, but his raw speed from sire World Ace could be a decisive factor.
| Horse Name | Date | Course | Time (Furlongs) | Action | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecolo Duel | 12/24 | MiW (Good) | 83.4-67.5-52.7-38.4-12.1 | Handily | S |
| (1-Week Prior) | 12/17 | MiW (Good) | 81.5-66.0-51.4-37.7-12.1 | Strong | – |
| June Velocity | 12/24 | RiCW (Heavy) | 86.3-71.2-56.1-40.3-12.6 | Handily | A |
| (Weekend) | 12/20 | RiCW (Slight Heavy) | 82.1-67.1-52.3-37.7-11.6 | Full | – |
| Neviim | 12/24 | RiGate (Heavy) | 53.6-39.5-25.7-13.0 (4F) | Slight Full | A |
| Feerenberg | 12/24 | MiW (Good) | 83.8-67.6-52.7-38.1-11.5 | Strong | A |
| Peter Site | 12/24 | MiW (Good) | 99.6-83.1-69.1-54.5-12.0 | Strong | B+ |
| Tangent Arc | 12/24 | MiW (Good) | 66.5-51.4-37.1-11.6 (5F) | Handily | B |
Expect Peter Site to set a steady pace from the front. June Velocity will likely track the leader, while favorite Ecolo Duel settles mid-pack. The “stamina monster” Neviim will bide his time at the rear. The race will truly begin after the second passage of the Great Hedge, where stamina becomes the deciding factor.
The clear favorite. His training, pedigree, and maturity signal that his previous victory was no fluke. He is in exceptional form and is the horse to beat.
The primary challenger. If the race becomes a grueling test of endurance, his stamina could prove decisive in the final stretch. A significant threat.
Possesses top-tier ability but must prove his mettle on the unique Nakayama course. A strategic ride could see his speed prevail.
An intriguing prospect with explosive finishing speed. Could challenge for a top spot if the race unfolds favorably.
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