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Race Analysis & Predictions:2025 Hanshin Cup (GII)

A deep dive into the contenders, track conditions, and data trends for the final graded race of the year at Hanshin Racecourse.

Key Contenders at a Glance

Namura Clair

The Absolute Queen. Top pick with strong bloodlines, excellent condition, and high reliability.

Lugal

Upset Potential. Shows growth with European stamina, capable on heavy ground.

June Blair

The Pace Setter. Speed endurance is key; victory possible if she controls the race.

Danon McKinley

A 1400m Specialist with a decisive late surge potential.

Hanshin 1400m Track Analysis

The inner course is a unique test of speed, stamina, and power, defined by its intense pace, grueling uphill finish, and challenging late-season turf conditions.

Intense Pace & Exhausting Race

Aggressive early pace battles and a downhill run into the straight demand exceptional speed endurance without a moment to recover.

Uphill Finish & “European Stamina”

A steep 1.5% gradient in the final 356.5m straight favors horses with power and stamina from bloodlines like Storm Cat and Sadler’s Wells.

Late-Season Track & B Course Impact

Winter conditions and a potentially soft track on the B course will favor horses proven on demanding ground, adding another layer of complexity.

In-Depth Contender Profiles

Top Pick

Namura Clair

Filly, 6 years old • 56kg • C. Lemaire

Her Mickey Isle x Storm Cat pedigree provides a potent mix of high speed and resilience, ideal for Hanshin’s uphill finish. Training reports are exceptional, with a 1F 11.9 on a heavy track, indicating “outstanding condition.” At 6 years old, she shows no decline and the 1400m distance is her sweet spot. A highly reliable choice.

Pedigree

Mickey Isle x Storm Cat

Pace Setter

June Blair

Filly, 4yo • 56kg • Y. Take

Her “American dirt speed x European stamina” cross is a unique asset. After a strong 2nd in the Sprinters Stakes, she is poised to control the race from the front, a crucial advantage. Jockey Yutaka Take’s strategy will be pivotal.

Specialist

Danon McKinley

Colt, 4yo • 58kg • C. Demuro

A confirmed 1400m powerhouse, with wins in the Falcon and Swan Stakes. His Maurice lineage provides power for the uphill finish, and he possesses a devastating late kick if the pace is right. He is in good shape after a break.

Prime Contender

Lugal

Colt, 5 years old • 58kg • K. Samejima

Duramente’s explosive growth combined with Sadler’s Wells’ European stamina makes him a major threat, especially on demanding winter tracks. His front-running style and sustained finish are perfectly suited for Hanshin. He is considered to be at his peak and can challenge Namura Clair for the win.

Pedigree

Duramente x New Approach

Condition Note

“Good body and movement.”

Noteworthy Dark Horses

Yoshino Easter

7yo Horse showing “increased power.” Suited for sustained races.

Gloria Laus

4yo Gelding whose sire won this race twice. Best at 1400m.

Mickey Gorgeous

5yo Filly with strong stamina. First 1400m, could be an advantage.

Shonan Xanadu

3yo Filly with a weight advantage. Potential to surprise if she starts well.

Data & Winning Trends

  • G1 Runner AdvantageHorses coming from the Sprinters Stakes or Mile Championship have a high success rate. Namura Clair, Danon McKinley, and June Blair fit this profile.
  • St. Simon LineageBloodlines indicating resilience and stamina (Ribot, Prince Rose) historically perform well. Lugal and June Blair carry this trait.
  • Training TellsStrong training comments for Namura Clair (“desire to win”) and Yoshino Easter (“increased power”) suggest peak condition and high intent.

Final Verdict

Namura Clair stands out as the most reliable pick due to her pedigree, condition, and G1 experience. However, Lugal presents a formidable challenge with his growth and suitability for a tough race. June Blair‘s pace-setting could steal the show, while Danon McKinley remains a dangerous specialist with a powerful finish.View Final Betting Strategy

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データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。