A deep dive into the contenders, track conditions, and data trends for the final graded race of the year at Hanshin Racecourse.
Key Contenders at a Glance
Namura Clair
The Absolute Queen. Top pick with strong bloodlines, excellent condition, and high reliability.
Lugal
Upset Potential. Shows growth with European stamina, capable on heavy ground.
June Blair
The Pace Setter. Speed endurance is key; victory possible if she controls the race.
Danon McKinley
A 1400m Specialist with a decisive late surge potential.
Hanshin 1400m Track Analysis
The inner course is a unique test of speed, stamina, and power, defined by its intense pace, grueling uphill finish, and challenging late-season turf conditions.
Intense Pace & Exhausting Race
Aggressive early pace battles and a downhill run into the straight demand exceptional speed endurance without a moment to recover.
Uphill Finish & “European Stamina”
A steep 1.5% gradient in the final 356.5m straight favors horses with power and stamina from bloodlines like Storm Cat and Sadler’s Wells.
Late-Season Track & B Course Impact
Winter conditions and a potentially soft track on the B course will favor horses proven on demanding ground, adding another layer of complexity.
In-Depth Contender Profiles
Top Pick
Namura Clair
Filly, 6 years old • 56kg • C. Lemaire
Her Mickey Isle x Storm Cat pedigree provides a potent mix of high speed and resilience, ideal for Hanshin’s uphill finish. Training reports are exceptional, with a 1F 11.9 on a heavy track, indicating “outstanding condition.” At 6 years old, she shows no decline and the 1400m distance is her sweet spot. A highly reliable choice.
Pedigree
Mickey Isle x Storm Cat
Pace Setter
June Blair
Filly, 4yo • 56kg • Y. Take
Her “American dirt speed x European stamina” cross is a unique asset. After a strong 2nd in the Sprinters Stakes, she is poised to control the race from the front, a crucial advantage. Jockey Yutaka Take’s strategy will be pivotal.
Specialist
Danon McKinley
Colt, 4yo • 58kg • C. Demuro
A confirmed 1400m powerhouse, with wins in the Falcon and Swan Stakes. His Maurice lineage provides power for the uphill finish, and he possesses a devastating late kick if the pace is right. He is in good shape after a break.
Prime Contender
Lugal
Colt, 5 years old • 58kg • K. Samejima
Duramente’s explosive growth combined with Sadler’s Wells’ European stamina makes him a major threat, especially on demanding winter tracks. His front-running style and sustained finish are perfectly suited for Hanshin. He is considered to be at his peak and can challenge Namura Clair for the win.
Pedigree
Duramente x New Approach
Condition Note
“Good body and movement.”
Noteworthy Dark Horses
Yoshino Easter
7yo Horse showing “increased power.” Suited for sustained races.
Gloria Laus
4yo Gelding whose sire won this race twice. Best at 1400m.
Mickey Gorgeous
5yo Filly with strong stamina. First 1400m, could be an advantage.
Shonan Xanadu
3yo Filly with a weight advantage. Potential to surprise if she starts well.
Data & Winning Trends
- ▶G1 Runner AdvantageHorses coming from the Sprinters Stakes or Mile Championship have a high success rate. Namura Clair, Danon McKinley, and June Blair fit this profile.
- ▶St. Simon LineageBloodlines indicating resilience and stamina (Ribot, Prince Rose) historically perform well. Lugal and June Blair carry this trait.
- ▶Training TellsStrong training comments for Namura Clair (“desire to win”) and Yoshino Easter (“increased power”) suggest peak condition and high intent.
Final Verdict
Namura Clair stands out as the most reliable pick due to her pedigree, condition, and G1 experience. However, Lugal presents a formidable challenge with his growth and suitability for a tough race. June Blair‘s pace-setting could steal the show, while Danon McKinley remains a dangerous specialist with a powerful finish.View Final Betting Strategy
未分類