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Race Analysis & Prediction

Hida Stakes 2025

An in-depth analysis of pedigree, training, and course suitability for the Chukyo Racecourse 1400m showdown.

Event

Hida Stakes

Venue

Chukyo, Turf 1400m

Date

December 6, 2025

Key Takeaways

Track Advantage

Opening week conditions favor horses with inside draws and a forward racing style due to the pristine turf.

Dual Demands

The course’s long straight and steep uphill finish require a potent combination of both high speed and deep stamina.

Top Contenders

Analysis points to Lady Marion as the prime selection, with Yuhannus as the strongest challenger.

Chukyo 1400m Course Breakdown

Layout & Finish

Starts on a gentle uphill, moves to a long downhill into a speed-maintaining spiral curve. The race culminates in a grueling 412.5m straight with a steep 2.0m incline, testing every horse’s resolve.

Track Conditions

Being opening week, the turf will be immaculate and firm. This creates fast track conditions favoring front-runners and horses on the inner rail who can conserve energy for the final push.

Draw & Style Bias

Inner to middle draws (especially gate 4) are historically strong. While front-running is advantageous on a fresh track, the punishing finish allows for skilled closers to make dramatic late charges.

Contender Analysis

1

Hawaiian Tiare

Draw 1, Gate 1 ・ Filly, 4yo

Pedigree: Lord Kanaloa x Manhattan Cafe. Speed/stamina blend with power for the uphill.

Form: 6th last start after stumbling. Showed resilience. Distance reduction could be key.

Training: Excellent condition, marked good times despite a break.

Overall: Innermost draw is a huge plus. A clean start makes her a major contender.

2

Yuhannus

Draw 2, Gate 2 ・ Horse, 5yo

Pedigree: Frankel x Tani no Gimlet. Powerful lineage suited for Chukyo’s tough track.

Form: 3rd with fastest closing speed last start. Showing increased stability.

Training: Finished strong on the woodchip, maintaining peak form.

Overall: Highest rated contender. Excellent draw and current form make him highly reliable.

3

Anitra

Draw 3, Gate 3 ・ Filly, 5yo

Pedigree: Lord Kanaloa x Daiwa Major. An elite speed pedigree.

Form: Won a Class 2 race, first start in Class 3. First time with blinkers.

Training: Light work but maintaining good condition.

Overall: A speedster who could hold on if she gets the lead from the inner draw.

6

Lady Marion

Draw 5, Gate 6 ・ Filly, 4yo

Pedigree: Harbinger x Sunday Silence. Excellent combo for tough tracks like Chukyo.

Form: 6th last start, but has previously finished 2nd on this course. Proven suitability.

Training: Highly rated; showed light and brisk movement. Excellent condition.

Overall: A course specialist with a good draw and form. Strong win contender.

12

Fortem

Draw 8, Gate 12 ・ Horse, 3yo

Pedigree: Fierement progeny. Balanced speed and stamina.

Form: Finished 5th despite a critical slow start, demonstrating genuine ability.

Training: Highly rated with “energetic movement.” Significantly improved condition.

Overall: Top-tier ability but high risk with the outermost draw and gate issues. High reward potential.

10

Mistress

Draw 7, Gate 10 ・ Filly, 3yo

Pedigree: Kizuna progeny, expected to show strong closing speed.

Form: Trainer’s confidence shown by racing two weeks in a row.

Weight: Advantageous 55kg weight allowance as a 3-year-old filly.

Overall: Outer draw is a concern, but could be an interesting contender if the race develops favorably.

* Other contenders include #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #11. Analysis focused on top prospects.

Final Predictions & Strategy

◎ Main Selection

#6

Lady Marion

The top pick due to a perfect storm of course suitability, excellent training reports, and a clear reason for her last defeat. Her ability to handle Chukyo’s unique demands makes her the one to beat.

◯ Second Selection

#2

Yuhannus

The most talented horse in the field. His powerful closing speed and ideal inner draw make him a stable, reliable contender who is least likely to be affected by race development.

▲ Third Selection

#1

Hawaiian Tiare

△ Fourth Selection

#12

Fortem

Betting Strategy

Anchor bets around #6 Lady Marion. A Quinella pairing with #2 Yuhannus is the core strategy. For Trifectas, use #6 and #2 as the axis, flowing to #1 Hawaiian Tiare and #12 Fortem. A broad Trifecta box including #3 Anitra and #10 Mistress could offer high returns.

For detailed betting slips and final expert opinions, refer to official sources.View Final Betting Slips

AI Web Developer Generated Content. For demonstration purposes only.

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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