December 2, 2025 – Identifying Bargain Horses for High Returns
Strategic Insights
This comprehensive analysis delves into the Ohi Racecourse on December 2, 2025, with a singular focus on unearthing “bargain horses” — those undervalued by the market but possessing immense potential for significant payouts. By synergizing advanced AI predictions (win rate, place rate, expected return) with deep dives into historical data, training evaluations, bloodline heritage, and insider stable comments, we aim to pinpoint horses poised for exceptional performance and lucrative returns.
Key Recommendations
02R Waxing Moon
◎ Outstanding ability and training, strong favorite.
AI Win Rate:56.7%
AI Expected Return:216%
03R Immersive
Expected return over 300%, highly likely to win consecutively.
AI Win Rate:38.3%
AI Expected Return:314%
04R Ruby Shields
Maiden showing superior training, expected to perform well from debut.
AI Win Rate:48.1%
AI Expected Return:191%
05R Mighty Strike
Long shot with significant growth potential, high value.
AI Win Rate:19.0%
AI Expected Return:331%
12R Neo Tokyo
Anchor for the main race, emphasizing improvement.
AI Win Rate:32.0%
AI Expected Return:273%
Ohi Racecourse Dynamics
1200m / 1400m (Outer Track)
The widest track in Southern Kanto, featuring a substantial 386m straight. This configuration significantly favors horses with both strong front-running capabilities and sustained closing speed. Post position impact is minimized, placing a premium on absolute speed and the ability to maintain pace over the longer distance.
1600m (Inner Track)
Characterized by a shorter straight (286m) and tighter turns. Success on this track hinges on a horse’s cornering proficiency and its acceleration capabilities. Strategic positioning by the 4th corner is paramount for success.
Detailed Race Breakdowns
Ohi 02R: Thoroughbreds C2
Distance: 1400m (Dirt・Outer) | Start: 15:02
Outlook: A dynamic C2 class race on the outer 1400m, rewarding true ability. AI strongly favors ◎ Waxing Moon with exceptional win rates.
Featured Horse: ◎ Waxing Moon
Stall/Gate: 13 / 8
Jockey: Hiroshi Ando (56kg)
Trainer: K. Aramayama (Ohi)
Sire/Dam Sire: Admire Moon / New Approach
Bloodline: Inherits “sustained speed” and strong dirt aptitude.
Training: A-Rating. Performed on par with a higher-class B2 horse, indicating superior ability. Excellent condition.
Stable Comments: Wide outside gate is beneficial.
Rival Horses & AI Returns
- 12 Yorinasweet: Top rival, stable confident. AI Return: 216%
- 7 Hakayashin: Expected improvement after break. AI Return: 164%
- 11 Jilkun: Training good, jockey upgrade. AI Return: 154%
- 5 Tosen Dean: High data evaluation, skilled jockey. AI Return: 213%
Ohi 03R: Thoroughbreds C2 Sprint
Distance: 1200m (Dirt・Outer) | Start: 15:35
Outlook: A crucial 1200m sprint where start position dictates pace. AI identifies ◎ Immersive for high reliability and exceptional payout potential.
Featured Horse: ◎ Immersive
Stall/Gate: 5 / 3
Jockey: Yuzuru Wada (56kg)
Trainer: N. Matoba (Ohi)
Sire/Dam Sire: Four Wheel Drive / Samurai Heart
Bloodline: Sire is an early-maturing speedster, dam’s line high adaptability.
Training: Continual Improvement. Condition improved post-victory.
Stable Comments: Trainer confident if start is decent, can secure position and break away.
Rival Horses & AI Returns
- 16 Deep Ocean: Top overall index, threat from wide gate. AI Return: 193%
- 1 Nobishiro: Contender from innermost gate. AI Return: 181%
- 9 The Crown: Expected improvement after break. AI Return: 155%
- 12 Takenorich: Consistently top-class training. AI Return: 162%
Ohi 04R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
Distance: 1600m (Dirt・Inner) | Start: 16:07
Outlook: Inner 1600m maiden race emphasizes “completeness” and “aptitude.” AI highlights ◎ Ruby Shields based on stellar bloodline and training.
Featured Horse: ◎ Ruby Shields
Stall/Gate: 4 / 4
Jockey: Riku Takami (54kg)
Trainer: Shin Tachibana (Ohi)
Sire/Dam Sire: Espoir City / South Vigorous
Bloodline: “Golden combination” in local racing; high adaptability to Ohi’s track.
Training: Outperforms Older Horses. Beat an older horse by 1.2 seconds, showing excellent extension and spirit.
Stable Comments: Trainer has high hopes; preparation was smooth.
Rival Horses & AI Returns
- 2 Lord of Fire: Strong acceleration in training. AI Return: 166%
- 1 Panoplya: Persistent tenacity from innermost gate. AI Return: 112%
- 6 Aozora Pool: High potential if sand issues reduced. AI Return: 171%
Ohi 05R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
Distance: 1400m (Dirt・Outer) | Start: 16:40
Outlook: Outer 1400m maiden requiring absolute speed. AI identifies ◎ Mighty Strike as a “dark horse” with an exceptionally high expected return.
Featured Horse: ◎ Mighty Strike
Stall/Gate: 9 / 8
Jockey: Masashige Honda (55kg)
Trainer: Masahiro Fukuda (Ohi)
Sire/Dam Sire: Gold Dream / Black Hawk
Bloodline: Sire G1 dirt winner; high dirt aptitude and potential.
Training: Transformed by Enhanced Work. Progressively improved, building stamina.
Stable Comments: Trainer believes outer course will suit. 1400m is an excellent stage for its stride.
Rival Horses & AI Returns
- 6 Bernard Handsome: Overwhelming AI Win Rate (51.9%), strong favorite. AI Return: 160%
- 1 Flowery Chain: Ready to perform from debut. AI Return: 133%
- 8 Lucra: Good trial performance, top raw talent. AI Return: 164%
Ohi 12R: North Wind Stakes
Distance: 1400m (Dirt・Outer) | Start: 20:50
Outlook: The main event for A2/B1 classes, demanding a strong finish. AI favors ◎ Neo Tokyo, expected to be undervalued after its previous outing.
Featured Horse: ◎ Neo Tokyo
Stall/Gate: 4 / 4
Jockey: Hiroshi Ando (57kg)
Trainer: K. Aramayama (Ohi)
Sire/Dam Sire: Kizuna / Dubawi
Past Performance: Defeated Lord Arabian two races ago; previous race was after a layoff.
Training: Sustained Good Form. Physically and mentally sharper. Improvement certain after one race.
Stable Comments: Training movements show an upward trend. Clear advantage as it’s making its “second start after a break.”
Rival Horses & AI Returns
- 9 Lord Arabian: Not bothered by layoffs, stable rates it as ready. AI Return: 166%
- 8 Kanau: Finished 2nd last time with improved time. AI Return: 112%
- 12 Ohsin Roku Zero: Strong attack possible from wide outside. AI Return: 171%
- 6 Medieval: Needs reconsideration with change to 1400m distance. AI Return: –
Overall Conclusion & Investment Strategy
Ohi Racecourse on December 2, 2025, presents a unique landscape where distance aptitude and current fitness are paramount. Our analysis highlights key opportunities for strategic betting.
02R Waxing Moon
Most Confident Recommendation (S-Rating)
03R Immersive
Recommended for Payout Value (A-Rating)
04R Ruby Shields
Featured Maiden (A-Rating)
05R Mighty Strike
Recommended Long Shot (B+ Rating)
12R Neo Tokyo
Main Race Anchor (A-Rating)
© 2025 Ohi Racecourse Analysis Report. All rights reserved.
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