Narumi Tokubetsu 2025

featured-image-12109-23e41a708161ad43bcf05167aead1803.png

A Deep Dive into the Gateway for Dirt Stars

December 13, 2025

Chukyo Racecourse, Dirt 1800m

Chukyo Dirt 1800m: Course Analysis

Course Layout & Race Development

The race kicks off near the homestretch entrance with a short 300m run to the first corner, sparking intense early positional battles. An inside draw, like Pod Folc’s (Gate 2), is a significant advantage, minimizing distance loss. The backstretch features a gradual uphill slope, a crucial segment where front-runners must conserve energy while closers time their surge.

Critical Junctures & The Final Test

A downhill run from turns 3 to 4 allows for acceleration, but demands skilled cornering. The race’s defining feature is the grueling homestretch: a steep 1.8m incline starting at the 400m mark. This hill shatters stamina, making the final 200m a pure test of will and power. Horses with stamina-rich pedigrees, like Taisei Mission, often shine in this final, decisive climb.

Detailed Analysis of All Entrants

1

Shousan George

Colt, 3yo, Ritto – M. MatsushitaPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Mozu Ascot (Frankel line) and dam sire Grand Slam (Gone West line). Inherits speed and power, complemented by American dirt bloodline.Training & Condition▶

Recorded a strong 4-furlong time of 52.0s, indicating peak condition. Trainer commented, “He’s progressing smoothly.”Overall Evaluation▶

Innermost gate is ideal. Expected to contend for the win if he starts well. Continued partnership with jockey Y. Kokubun is a plus.

2

Pod Folc

Colt, 3yo, Ritto – M. NishizonoPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Le Vavasseur x dam sire King Kamehameha. A classic dirt pedigree suggesting exceptional performance on the demanding Chukyo course.Training & Condition▶

Showed strong effort in recent workouts, indicating sufficient training and high-level consistency.Overall Evaluation▶

His previous second-place finish was valuable. Consistent front-running ability and inside draw suggest he will aim to lead and hold on.

3

Tatchable

Horse, 5yo, Ritto – N. NakamuraPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Real Steel x dam sire Ruler Ship. A modern Japanese pedigree with high fundamental ability.Training & Condition▶

Final workout was light, but the stable welcomes the switch to a left-handed track.Overall Evaluation▶

With suitable conditions, his inherent ability should allow him to compete effectively.

4

Yumeha Hateshinaku

Horse, 5yo, Ritto – K. IshizakaPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Daiwa Major x dam sire Taiki Shuttle. Originally a turf sprinter, has accumulated experience on dirt.Training & Condition▶

Matched a higher-rated horse in his final workout, showing good movement with a time of 53.0s.Overall Evaluation▶

The planned use of a “Horizone Net” may improve focus. Potential for a turnaround on his favored Chukyo course.

5

King of Fuji

Colt, 4yo, Ritto – K. TsunodaPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Henny Hughes x dam sire King Halo. Combines power with stamina and resilience.Training & Condition▶

Not a strong workhorse, but has received sufficient training.Overall Evaluation▶

Performs better on left-handed tracks. Concentration is key, but could be a threat if the race unfolds favorably.

6

Box Office

Gelding, 4yo, Ritto – K. YoshimuraPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Talismanic x dam sire Dubawi. A pedigree with a strong European influence, emphasizing power and stamina.Training & Condition▶

Trainer commented his “usual liveliness has returned,” indicating improved condition.Overall Evaluation▶

A skilled left-handed track performer with high course suitability. Not to be underestimated.

7

Meito Sui

Horse, 5yo, Ritto – T. HazukiPedigree Analysis▶

Sire フリオーソ (Furioso) x dam sire French Deputy. A pedigree rich in dirt suitability.Training & Condition▶

Recorded a fast 51.8s but appeared to be pushed hard. Trainer is cautious.Overall Evaluation▶

Concerns about a long layoff make it prudent to observe this race. May improve in the future.

8

Jun La Tour

Colt, 4yo, Ritto – T. HamadaPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Pyro x dam sire Special Week. Combines sire’s strength on left-handed tracks with dam sire’s stamina.Training & Condition▶

Final workout was light. The stable is reserved about his prospects after promotion.Overall Evaluation▶

Despite suitability for Chukyo, he may need time to adapt to the new class.

9

Eikai Soul

Colt, 4yo, Ritto – H. FujiwaraPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Hokko Tarumae x dam sire Zenno Rob Roy. Stamina-oriented pedigree for middle-distance dirt races.Training & Condition▶

Showed a sharp finish (11.6s final furlong) in his final workout, indicating good condition despite a layoff.Overall Evaluation▶

Capable horse with G3 experience. “Cheek Pieces” may improve focus, potentially leading to a strong performance.

10

Wonder Sting

Horse, 7yo, Ritto – K. WatanabePedigree Analysis▶

Sire Makfi x dam sire Dehere. A pedigree combining speed and power.Training & Condition▶

Moved lightly with a sharp 11.6s final furlong. Trainer is confident in his condition.Overall Evaluation▶

Despite being 7, his inherent ability is high. Should not be overlooked, even on his seasonal debut.

11

Extra Note

Gelding, 8yo, Miho – K. KatoPedigree Analysis▶

Sire I’ll Have Another x dam sire Gold Allure. A typical dirt pedigree emphasizing toughness.Training & Condition▶

Trainer reports “condition is good, and no signs of age-related decline.”Overall Evaluation▶

May need favorable race development, but a strong finish could place him in contention.

12

Abrams

Colt, 4yo, Miho – S. SuzukiPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Furioso x dam sire South Vigorous. Suited for sprints, but sire’s influence helps with distance.Training & Condition▶

Stable is optimistic about the course change, as his best results are on left-handed tracks.Overall Evaluation▶

Warrants reconsideration on his favored 1800m course. An interesting dark horse candidate.

13

King Blue

Colt, 4yo, Ritto – Y. ShiomiPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Deep Impact x dam sire Redoute’s Choice. Classic turf pedigree, but dam’s power aids dirt suitability.Training & Condition▶

Impressive acceleration in final workout (11.4s final furlong). Trainer highly praises his development.Overall Evaluation▶

Untapped potential. Jockey Y. Fujioka believes “a chance is near.” A strong performance is entirely possible.

14

Meikei Rosetta

Colt, 3yo, Ritto – H. KawashimaPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Real Steel x dam sire Fujikiseki. A pedigree with dirt suitability.Training & Condition▶

Good final furlong time of 11.4s. Trainer expects improvement on this course.Overall Evaluation▶

Caution advised after a significant drop in performance in his last race.

15

Taisei Mission

Gelding, 4yo, Miho – K. ItoPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Kitasan Black x dam sire Novellist. Combines stamina with toughness, ideal for this course.Training & Condition▶

Showed a sharp finish and “powerful stride” in his final workout, indicating perfect condition.Overall Evaluation▶

His previous race showed his true form. Considered to have superior ability at this class; a strong contender for victory.

16

Arare Tabashiru

Colt, 4yo, Miho – Y. NemotoPedigree Analysis▶

Sire Cape Blanco x dam sire Duranndal. Combines European stamina with Japanese acceleration.Training & Condition▶

Finished ahead of higher-rated horses in final workout, receiving high marks for his “lively movement.”Overall Evaluation▶

Blinkers have resolved his hesitation. Chukyo course suits him well, poised to make a powerful late run for a top finish.

Comparative Training Times (Last 2 Weeks)

GateHorse NameDec 3-4Dec 7Dec 10 (Final)Eval
1Shousan George53.7 (Woodchip)57.3 (Woodchip)52.0 – 12.7 (Woodchip)S
2Pod Folc54.2 (Woodchip)54.3 – 12.8 (Woodchip)A
3Tatchable57.7 – 13.3 (Woodchip)C
4Yumeha Hateshinaku87.5 (CW)58.6 (Woodchip)53.0 – 12.4 (Woodchip)B+
5King of Fuji86.8 (CW)60.9 (Woodchip)55.7 – 12.8 (Woodchip)C
6Box Office83.3 (CW)57.6 (Woodchip)54.7 – 12.4 (Woodchip)B
7Meito Sui98.7 (CW)56.4 (Woodchip)51.8 – 13.3 (Woodchip)B-
8Jun La Tour54.3 (Woodchip)89.7 (CW)57.1 – 12.9 (Woodchip)C
9Eikai Soul85.2 (CW)57.5 (Woodchip)82.1 – 11.6 (CW)A
10Wonder Sting85.8 (CW)60.2 (Woodchip)83.6 – 11.6 (CW)B+
11Extra Note71.5 (Miho W)68.8 – 12.4 (Miho W)C
12Abrams68.0 (Miho W)58.0 (Miho S)85.2 – 12.3 (Miho W)B
13King Blue85.9 (CW)88.6 (CW)86.2 – 11.4 (CW)A+
14Meikei Rosetta52.8 (Woodchip)59.5 (Woodchip)85.3 – 11.4 (CW)A
15Taisei Mission54.7 (Miho S)57.0 (Miho S)53.9 – 12.1 (Miho S)A
16Arare Tabashiru62.2 (Miho S)87.0 (Miho W)83.5 – 12.0 (Miho W)S

Final Conclusion & Recommended Horses

TOP PICK

Taisei Mission (15)

No apparent weaknesses. With his pedigree, training, and recent form, he has the strength to dominate if he secures a good position from his outside draw.

Arare Tabashiru (16)

Outstanding training and improved focus with blinkers. The tough Chukyo course is ideal for his powerful late run from the widest gate.

Shousan George (1)

A genuine contender despite the class jump. His phenomenal workout time and ideal inside gate give him upset potential.

King Blue (13)

Special mention. His formidable final furlong in training signals remarkable growth. He could surprise everyone with a strong performance.

Also Consider (△)

Pod Folc (2): Strong front-runner with an advantageous inside draw.
Eikai Soul (9): Capable horse returning with cheek pieces to improve focus.
Box Office (6): A skilled performer on left-handed tracks in improving condition.

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

専門分野: AIを使った競馬予想。生成AIを使ったコンテンツ作成
実績・資格:

主な活動実績 AI競馬マスターズ2023: 3位入賞 俺プロ: 馬将認定 参考成績(中央): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562 参考成績(地方): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/nar/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562

YouTube 1 / 3