【2025/12/2…
未分類目次 【中京5R 2歳未勝利】2025/…
RACE ANALYSIS & PREDICTIONS
December 24th, 2025
Okemaru’s withdrawal creates a “pace vacuum,” favoring front-running horses.
Overall strength and a favorable Storm Cat bloodline for the Nagoya course make it a strong bet.
The local champion’s 56kg weight and ideal race dynamics give it a strong chance to upset JRA rivals.
Storm Cat and Gold Allure lineages are identified as key success factors on this course.
The absence of this undefeated Triple Crown winner points to a slow-to-moderate pace, benefiting front-runners.
Potential New Front-Runners:
| # | Horse Name | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derma Sotogake | 59.0kg |
| 7 | Kazutanger | 58.0kg |
| 9 | Revontulet | 57.0kg |
| 2 | Shin Medaisy | 56.0kg |
| 5 | Bell Pit | 56.0kg |
| 1 | Appealing Look | 54.0kg |
Kazutanger
JRA / Stallion/458.0kgJockey: Masahiro Kawada
A Mercury Cup winner in peak form, making it a strong favorite with no apparent weaknesses. The slower pace is advantageous, and jockey Masahiro Kawada’s skill is a major plus.
Sire Deep Force (Storm Cat lineage) provides speed and power. Dam’s side includes Asakusa Kings for stamina. A perfect fit for 2000m at Nagoya.
Bell Pit
Hokkaido / Stallion/5 / 56.0kg / M. Kuwamura
Hokkaido’s top horse. Likely to secure a prime position. Its 56kg weight advantage could be the key to defeating the JRA horses.
Sire Pyro is highly suited to local dirt, and dam’s sire Daiwa Major enhances its front-running ability.
Derma Sotogake
JRA / Stallion/5 / 59.0kg / T. Danno
A G1-class horse showing signs of recovery. The 59kg weight is challenging, but its inherent ability and class make it a formidable opponent.
Mind Your Biscuits x Neo Universe pedigree excels in middle-distance dirt races.
Shin Medaisy
Kochi / Stallion/4 / 56.0kg / H. Yoshihara
Kochi’s star performer. Consistently performs well at Jpn3 level. With a 56kg weight and a versatile style, it’s a strong candidate for a top-three finish.
Sire Copano Rickey (Gold Allure lineage) has a strong record at Nagoya. Dam adds stamina.
Appealing Look
JRA / Filly/4 / 54.0kg / K. Matsuyama
A sole female contender aiming for a wire-to-wire win. Its 54kg weight and inside gate are significant advantages. If it sets its own pace, it could be hard to catch.
Revontulet
JRA / Stallion/4 / 57.0kg / R. Sakai
A capable performer with G3 ability. Last-place finish is a concern, but has potential to rebound if it races smoothly from a forward position.
Imparts US speed and agility, excelling in cornering acceleration on Nagoya’s track.
Notable Horses: Kazutanger, Revontulet
Stamina-oriented Sunday Silence descendants that have shown exceptional strength in longer graded races at Nagoya.
Notable Horse: Shin Medaisy
From a bloodline perspective, Kazutanger is rated highest due to ideal course suitability and strong form. Shin Medaisy is also a noteworthy contender with strong backing for long-distance races here.
| Horse | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Derma SotogakeShows clear signs of recovery. Sharp workout times indicate highest level of improvement. | B+ |
| KazutangerSufficient load in workouts, in good condition and ready to perform. | B |
| RevontuletGood progress, no decline in condition. Expected to perform to ability. | B |
| Appealing LookMaintaining good condition. Final adjustments were satisfactory. | B |
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Main Prediction: Kazutanger
Peak form, favorable dynamics, and bloodline suitability.
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Bell Pit
Strong Contender
▲
Derma Sotogake
Dark Horse
△ Potential Placers
Shin Medaisy, Appealing Look, RevontuletView Final Betting Strategy →