Kinpai (Gold Cup) 2025 M2 Race Preview
With Nambu Koma Sho champion Dionysus as the favorite for the 2-year-old graded race at Mizusawa, we break down the key contenders. An in-depth analysis of recent form, course suitability, and pedigree to pinpoint the top prospects for victory.
Key Takeaways
Top Contender: Dionysus
With a victory in the graded Nambu Koma Sho, Dionysus stands out as the horse with the best record.
Recent Performers
Love Collagen and Midas Touch are strong rivals based on their excellent recent performances.
Course Specialist
Moccato Mone is a key horse to watch, having already won over the same 1600m course at Mizusawa.
Dark Horse: Itazura Vega
Don’t overlook Itazura Vega, a proven talent with a 2nd place finish in the graded Kantsubaki Sho, poised for a comeback.
Table of Contents
The Frontrunner: Nambu Koma Sho Champion “Dionysus”
Among this field, Dionysus (a 2-year-old colt from the Sasa Yoshi厩舎 stable at Mizusawa) undoubtedly has the most impressive record. After finishing 2nd in the graded Next Star Morioka race, he went on to claim a brilliant victory in the graded Nambu Koma Sho.
- Course Suitability: While his notable achievements are from Morioka, he shows no signs of issues with right-handed dirt tracks based on his past performances, despite lacking a win at Mizusawa.
- Race Schedule: He enters this race fresh, with about a month’s break (5 weeks) since his last run. This is a significant advantage, as many rivals competed as recently as December 8th.
Evaluating the Contenders from the December 8th Races
Many of the horses in this race competed at Mizusawa within the last two weeks (on December 8th). Their performance in those races is a crucial key to our predictions.
Contenders from Mizusawa Race 6 (Dec 8)
In this race, Love Collagen and Combat Snail were the top finishers.
- Love Collagen (2-year-old colt): Showed great consistency by taking the lead on a muddy track and finishing a strong 2nd.
- Combat Snail (2-year-old filly): Finished 3rd in the same race.
Contenders from Mizusawa Race 9 (Dec 8)
Meanwhile, another group including Midas Touch and Itazura Vega competed in the 9th race.
- Midas Touch (2-year-old filly): Finished 2nd, signaling she is in good form.
- Itazura Vega (2-year-old filly): Finished 5th, but this talented horse previously placed 2nd in the graded Kantsubaki Sho. A comeback is highly anticipated.
Analysis by Mile Aptitude and Pedigree
The race is a 1600m dirt contest, making distance suitability and pedigree important factors.
Dionysus
- Sire: Leontes
- Dam: Floral Park (Damsire: Henny Hughes)
- A pedigree of Leontes x Henny Hughes combines speed and power, making it ideal for a dirt mile.
Moccato Mone (2-year-old filly)
- Sire: Bamboo Ere
- Dam: Jeweled (Damsire: Storming Home)
- She won a 1600m race at Mizusawa on November 25th, proving her suitability for this course and distance.
Itazura Vega
- Sire: Mischievous Alex
- Dam: Wing Furioso (Damsire: Furioso)
- With the legendary local dirt champion Furioso as her damsire, she could surge ahead if the race becomes a tough test of stamina.
Conclusion: Final Prediction
While Dionysus leads on paper, the race’s outcome will hinge on how well rivals like Moccato Mone, who has proven Mizusawa 1600m form, the talented Itazura Vega, and the in-form Love Collagen can challenge him. A comprehensive judgment that includes the day’s track conditions (which have recently been muddy) will be essential.
See the Pro’s Final Picks
For more detailed information, including professional final selections and betting slips, please visit the link below.View Pro Predictions on netkeiba →
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