【朝日杯FS】アドマ…
未分類【朝日杯FS】アドマイヤクアッズとはなん…
Deep Dive Analysis & Race Predictions
December 27, 2025 • Hanshin Racecourse • 1800m Dirt
A critical 3-win class race for 3-year-olds and up, the Maya Stakes is a key “dragon gate” for aspiring champions eyeing the 2026 G1 dirt circuit. It features a fascinating clash between promising 3-year-olds and seasoned older horses.
Hanshin’s 1800m dirt is a true test of ability. A signature uphill gradient before the finish demands a rare blend of speed, power, and stamina, often favoring strong closers.
With a “fast track” expected, speed is paramount. While this typically favors front-runners, Hanshin’s demanding layout can cause them to falter. Horses with American bloodlines, like Double Joke and Quantum Wave, are well-suited as they possess both speed and power for these conditions.
Jockey: C. Lemaire
A strong favorite with a powerful pedigree (Gold Dream x French Deputy). However, a slow final furlong in training raises concerns of being “slightly heavy.” Ability is undeniable, but race-day condition is key.
CONCERN: Carrying extra weight
Jockey: C. Demuro
Returning from injury but in perfect form. Impressive workout, outclassing a higher-ranked horse. Sire Nadal’s progeny perform well after a break. A top contender despite the layoff.
STRENGTH: Excellent post-layoff condition
Jockey: TBD
Mentally composed and improving. Pedigree (Kizuna x King Kamehameha) suggests strong fighting spirit. A versatile and reliable choice, unlikely to perform poorly. A solid, stable contender.
ASSET: Mental growth and consistency
Jockey: TBD
The dark horse with the most impressive training. Updated personal best on a heavy track, showing explosive energy. Sire Practical Joke gives it speed, ideal for a fast track. High upset potential.
WATCH FOR: Explosive late surge
1
If the track is fast, absolute speed trumps power. Horses with American bloodlines like Double Joke and Quantum Wave excel in these conditions and should be highly rated.
2
The disparity in training reports is critical. While favorite Hanau Beach has concerns, Quantum Wave and Double Joke are praised. This is a vital factor for betting strategy.
3
A likely fast pace could exhaust front-runners on the final uphill stretch. This opens the door for patient, closing horses like Double Joke and experienced contenders like Chronicle.
◎
Impressive training performance dispels injury concerns. Pedigree is a perfect match for the track, and with C. Demuro riding, it’s a strong victory contender.
○
In peak form, as shown by a personal best in training. On wet dirt that favors its speed, it has the highest potential for a surprise victory.
▲
Remarkable mental growth and racing sense. Strong in tough races and offers consistent performance, making it an ideal horse for a place bet.
△
High ability, but training concerns are real. Likely to be over-bet, so it’s best evaluated as just one of several contenders, not a sure thing.
☆
Proven track record at Hanshin is attractive. If the top contenders falter, it has the ability to finish within the prize money places.
| Horse Name | Course | Time (6F-1F) | Evaluation | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Joke | Ritto CW (Heavy) | 79.9 – 11.5 | Personal Best | Good time, finished ahead |
| Little Happy | Ritto CW (Heavy) | 83.1 – 12.0 | Strong | Showing composure |
| Hanau Beach | Ritto Slope (Heavy) | 55.7 – 13.0 | Pushed Hard | Slightly heavy |
| Quantum Wave | Ritto Slope (Heavy) | 53.1 – 12.4 | Gentle Pace | Showing improvement |
| Meisho Souta | Ritto CW (Heavy) | 84.9 – 11.3 | Gentle Pace | Full of vigor |
The final betting strategy will be determined based on track conditions and paddock observation on race day. Stay tuned to official sources for professional handicapper conclusions.