An in-depth analysis and prediction for Japan’s ultimate test of steeplechase champions.
The reigning champion aims for a historic spring-autumn G1 double victory.
Nebby Im’s stamina and June Velocity’s speed pose the biggest threats.
The grueling 4100m course with its massive obstacles favors European stamina.
Roberto and Sadler’s Wells lines are historically dominant on this track.
A course that demands more than just speed—it requires courage, technique, and immense stamina.
Height 160cm, Width 205cm. A test of trust between horse and rider, requiring a perfect takeoff.
Height 160cm, Width 240cm. The ultimate challenge, encountered when fatigue sets in, demanding flawless form.
Sharp undulations drain stamina and disrupt rhythm, punishing any wasted energy.
Firm, worn turf in late December demands raw power, favoring horses with robust, European bloodlines.
A deep dive into the champions vying for the crown.
The Undisputed Champion
Colt, 6 y/o
Pedigree: Kitasan Black / Giant’s Causeway
Trainer: Koki Iwato
Analysis: Poised for a consecutive spring-autumn victory. His pedigree combines stamina (Kitasan Black) and toughness (Giant’s Causeway), ideal for this course. A record-breaking win in the spring Grand Jump and flawless training sessions, including a final workout described as “perfect,” make him the horse to beat. His mental growth and established partnership with jockey Taro Kusano are significant assets.The Stamina Challenger
Colt, 7 y/o
Pedigree: Kizuna / Singspiel
With immense stamina from his Sadler’s Wells lineage, the 4100m distance is his ideal battleground. Finished second to the champion in spring and is a proven course performer. Could apply early pressure and force an upset.The Speed Specialist
Colt, 7 y/o
Pedigree: Road to the Crown / Symboli Kris S
Known for his speed and jumping skill, he defeated Ecole Duel in their last encounter. His Roberto lineage provides stamina, but adapting his speed-based style to Nakayama’s grueling course is the main challenge. In peak form.The Rising Specialist
Colt, 5 y/o
Pedigree: Eishin Flash / Matsuri Da Gosh
The youngest contender and a Nakayama specialist. His bloodline is perfect for this course’s unique challenges. A sharp final workout and improving form make him a serious threat for a podium finish.
Evaluating the potential of every horse in the race.
1
Strong stamina, inside draw advantage.
2
Jumping skill is an asset.
3
May hold on if he sets the pace.
4
The favorite with no weaknesses.
5
Needs a favorable race development.
6
Top speed, distance is the question.
7
Strong contender at Nakayama.
8
Stamina may compensate for inexperience.
9
Legendary jockey is a key factor.
10
Tough track conditions will benefit.
Bloodline trends that dominate the Daishogai.
June Velocity, Platinum Dream, Peter Site
Nebby Im, Tamamo Ace
Ecole Duel, Alde Duomo, Meisho Atsuita
Comparing the “winning aura” from training.
| # | Horse Name | Evaluation | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ecole Duel | Perfect | Marked good time easily. Peak condition. |
| 1 | Nebby Im | Thorough | Sufficient load. Ready for race day. |
| 6 | June Velocity | Good | Body tightened, sharp movement. |
| 7 | Feelen Berg | Improving | Sharp finish of 11.5s. Shows winning intent. |
How the four-minute drama might unfold on the track.
Peter Site leads, with Nebby Im and June Velocity close behind. Ecole Duel settles mid-pack, conserving energy and focusing on clean jumps over the Great Steeple.
The race intensifies. Stamina powerhouses Nebby Im and Ecole Duel begin their advance, challenging the leaders. This is the make-or-break moment for June Velocity’s stamina.
With no jumps left, it’s a flat-out sprint to the finish. Ecole Duel, having conserved energy, unleashes a powerful finish to claim victory, with Nebby Im and a charging Feelen Berg battling for the podium.
Ecole Duel’s superiority in pedigree, form, and training makes him the overwhelming favorite. The main battle will be for the remaining podium spots, where stamina and course suitability will be the deciding factors.
FAVORITE (◎)
4 Ecole Duel
CONTENDER (○)
1 Nebby Im
DARK HORSE (▲)
6 June Velocity
THIRD CHOICE (△)
7 Feelen Berg, 3 Peter Site, 9 Platinum Dream