Funabashi AI Analysis

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December 9, 2025

Strategic Overview

Absolute Anchors

  • R3:Taisei Live (90% Show)
  • R4:End Stage (62% Win)
  • R2:Adramarick (Top Score)

High Value Plays

  • R1:Max Heart (Potential)
  • R7:Tekapo (519% Odds)

Feature Races

  • R11:Kenshi Rainbow
  • R12:Fifty’s

Race-by-Race Analysis

R1: I LOVE MILK Ibaraki Chichichi Prize

2-year-olds, Dirt 1200m

The Funabashi 1200m course offers a fair start with ample distance to the first turn, generally minimizing gate bias. However, for inexperienced 2-year-olds, factors like sand exposure and mental toughness in traffic are crucial. Changes in equipment or training intensity can significantly impact young horses’ performance.

Featured Horse

Max Heart (8-9)

AI Comp. Score: 209

Training & Equipment

Shown improvement with a shadow roll. Latest workout on Dec 5th (66.9 – 51.1 – 38.2) indicates enhanced cardiovascular capacity and fighting spirit, finishing just 0.1s behind a higher-class B2 horse.

Pedigree

Sire Toby’s Corner (USA) imparts early maturity and power. Dam’s side includes Sunday Silence blood, blending American dirt power with Japanese sprinting ability. A strong candidate for improvement and value betting.

R2: 3-year-olds, Class 1

3-year-olds, Dirt 1200m

As the season progresses, the abilities and suitability of 3-year-olds become clearer. This “Class 1” race features horses that have gained experience against older competitors. Speed is key, but stamina is also required for the finish.

Featured Horse

Adramarick (5-5)

AI Comp. Score: 229

Win26%

Place41%

Show55.5%

Suitability & Development

Strength lies in consistent front-running and a stable finishing kick. The gate position (5-5) is ideal, allowing it to track leaders and potentially break away. Expected odds of 340% are favorable.

R3: 2-year-olds, Class 2, Selected

2-year-olds, Dirt 1200m

“Selected” races attract talent, but one horse stands out significantly. This race is likely to be decided by the highest level of completion, overcoming the usual unpredictability of 2-year-old races.

Featured Horse

Taisei Live (7-7)

Win54.4%

Place75.8%

Show89.9%

Training & Confidence

Preparation described as perfect. Final workout was strong (67.9 – 51.9 – 38.2). Trainer expressed satisfaction and expects a strong performance with the addition of a shadow roll.

Pedigree

Sire Taisei Legend was a champion sprinter. Dam’s side includes stamina bloodlines (Manhattan Cafe, Mejiro McQueen), creating a balanced “speed x stamina” profile.

R4: Class 3, Division 2

Dirt 1200m

Class 3 is the lowest tier, but “downgraded” or “late-blooming” horses can show a significant ability difference. Horses with consistent performances in this class hold a distinct advantage.

Featured Horse

End Stage (3-3)

Win62%

Place89.9%

Show92.6%

Performance Analysis

Past data demonstrates superiority. Has won its last three races under varying conditions with exceptional times for Class 3. At 7 years old, being a gelding contributes to its calm temperament. A reliable “banker” for betting.

R5: Class 2, Divisions 4 & 5

Dirt 1200m

Mid-level Class 2 races are often competitive and unpredictable. Recent “improvement” is a key factor. 3-year-olds can rapidly gain strength, making their current condition paramount.

Featured Horse

Genki Ippai (4-4)

Win13%

Place73%

Show73%

Training

Recent workout was exceptional (49.9s for 4F, 37.0s final furlong). Trainer expects further progress in its second start after a break.

Pedigree & Suitability

Pedigree is geared towards speed and power. The shorter 1200m distance this time should suit its speed. High AI show rate of 73% reflects this favorable change.

R6: Class 2, Selected

Dirt 1500m

Class 2 selected races are high-level. “Transfer horses” from other jurisdictions can create betting opportunities due to potential underestimation by the public.

Featured Horse

Ricard (6-7)

Win28%

Place60%

Show60%

Training & Comments

Making its Funabashi debut. Workout performance is impressive, outmaneuvering a strong horse with a sharp finish of 37.4s, indicating Class 2 level ability.

Pedigree

Sire Thunder Snow (USA) is a dual Dubai World Cup winner, known for power and stamina advantageous for the tough Funabashi 1500m.

R7: Clave Secreta Memorial

2-year-old fillies, Dirt 1500m

This significant event for fillies often features fluctuating paces, making composure and positioning critical. Horses disadvantaged in previous races are candidates for a comeback.

Featured Horse

Tekapo (5-7)

Win10%

Place55%

Show55%

Value Proposition

Expected odds of 519% are the highest among all recommendations, indicating significant value. Trainer stated the horse was hampered at the start of its last race and will perform better with a clear run.

Pedigree

Sire Morning (USA) provides speed, while dam’s sire Heart’s Cry provides stamina. An ideal combination for the 1500m distance.

R9: Nerine Sprint

B3 Class, Selected, Dirt 1200m

This B3 class sprint is expected to be fast-paced. In such demanding races, experience at higher levels, or “class,” becomes decisive.

Featured Horse

Tatsuno King O (2-2)

Win20%

Place72%

Show72%

Performance Analysis

Finished 5th in the graded “Yushun Sprint” last year, demonstrating capability against strong sprinters. This ability is superior for the B3 class.

Gate & Race Advantage

Draws the advantageous 2-2 gate, allowing it to run the shortest distance. A significant benefit for its front-running style. The 72% AI show rate makes it a reliable choice.

R11: Heartbeat Cup

3-year-olds, Open, Dirt 1800m

The main race demands stamina, pacing, and mental toughness, serving as a crucial stepping stone towards graded stakes.

Featured Horse

Kenshi Rainbow (3-3)

Win17%

Place67%

Show67%

Training & Experience

Trainer notes that experience against tougher JRA competition has sharpened its focus. Training shows sharp acceleration, indicating readiness for 1800m.

Pedigree

Sire Rainbow Line was a true stayer. Pedigree is well-suited for 1800m and stamina-testing races. Dam’s sire Meisho Samson enhances ability on tough tracks.

R12: Soumei Eichi Sho

Class 1, Selected, Dirt 1800m

The final race can be prone to upsets. In the demanding 1800m, horses with sustained focus and a “forward-looking” attitude are likely to perform well.

Featured Horse

Fifty’s (7-12)

Win22%

Place51%

Show51%

Trainer’s Comments

Trainer commented the horse has improved physically and shows more “forwardness” (motivation). This is crucial for the demanding 1800m distance.

Training & Gate Advantage

Training has been relaxed, suggesting careful preparation. The 7-12 outer gate is advantageous for the Funabashi 1800m start, avoiding being boxed in.

Investment Strategy Summary

The Funabashi Racecourse on December 9, 2025, presents numerous opportunities for investors. The recommended strategy involves using the identified Anchor Horses as the foundation for combination bets like quinellas and trifectas. For higher returns, focus on the Value Bets, particularly Tekapo in Race 7, whose odds are significantly misaligned with its potential. In the feature races, Kenshi Rainbow and Fifty’s are strong contenders. By combining AI data with these strategic insights, investors can manage risk and maximize returns.

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

専門分野: AIを使った競馬予想。生成AIを使ったコンテンツ作成
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