A data-driven betting analysis for the December 7, 2025 newcomer races at Hanshin, Nakayama & Chukyo.
December debuts are a critical proving ground for future champions of the Satsuki Sho and Japanese Oaks.
With no past performance data, success relies on deep analysis of pedigree, training, and stable condition.
Stables target peak condition, but discerning between education and a win-now mentality is key.
Turf, 1 Mile
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Exceptional training, final furlong of 11.0s is comparable to open-class horses. Sire Deepfon has proven turf adaptability.
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High level of maturity and straightforward temperament. Good movement makes it a strong debut contender.
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Progeny of new sire Contrail with a G1 winning dam. Pedigree suggests ‘speed x explosive power’.
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7, 9, 16 – デプレ (Depre), アンソニー (Anthony), ファイヤーナイフ (Fire Knife)
A highly anticipated race often featuring future classic contenders. 17 runners make tactics and draw significant factors.
Dirt, 1800m
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Sire Hokko Tarumae provides high dirt suitability. Stable comments are positive, indicating good form.
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Full brother won a dirt graded race, providing strong bloodline support for dirt suitability.
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Despite its large size, it showed ‘sharp and extending strides’, suggesting hidden potential.
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7, 8 – クイノールト (Quinolt), シャフメラン (Shafmelan)
A tough race requiring power and stamina for the uphill finish. Small field of 10 runners.
Turf, 1200m
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Sire Lord Kanaloa is highly reliable for sprints. Praised for ‘high quality’ and ‘light strides’ in training.
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‘Lively movement’. Can contend if the inside draw (Gate 1) is utilized effectively.
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Unusual US sprinter bloodline. Shows ‘bouncy strides’ with potential if it adapts to Japanese turf.
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8, 10, 11 – リナシタ (Rinashita), サムハラ (Samuhara), ミルトハーバー (Milt Harbor)
A sprint requiring speed endurance and power for the fast pace and demanding uphill finish.
Dirt, 1800m
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Progeny of California Chrome guarantees dirt suitability. Impressive final furlong of 11.5s in training.
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Foreign-bred by Arc winner Sottsass. European bloodlines often handle Japanese dirt well; an unknown quantity.
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Benefits from a strong, dirt-oriented bloodline, giving it a key advantage in this race.
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3, 12, 14 – サウジバラード (Saudi Ballad), ユアフェリシティ (Your Felicity), アメリカンサクラ (American Sakura)
A dirt race demanding a combination of power, stamina, and agility.
Turf, Mile to Middle Distance
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Progeny of new sire Svell Richard. Good training times and ridden by the legendary Yutaka Take.
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Progeny of Lord Kanaloa. Showing good recent form and partnered with a promising young jockey.
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Foreign-bred by Kingman. European speed bloodline has potential to showcase superior speed here.
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11, 1, 17, 4 – リヴァイ (Revival), ウォーターサグラダ (Water Sagrada), テクノピーチ (Techno Peach), エフハリスト (F. Harist)
Chukyo’s long straight and steep climb favor strong performers. Highlights offspring from new sires.
| Race | No. | Horse Name | Jockey | Key Point |
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In newcomer races, training and pedigree analysis are paramount. Always cross-reference with last-minute paddock information and odds fluctuations. Use this analysis to spot potential classic contenders and enjoy the unfolding drama of the next generation of champions.
© 2025 Horse Racing Analytics. This article provides prediction information and does not guarantee accuracy. Please bet responsibly.