Our analysis of the December 21st race at Chukyo’s 1400m dirt track, spotlighting AI leader Danon Fuego, powerhouse Waiwai Legend, and value picks like Protoporos. Get the inside edge with the latest training data and stable insights.
The Chukyo 1400m dirt course, with its turf start, tends to slightly favor outside gates, but the real highlight is the grueling battle down the tough final stretch. The track is expected to be ‘yielding’ (Yaya-Omo), setting the stage for a demanding race requiring a blend of speed and stamina.
The key predictive factor will be how the AI’s ‘value dark horses’ measure up against the heavily favored contenders like Danon Fuego and Waiwai Legend.
Sire
Into Mischief
Damsire
Candy Ride
AI Win Prediction
21.4% (1st)
Danon Fuego, with a pedigree boasting American speed and power, leads the pack with a 21.4% AI win prediction. His recent workout (Dec 17, Ritto Hill) was light but showed fluid movement. Assistant Ishibashi commented, “He ran without losing focus in his last race. It was a strong performance. He definitely has the ability.” His excellent condition and suitability for the Chukyo 1400m dirt make him the horse to beat.
Sire
Danon Legend
Damsire
Fotify
AI Rating
Buy
Another top contender is Waiwai Legend. Sired by Danon Legend out of a Fotify mare, his bloodline holds the potential for explosive speed in dirt sprints. Trainer Maekawa affirmed his condition, stating, “He’s following his usual training pattern. No concerns about his health, and he should run his race.” While his AI win prediction is 4th (10.7%), his overall evaluation, factoring in expected returns, earns him a strong “Buy” signal. He’s a reliable horse with the potential for a big upset.
Sire
War Front
Damsire
Sunday Break
AI Composite Score
317 (1st)
Protoporos stands out with the #1 AI composite score. While his win probability is modest, his high expected return value makes him an attractive longshot. According to Trainer Nishimura, his last race was compromised as he “got boxed in and couldn’t find a rhythm.” However, Nishimura is optimistic: “This course suits him. If he can get a forward position and run in clean air, he can bounce back.” He clocked the fastest time in his Dec 17 CW workout, signaling he’s in peak form.
Sire
Lord Kanaloa
Damsire
Kurofune
AI Rating
Buy
Night Aquarium is another dark horse flagged as a “Buy” by the AI. His Lord Kanaloa x Kurofune pedigree is well-suited for Japan’s speed-focused races. Trainer Sugiyama gives his condition a thumbs-up, saying, “The horse is full of energy.” He ranks 4th in the AI composite score. Expected to be around the 5th favorite, he has a very real chance of hitting the board.
Sire
Henny Hughes
Damsire
Symboli Kris S
AI Grade
A
Satono Phoenix earned the highest “A” grade from the AI evaluation. Progeny of Henny Hughes are a proven force in dirt sprints. Trainer Nishizono commented, “He showed his speed even at the unfamiliar 1400m distance. I’m expecting him to improve off that last run.” With the 2nd highest composite score, he is a contender that cannot be overlooked.
This year’s Cold Moon Stakes is shaping up to be a showdown. The central conflict will be between the AI’s top win probability pick, Danon Fuego, and other AI ‘Buy’ recommendations like Waiwai Legend and Night Aquarium. The wildcard factor will be the high-scoring challengers, Protoporos and Satono Phoenix, and how they disrupt the field.
Pay close attention to horses that showed exceptional form in recent workouts and those with positive comments from their stables.
For the conclusive prediction and more detailed AI forecast data, please visit the link below. We hope it helps you in your betting considerations.See the Final Predictions