The G3 Chunichi Shimbun Hai, a premier handicap stakes race at Chukyo Racecourse. We break down key factors and analyze top contenders’ training sessions one week out, with a special focus on the standout performer Shinhanada.
The rising power of the younger generation of horses is a critical factor in this year’s race.
How the weight differences between proven veterans and up-and-comers will play out on the track.
Assessing which horses are properly conditioned for the demanding winter racing season is vital.
Shinhanada posted a blistering 11.5s final furlong, signaling exceptional readiness.
When analyzing this year’s G3 Chunichi Shimbun Hai, three points are key. First, the momentum of the younger generation, exemplified by Shinhanada. Second, how the handicap difference between established horses and rising stars will impact the race. Finally, the horses’ winter conditioning, which is crucial at this time of year. Training performance is an especially vital indicator of a horse’s current state.
Here, we evaluate and compare the training form of the horses expected to be top contenders.
| Horse Name | Key Trait | Training Highlight |
|---|---|---|
| Shinhanada | High overall ability, exceptional burst of speed | Clocked a sharp 11.5s for the final furlong on the woodchip course, showing prime condition. |
| Vincensio | Returning to turf from dirt, expected to rebound | Watch to see if it can show its true form on its preferred surface. |
| Family Time | Attractive light handicap (55kg), likely front-runner | Has a strong chance to hold on if the race pace suits. |
| Shake Your Heart | Known for consistent and steady race performance | Possesses the ability to be a consistent contender for the top spots. |
The horse that showed the most remarkable form in the one-week-out training was Shinhanada. In a workout on the woodchip course, it recorded an exceptionally sharp time of 11.5 seconds for the final furlong (200m). This explosive speed will be a major weapon. After its last race, jockey Samejima commented that its sharpness was “unexpected” and “more than he imagined,” indicating the stable’s high opinion. It’s clear that moving up in class will not be a barrier.
While Shinhanada stands out, other contenders shouldn’t be underestimated. Vincensio is expected to rebound on its return to its preferred turf course. Family Time could gain a tactical advantage if it can leverage its light 55kg handicap to set the pace. And the ever-reliable Shake Your Heart is a solid choice to be in the mix at the finish line.
This year’s field features offspring from several distinctive sires. Shinhanada’s sire, Rey de Oro, produces progeny known for their sustained speed, making the Chukyo course a favorable stage. In contrast, the two runners sired by Real Steel are known for their explosive acceleration. Also, keep an eye on Shake Your Heart, sired by Heart’s Cry, whose offspring often mature and improve as older horses.
Beyond the favorites, two horses warrant attention. The first is Merriorem, ridden by the master jockey Yutaka Take. Despite a loss in its previous race, it could be a formidable threat if it has been properly reset. The second is Red Valiente, who is expected to show improvement after a tune-up race.
Based on the one-week-out training, our top pick at this stage is the exceptionally fit Shinhanada. As main challengers, we list Vincensio, who is poised for a comeback, and Family Time, who could benefit from the race dynamics.
However, this is just a preliminary assessment. For a winning ticket, it’s crucial to check the final workouts and any changes in horse weight leading up to race day. Our final predictions will be released on race day, so be sure to subscribe and stay tuned!
What are the key points to look for in winter training sessions?
Pay close attention to the time for the ‘final furlong’ (the last 200 meters) of a workout. A faster time indicates strong explosive power and excellent conditioning. For example, Shinhanada’s time of 11.5 seconds is a clear sign of being in peak form.
Summary of Key …