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Champions Cup 2025

A Deep Dive into Training Analysis

Key Takeaways

S

Narkami’s ‘S’ Evaluation signals a new dirt king.

A

Wilson Tesoro shows strong recovery signs.

Chukyo 1800m demands stamina & late acceleration.

1. Course Analysis: Chukyo Dirt 1800m

The Chukyo dirt 1800m is notoriously tough. A short run to the first corner and a steep uphill finish demand early speed, resilience, and a final burst of acceleration.

Key Demands

  • Early Speed & Temperament: Crucial for position battle.
  • Resilience: To maintain pace through the grueling uphill finish.
  • Agility: To navigate sharp corner angles efficiently.

Training Indicators

  • Extended Gallop: Strong finish over at least six furlongs.
  • Accelerating Lap: Final furlong around 12.0s without fade.
  • Responsiveness: Smooth lead changes and explosive reaction.

2. Top Contenders Analysis

Narkami

Colt, 3yo, Trainer: Hiroyasu Tanaka

S

Training befitting a “king.” Clocked a final furlong of 11.2 seconds, displaying exceptional leg action and physical growth. Jockey Keita Tosaki confirms he has “powered up and lost all his previous timidity.” Flawless condition.

Wilson Tesoro

Colt, 6yo, Trainer: Noboru Takagi

A

Last year’s runner-up has recovered well from fatigue. A remarkable improvement in his final session confirms his G1-caliber recovery ability. Trainer Noboru Takagi is confident: “His condition is good.”

Luxor Cafe

Colt, 3yo, Trainer: Noriyuki Hori

A

Despite a demanding schedule after his Musashino Stakes win, his condition is “stable” — high praise from his trainer. Sharp response in his final workout and strong mental fortitude make him a major threat.

3. Dark Horse Watch

Sixpence

Showed powerful leg action on the woodchip course. His trainer praised his “tight and compact” body. With added dirt experience, he’s poised for a potential upset.

Double Heart Bond

Excellent overall training time, but jockey noted a slight lack of response in the closing stages, hinting at possible fatigue. Her inherent talent is the key.

Meisho Hario

The 8-year-old veteran showed sharp acceleration (11.4s final furlong) and “tremendous fighting spirit.” Could finish his career on a high note.

Outrange

Physique is leaner and improved from his last race. If he can run at his own rhythm, his characteristic tenacity could shine through.

4. Training Data Comparison

#Horse NameTimeCommentEval.
12Narkami82.0-11.2Exceptional leg action, remarkable growthS
8Wilson Tesoro66.5-11.9 (5F)Fatigue resolved, steady stridesA
16Luxor Cafe83.1-11.6Stable condition, high-level consistencyA
11Sixpence52.1-12.2Powerful leg action, well-developed physiqueA
2Double Heart Bond52.0-12.7Response needs improvementB+
3Meisho Hario83.9-11.4Full of fighting spiritB+
9Outrange82.1-11.4Leaner, improved from last raceB+

5. Beyond Training: Data & Bloodlines

King Kamehameha Trend

For 5 straight years, horses with King Kamehameha bloodlines have placed. This lineage’s stamina is a huge advantage here. Watch Outrange and Peptide Nile.

3-Year-Olds from Local Races

Top-finishing 3-year-olds from local Grade 2+ races have a high success rate. Narkami, winner of the Japan Dirt Classic, fits this profile perfectly.

6. Final Conclusion: A New Champion Awaits

Top Candidate

NARKAMI

Exceptional training, shocking 11.2s final furlong, and resolved physical weaknesses point to the arrival of a new dirt king. He has developed the core strength to dominate, with no apparent weaknesses.

Second Favorite

WILSON TESORO

Remarkable recovery and proven course suitability (2nd for two consecutive years) make him a formidable contender.

Dark Horses

SIXPENCE, LUXOR CAFE, OUTRANGE

All show potential to contend. Outrange, with improved training and bloodline advantage, offers significant betting value.

Get the final professional verdict:Official Pro Forecasts

Note: This article is based on information available at the time of research. Please confirm the horse’s weight on race day and paddock condition before making your final decision.

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

専門分野: AIを使った競馬予想。生成AIを使ったコンテンツ作成
実績・資格:

主な活動実績 AI競馬マスターズ2023: 3位入賞 俺プロ: 馬将認定 参考成績(中央): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562 参考成績(地方): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/nar/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)