Published December 16, 2025
AI analysis reveals a thrilling day at Kawasaki Racecourse, with competitive fields and high-value betting opportunities. While strong favorites anchor several races, our models have also identified dark horses with massive expected returns. Discover our data-driven picks for all 9 races, based on advanced AI metrics and recent training performance.
- AI Insights
- Race Index
- Race-by-Race AI Analysis
- Race 1: 2-Year-Olds ◎ 9 Bolero Rise
- Race 2: 2-Year-Olds ◎ 4 Night Spire
- Race 3: Kijibato Sho ◎ 11 Aile la Victoire
- Race 5: 4-Year-Olds & Up ◎ 10 Girls Dream
- Race 6: Raika Sho ◎ 1 Esora
- Race 7: Astraea Sho ◎ 12 Mistral
- Race 8: Sazanka Sho ◎ 2 Meisho Matilda
- Race 11: Sparking Milers Challenge ◎ 10 Alan Barows
- Race 12: Yoro Robai Matsuri Sho ◎ 11 GT Agrim
- ヤナシ社長(旧：生成系競馬予想)
AI Insights
High-Value Picks
Our AI has selected top-value horses for today’s Kawasaki races.
Strong Favorites
Bolero Rise (R1), Meisho Matilda (R8), and Alan Barows (R11) all have a >30% win chance.
Dark Horse Alert: Girls Dream (R5)
585%
An incredible expected value makes this horse a must-watch for potential high payouts.
Race Index
- Race 1: Bolero Rise
- Race 2: Night Spire
- Race 3: Aile la Victoire
- Race 5: Girls Dream
- Race 6: Esora
- Race 7: Mistral
- Race 8: Meisho Matilda
- Race 11: Alan Barows
- Race 12: GT Agrim
Race-by-Race AI Analysis
Here are our top AI-powered recommendations for each race, complete with data and training insights. Use the Expected Value as a guide for betting decisions.
Race 1: 2-Year-Olds ◎ 9 Bolero Rise
31%
Win %
67%
Place %
273%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
In the final workout, the horse ran solo and received a “very good for a solo run” evaluation, indicating excellent condition. Significant improvement is expected from the previous race, and its current form supports the AI’s high win probability rating.
Race 2: 2-Year-Olds ◎ 4 Night Spire
16%
Win %
52%
Place %
285%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
Though this is the horse’s first race after transferring, training reports are positive, with an evaluation of “decently prepared.” It has shown good movement, even outpacing a 3-year-old. Success hinges on adapting to the left-handed track and night race conditions, but it has the potential for a strong performance.
Race 3: Kijibato Sho ◎ 11 Aile la Victoire
25%
Win %
53%
Place %
264%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
The latest workout showed “effortless movement,” indicating the horse is well-prepared. Despite coming off a break, it appears ready to perform. While temperament remains a slight concern, its underlying ability is considered top-tier in this field.
Race 5: 4-Year-Olds & Up ◎ 10 Girls Dream
11%
Win %
57%
Place %
585%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
Training reports were harsh, noting a “lack of extension.” However, the AI has flagged this horse with the highest expected value of the day at 585%. This massive discrepancy suggests a potential for a dramatic turnaround in the actual race, making it a high-risk, high-reward pick worth considering for its betting value.
Race 6: Raika Sho ◎ 1 Esora
12%
Win %
66%
Place %
348%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
The final workout at Urawa showed “decent movement,” indicating steady progress. Its condition is improving with each race. If it can leverage the inside draw effectively, it’s expected to finish in the money, aligning with the AI’s high place percentage.
Race 7: Astraea Sho ◎ 12 Mistral
13%
Win %
51%
Place %
388%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
Described as “full of vigor,” the horse showed relaxed, powerful movement at a canter. Its condition remains excellent, and with demonstrated long-distance aptitude, it’s poised to excel in this stamina-testing 2000m race.
Race 8: Sazanka Sho ◎ 2 Meisho Matilda
32%
Win %
62%
Place %
265%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
Recent workouts show a “sharper nimbleness,” indicating improving form. While there are some temperamental quirks, its overall movement is good. With a 32% win probability from the AI, it’s a top contender. If it gets a clean run, expect it to be in the fight for the win.
Race 11: Sparking Milers Challenge ◎ 10 Alan Barows
38%
Win %
64%
Place %
195%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
In its final workout at Funabashi, this proven performer was pushed hard and earned high praise for its “light movement” and “good preparation.” The Kawasaki mile is a favored distance. Given its strong track record and excellent condition, it’s the central figure in this race.
Race 12: Yoro Robai Matsuri Sho ◎ 11 GT Agrim
23%
Win %
66%
Place %
259%
Expected Value
Training Analysis
The final workout was a full-effort drill, earning a “well-finished” evaluation. Meticulous long-distance training suggests it’s ready to fire in its first race after transferring. While starting from the gate can be an issue, its raw ability may be enough to overcome it.
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