牡馬クラシック三冠の第一関門、皐月賞。古…
An in-depth analysis of promising horses like Danon Carrera and Godiamo, focusing on potential, pedigree, and AI-powered predictions for the December 6th races.
The December 6, 2025, maiden races signal the start of the winter season and are pivotal for unearthing talent for the 2026 Classics. These races often unveil “late bloomers” whose debuts were strategically timed by top breeding farms like Northern Farm for optimal physical and mental maturation.
This report offers a deep dive into the Hanshin and Nakayama maiden races, focusing on highly-rated prospects like Danon Carrera and Godiamo. We integrate analysis of bloodlines, training, stable strategies, track bias, and AI predictions to provide evidence-based insights for discerning racing fans.
A tough track demanding power and stamina, especially in winter.
Tougher winter conditions favor horses with sustained speed. Progeny of Kitasan Black and Epiphaneia excel here.
Dry winter air makes the track demanding. Power sires like Sinister Minister and Drefontein are favored.
Defined by its sharp turns and challenging uphill finish.
Favors horses that can maintain pace and power up the final hill. Watch for progeny of Fierament and Gold Ship.
Dominated by sires from the Storm Bird and A.P. Indy lines. Wide gates can be advantageous.
HANSHIN RACE 5
A key race for identifying future Grade 1 contenders.
Predicted Overwhelming Favorite (1.5 odds)
Pedigree: Lord Kanaloa x La Colonnelle. World-class combination of speed and stamina.
Training: Exceptional final furlong of 11.1s. Described as “improving with each workout” and “highly complete”.
Stable: High-win-rate partnership of Nakauchida/Kawada.
Assessment: The clear horse to beat, boasting an ideal profile for this course and distance.
Strongest challenger.
Profile: Maurice progeny with explosive potential. Impressive training times, consistently outperforming older horses. Forward temperament suggests readiness.
High potential.
Profile: By Triple Crown winner Contrail. Immature but possesses a large, powerful stride ideal for a spacious track. One to watch for the future.
Well-prepared filly.
Profile: Sired by Kitasan Black. Well-prepared and suited for the 2000m distance. Her physical condition on race day will be key.
Needs time.
Profile: Large frame and slow to react. Trainer suggests he will improve with racing experience. Less likely to feature on debut.
| Horse Name | Pedigree | Training | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danon Carrera | Lord Kanaloa / Colonel John | S (81.8-11.1) | Excellent acceleration |
| Elharben | Maurice / Kurofune | A (66.1-11.7) | Ahead of older horses |
| Don Testa Master | Contrail / Intikhab | A- (52.9-11.9) | High potential, immature |
| Kitasan Susan | Kitasan Black / Champs Elysees | B+ (79.5-12.0) | Well-prepared |
HANSHIN RACE 6
A test of raw speed with a focus on foreign-bred talent.
The Frontrunner
Profile: Boasting a pure US dirt sprinter pedigree (Yaupon x Speightstown), Elul is built for speed. Praised for a “powerful stride” and quick gate in training, she is expected to lead from the start and prove hard to catch under jockey Hiroji Hishida.
Caravaggio progeny with US dirt power. An anticipated matchup with Elul.
Small but well-built, fitting the profile for a dirt sprinter.
Solid build with a running style suited for dirt. Expected to improve.
Spirited with a quick gate. Aims to hold on using the apprentice weight allowance.
NAKAYAMA RACE 5
A preview of the Hopeful Stakes course featuring top Kanto contenders.
AI Top Pick (27.4% Win Prob.)
Profile: Well-bred filly with European stamina, perfectly suited for Nakayama’s demanding finish. Training reports highlight “increased power” and “light, agile movement”. Securing top jockey Christophe Lemaire signals immense confidence from the stable.
Top Contender (26.3% Win Prob.)
Profile: A strong contender from the prestigious Ikegawa stable in Kansai, debuting at Nakayama—a show of confidence. Progeny of Contrail show top-class acceleration. Partnered with Keita Tosaki, indicating a strong intent to win.
| Horse Name | Pedigree | Jockey | AI Win % | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Godiamo | Lion Dies / Workforce | Lemaire | 27.4% (1st) | Excellent training |
| Ace Flight | Contrail / Bellamy Road | K. Tosaki | 26.3% (2nd) | Strong win intent |
| Immortalis | Mickey Rocket / Special Week | Y. Ishikawa | 9.2% (3rd) | Dark horse |
| Best Brothers | Kiseki / Heart’s Cry | A. Tsamura | 7.1% (4th) | Ample stamina |
NAKAYAMA RACE 6
A competitive sprint where AI data can find an edge.
AI Top Pick (29.4% Win Prob.)
Profile: Sired by renowned dirt specialist Sinister Minister, whose progeny have a strong record at this course. Trainer notes a “spirited temperament” and good stride, suggesting he’s well-suited for a competitive sprint debut.
AI’s 2nd pick (20.6%). Fast workout times and a forward-thinking nature. Expected to run well immediately.
AI’s 3rd pick (10.7%). Kansai horse with a champion dirt sire. Aims for a front-running victory.
Shows significant improvement and has a 3kg weight allowance from the apprentice jockey. Potential for an upset.
From the first crop of Kiseki. Attracting attention in AI predictions (8.4%) with good leg action in training.
AI predictions often align with market favorites like Godiamo but also highlight strong contenders like Ace Flight, suggesting that even top picks are not certainties. In maiden races, AI’s focus on pedigree and training data provides a reliable baseline for betting considerations.
Access the final betting conclusions, including specific picks and selections, based on this in-depth analysis. Remember to check final race day conditions!View Final Betting Selections