Key Takeaways
Top Contender
Kingston Boy is the prime candidate for the Katsushima Crown (SII), benefiting from his optimal distance and peak condition.
AI Edge
AI predictions identify “bargain horses” by detecting market odds distortions, leading to high expected returns.
Value Investing
Each recommendation has a clear “factor of undervaluation,” promoting calm, data-driven investment decisions.
Race 11: Katsushima Crown (SII)
Kingston Boy: The Prime Contender
Dirt 1800m – The Ultimate Test of Ability
Kingston Boy
Progeny of Duramente
Win Rate
34%
Return
217%
AI Note
Exceptional ability indicated. Market is overreacting negatively to his previous race at a non-optimal distance.
Basis for “Change”
His recent defeat in a mile race was a clear mismatch for his skills. The return to 1800m is a strategic move to his optimal fighting ground. Trainer Kazunori Watanabe confirms: “After a tune-up, it’s his best distance of 1800m. We expect a change.”
Elite Training Regimen
Off-track training has sharpened his movements. His final workouts show he’s on par with higher-class horses, indicating peak cardiovascular function and fighting spirit.
- 11/29 (Sat) Slope: 37.8 – 24.3 – 12.1 (strong). Finished together with San Maru Ship (B1).
- 11/22 (Sat) Slope: 37.8 – 24.4 – 12.0 (full effort). Finished together with Tiered (B3).
Rival Analysis
| Horse Name | Evaluation | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| Light Warrior | Strong Rival | 2024 Kawasaki Kinen winner. Reported to be in perfect condition, expected to lead and resist. |
| Mick Fire | Caution | Triple Crown winner showing signs of recovery, but doubts remain about a complete escape from recent slumps. |
| Runryo Oh | Place Contender | Ohi 1800m is his home turf. Aims to lead and hold on, but may be outmatched in top speed quality. |
| Dateno Shogun | Watch | Growth acknowledged, but discounted for lack of experience against top-class older horses and a layoff. |
Other High-Value Picks
Race 5: Canaria Tokubetsu Dirt 1600m
Ride High
40%
Win Rate
225%
Expected Return
Product of American speed pedigree. Confident connections aim for a Grade 1, and the advantageous inside gate makes her an unshakeable choice.
Race 3: 2-year-old Dirt 1400m
Omoidenoatosaki
30%
Win Rate
225%
Expected Return
Rare speed bloodline. Has physically improved during her rest, and her final workout showed ability beyond a 2-year-old. A come-from-behind victory is highly likely.
Race 2: 4-year-old and Up C3 Dirt 1200m
Manah Path
478%
Expected Return
70%
Place Rate
Extremely undervalued due to cautious comments from connections. Data suggests a “buy” as a consistent finisher with a favorable outside gate.
Race 4: 2-year-old Dirt 1200m
Longing Star
387%
Expected Return
65%
Place Rate
Ability is superior if previous race’s interference is disregarded. Pedigree combines speed and power. High chance to compete for the win.
Race 12: Yamanekoza Tokubetsu Dirt 1800m
Maono Genie
450%
Expected Return
64%
Place Rate
A dark horse with huge payout potential. Longer distance is a clear positive, and the outside gate favors her running style. Not to be overlooked.
Investment Strategy
Trust AI-calculated probabilities and expected values. Make calm, data-driven decisions by understanding the “factors of undervaluation,” without being swayed by market noise.
Full Recommendation List: Ohi Racecourse
| Race | Horse | Win Rate | Place Rate | Expected Return | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohi 02R | Manah Path | 12% | 70% | 478% | A |
| Ohi 03R | Omoidenoatosaki | 30% | 66% | 225% | S |
| Ohi 04R | Longing Star | 12% | 65% | 387% | A |
| Ohi 05R | Ride High | 40% | 58% | 225% | S |
| Ohi 11R | Kingston Boy | 34% | 72% | 217% | SS |
| Ohi 12R | Maono Genie | 10% | 64% | 450% | A |
AI Web Developer Generated Content. For informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly.
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