2025年 阪神ジュベナイルフィリーズ(G1)徹底分析

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[Updated: 2026-01-23 19:34:36] Revised by AI Assistant

Analysis by AI

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Who Will Conquer the Fiercely Contested Hanshin Juvenile Fillies?

Race Overview and Key Highlights

  • 🗓️Date: December 14, 2025
  • 🏆Race Name: The 77th Hanshin Juvenile Fillies (G1)
  • 💡Feature: This year presents an unusually open contest with no prior graded stakes winners among the entries, creating a wide-open race.

Key Contenders:

  • The undefeated **Arancarl**, aiming to extend her winning streak.
  • **Margot Love Me**, an impressive winner of the White Chrysanthemum S.
  • **Albanne**, who triumphed in the Saffron S.
  • We meticulously evaluate all probable runners based on their final week workouts, pedigree, and past race performances.

Key Takeaways for the Hanshin Juvenile Fillies

A Highly Competitive 2025 Race

With no prior graded stakes winners, the 2025 Hanshin Juvenile Fillies is a wide-open race where every horse has a genuine chance at glory.

Arancarl: The Top Favorite

Possessing a dam who was an Oaks winner, **Arancarl** emerges as the strongest contender. Her impressive workout evaluation hints at G1-level talent.

Speed and Stamina

**Margot Love Me** boasts overwhelming speed, while **Albanne** leverages the deep stamina and resilience from her European bloodline.

Workout Standouts

**Taisei Borg**, **Shonan Charis**, and **Albanne** all clocked personal best-level times in their final workouts.

The Influential ‘Nureyev’ Bloodline

Pay close attention to horses carrying the ‘Nureyev’ bloodline, which has historically produced numerous upset winners (dark horses).

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Table of Contents

1. Course Analysis: Hanshin Turf 1600m (Outer Track)2. In-Depth Analysis of Key Contenders & Noteworthy Horses3. Workout Diagnostics for All Probable Runners4. In-depth Pedigree Analysis5. Training Trend Analysis6. Race Development Forecast and Key Race Points7. Conclusion: Comprehensive Horse Evaluations and Outlook

1. Course Analysis: Hanshin Turf 1600m (Outer Track) Characteristics and Trends

Course Layout and Required Abilities

  • Starting Point: Opposite Stand
  • Features: A long 473.6-meter straightaway follows gradual 3rd and 4th turns. A steep 1.8-meter uphill gradient is present at the 200-meter mark before the finish line.
  • Pace: Due to the gentle curves, the pace rarely slackens significantly, often resulting in a relentless, unforgiving rhythm.

Required Abilities:

  • Explosive Acceleration on the long straight.
  • The ‘Stamina‘ and ‘Resilience‘ to surge up the steep hill and maintain pace to the finish.
  • A course that truly tests genuine ability, leaving no room for deception.

Trends from the Past 10 Years of Data

  • Gate Draw Bias:
    • Outer gates tend to have unfavorable results.
    • 7th Gate: Win Rate 3.4% ([1-1-2-25])
    • 8th Gate: Win Rate 0.0% ([0-1-0-28])
    • In densely packed 2-year-old races, extra distance covered on the outside can be fatal, making inner to middle gates advantageous.
  • Pedigree Trends:
    • In recent years, in addition to mainstream bloodlines, horses with European-style depth, particularly the blood of Nureyev, have shown a tendency to cause upsets.
    • The Nureyev bloodline provides the power to handle Hanshin’s steep incline and the sustained speed for a high-paced race.
    • Many horses who performed well from 6th favorite or lower in the past five years possessed this bloodline.

Arancarl (Arancarl)

Sire: Epiphaneia

Dam: Sinhala

Trainer: Takashi Saito (Ritto)

Jockey (Scheduled): Yuichi Kitamura

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Final Week Workout Analysis:

  • Date: December 3 (Wed) / Course: Ritto CW (Good)
  • Time: 85.1 – 68.9 – 53.0 – 36.8 – 11.0
  • Content: Chasing stablemate, she accelerated sharply from the inside of the straight, finishing 0.1 seconds ahead with ample power to spare. Her astonishing final furlong of 11.0 seconds showcased incredible sharpness.
  • Evaluation: Her acceleration was highly praised by the trainer, and her light movements showed no signs of rust despite being back after a layoff. While there were reports of a bone spavin on her left foreleg, her motion suggests no issues, and she appears physically and mentally in peak condition.

Past Performance & Pedigree:

  • In her previous start, the Wild Kikyo S., she dominated a field of colts with a blistering final three furlongs in 33.3 seconds. Her excellent winning time strongly suggests G1-level ability.
  • Her dam is the Oaks winner Sinhala. The Epiphaneia x Deep Impact cross provides both the sustained power and burst of speed required for Hanshin’s outer course, making her extremely well-suited for this stage.

Margot Love Me (Margot Love Me)

Sire: Real Steel

Dam: Can’t Buy My Love

Trainer: Shinya Kobayashi (Ritto)

Jockey (Scheduled): Yutaka Take

Final Week Workout Analysis:

  • Date: December 4 (Thu) / Course: Ritto Pool
  • Content: With only a week between races, she focused on pool training for fatigue recovery.
  • Evaluation: The trainer commented, “She’s improved since her last run.” This rational adjustment accounts for consecutive race fatigue.

Past Performance & Pedigree:

  • In her previous start, the White Chrysanthemum S., she led gate-to-wire, recorded the fastest final three furlongs, and won by an impressive three lengths. Considering the rough track conditions, her winning time of 1:33.6 was exceptional.
  • She is a well-bred niece to the four-time G1 winner Loves Only You. Her maturity and raw speed are arguably the best among the field.

Star Anise (Star Anise)

Sire: Drefong

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Dam: Epicea Arome

Trainer: Tomokazu Takano (Ritto)

Jockey (Scheduled): Hiroshi Matsuyama

Final Week Workout Analysis:

  • Date: December 3 (Wed) / Course: Ritto Woodchip Training Track (Good)
  • Time: 54.4 – 39.6 – 25.2 – 12.0 (Hand Ride)
  • Evaluation: Without pushing, she finished the final furlong sharply in 12.0 seconds under a hand ride, indicating excellent condition. The trainer described her as “exceptionally good,” with no concerns regarding her form.

Past Performance & Pedigree:

  • In her previous start, the Chukyo 2-Year-Old S., she finished second by a neck despite a poor start and interference colliding with the rail in the straight. Her potential is certainly graded stakes class.
  • Her sire is Drefong, and her dam’s sire is Daiwa Major, a pedigree specialized for speed and power. The mile distance is well within her range.

Albanne (Albanne)

Sire: Admire Mars

Dam: Via Medici

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Trainer: Hirokuni Tanaka (Miho)

Jockey (Scheduled): Ryusei Sakai

Final Week Workout Analysis:

  • Date: December 4 (Thu) / Course: Miho Woodchip Training Track (Good)
  • Time:78.9 – 64.1 – 50.6 – 36.4 – 11.3 (Hand Ride)
  • Evaluation: She recorded a blistering 6-furlong time of 78.9 seconds, a personal best, under a hand ride. She moved exceptionally well with plenty of leg left. Maintaining this excellent form after shipping to Ritto will be key.

Past Performance & Pedigree:

  • In her previous start, the Saffron S., she made a sustained rally from mid-pack to win. Jockey Christophe Lemaire, who rode her then, also highly praised her ability.
  • Her sire is a celebrated miler, and her dam’s lineage is a prestigious European family. She is highly adaptable to tough mile races, and the strength from her dam’s line could prove effective on Hanshin’s steep incline.

Taisei Borg (Taisei Borg)

Sire: Indy Champ

Dam: Viyadana

Trainer: Takeshi Matsushita (Ritto)

Jockey (Scheduled): Junya Nishimura

Final Week Workout Analysis:

  • Date: December 3 (Wed) / Course: Ritto CW (Good)
  • Time: 93.9 – 77.9 – 63.8 – 50.1 – 36.7 – 11.3 (Hard Ridden)
  • Evaluation: She was pushed over a long distance, clocking a sensational time that significantly surpassed her personal best. The trainer stated, “She has steadily improved with each run,” indicating ultimate conditioning that reflects remarkable growth.

Past Performance & Pedigree:

  • In her previous start, the Artemis S., she finished third with a resilient late surge despite a slow break from the gate. If she starts on equal terms, she could be a contender, and her explosive late kick is arguably the best in the field.
  • Her sire is Indy Champ, the Spring and Autumn Mile King, so her mile suitability is proven.

3. Workout Diagnostics for All Probable Runners and Pedigree Analysis

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Horse NameFinal Week Workout Evaluation