[Updated: 2026-01-23 20:22:14] Revised by AI Assistant
- Comprehensive Analysis: Pedigree & Training for the Chunichi Shimbun Hai 2025
- Key Takeaways
- Chukyo Turf 2000m: Course Characteristics & Race Trends
- In-Depth Analysis: Key Contenders & Noteworthy Horses
- Data Comparison: Training Times & Bloodline Trends Overview
- Chunichi Shimbun Hai 2025 Prediction: Key Factors for Our Conclusion
Comprehensive Analysis: Pedigree & Training for the Chunichi Shimbun Hai 2025
Analysis by AI
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Race Name: The 61st Chunichi Shimbun Hai (GIII)
Date: December 13, 2025
Racecourse: Chukyo Racecourse
Distance: Turf 2000m
Key Takeaways
- Sinhanaada has displayed astonishing training times at Miho Wood Course (W) with “64.7-11.5,” indicating she is in peak condition.
- Chukyo’s Turf 2000m demands exceptional stamina and sustained power. Horses with bloodlines from Tony Bin or the Roberto lineage often hold a significant advantage.
- Family Time, boasting European bloodlines (dam’s sire Galileo), is expected to perform strongly in a demanding race scenario.
- Win Edel has significantly improved her personal best training times, suggesting she is reaching peak form and stands out as a strong dark horse contender.
- Due to the nature of handicap races, recent momentum and upward trajectory are often more direct indicators of success than past performance.
Chukyo Turf 2000m: Course Characteristics & Race Trends
The Demands of Chukyo Turf 2000m and Bloodline Biases
Chukyo Turf 2000m (using Course A) begins at the bottom of the slope in front of the stands, completing a full circuit. Its primary features include navigating the steep uphill climb to the finish line twice and a long, gentle straight.
Given this challenging course setup, horses possessing pure speed are often at a disadvantage. Instead, those with inherent stamina and sustained power, such as descendants of “Tony Bin,” “Roberto,” or the robust European lineage of “Sadler’s Wells,” tend to excel.
Evaluating ‘Momentum’ in Handicap Races
The Chunichi Shimbun Hai is a handicap race, meaning top performers are assigned heavier weights, while rising stars often receive lighter, more favorable handicaps.
Consequently, favorites are not always the highest-achieving horses. Instead, attention often gravitates towards horses showing significant improvement in recent training sessions or those with strong momentum from recent victories in allowance races. This underscores that, especially on the challenging winter track at Chukyo, a horse’s “current condition” is a more critical determinant of performance than its past record.
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In-Depth Analysis: Key Contenders & Noteworthy Horses
Sinhanaada – Top Pick
Unleashing Untapped Potential: Our Top Pick
- Sex/Age: Colt 4
- Jockey: Shun Samejima
- Stable: Miho, Sakae Kunieda
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Rayon d’Or (Roberto blood enhances Chukyo suitability)
- Dam: Sinhadipa (Possesses G1-level potential from a prestigious lineage)
- Analysis: A powerful fusion of sire’s strength and dam’s sire’s sustained speed. Chukyo 2000m is considered his ideal distance.
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 3 (Wednesday) Miho W Course: “64.7-49.7-35.7-11.5”. The overall time of “64.7” was among the best on the day. He is judged to be in peak condition.
Previous Race Analysis:
October 25, Niigata 11R, Uonuma Stakes (1st place). Jockey Shun Samejima commented, “It was a commanding performance… he broke clear early and seemed to be idling at the end.”
Evaluation: A top-class performance for his class debut in a graded race. His unwavering late kick is a significant asset.
Family Time – Contender
European Pedigree Poised for Tough Middle-Distance Challenges
- Sex/Age: Colt 4
- Jockey: Hiroshi Matsuyama
- Stable: Ritto, Koichi Ishizaka
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Real Steel (Speed and burst acceleration)
- Dam: Prioborn IRE (Dam’s Sire: Galileo – European stamina and deep potential)
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 3 (Wednesday) Ritto Hill Course: “53.1 – 12.7 (ridden hard)”. Above average. This final workout could trigger a significant improvement in his form.
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Previous Race Analysis:
Secured a victory by settling well in a slow-paced race. His versatility makes him less susceptible to race tempo.
Shake Your Heart – Strong Threat
Reliable Hearts Cry Progeny
- Sex/Age: Colt 5
- Jockey: Yoshihisa Furukawa
- Stable: Ritto, Toru Miya
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Hearts Cry (Tony Bin’s blood enhances his left-handed track suitability)
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 3 (Wednesday) Ritto Hill Course: “53.3 – 12.5 (ridden hard)”. Excellent overall and final furlong times, indicating he’s in peak form.
Previous Race Analysis:
Showed great promise in the Andromeda Stakes (2nd place). His consistency and ability to adapt to rivals are key strengths.
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Win Edel – The Ascendant Dark Horse
Career-Best Performance in Training, Full of Vitality
- Sex/Age: Mare 5
- Jockey: Undecided
- Stable: Ritto, Yoshida
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Rulership (King Kamehameha lineage)
- Dam’s Sire: Stay Gold (Known for fighting spirit)
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 5 (Friday) Ritto CW Course: “95.2 – 12.0 (ridden hard)”. Significantly improved her previous best time by approximately 2 seconds, showcasing remarkable progress.
Red Valiente – Second Race After Layoff
Significant Improvement Expected in Second Start Off Layoff
- Sex/Age: Colt 6
- Jockey: Atsuya Nishimura
- Stable: Ritto, Mitsumasa Nakauchida
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Deep Impact
- Dam: Chilean G1 winner (South American bloodline known for toughness)
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 4 (Thursday) Ritto CW Course: “83.8 – 11.6 (hand ridden)”. Showed sharp acceleration with minimal effort. This suggests a progressive curve for a horse that improves with racing.
Meiner Kelerius – Potential Upset
The Embodiment of Tony Bin Cross
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- Sex/Age: Colt 5
- Jockey: Undecided
- Stable: Miho, Takeshi Okumura
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Rulership (Dam’s Sire: Tony Bin)
- Characteristic: Excels in stamina-driven races, delivering a long, sustained drive.
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 3 (Wednesday) Miho W Course: A strong time of “65.6 (hand ridden)”. Indicates better condition than his previous race.
Vincencio – The Three-Year-Old Challenge
Young Challenger from an Illustrious Pedigree
- Sex/Age: Colt 3
- Jockey: Makoto Sugihara
- Stable: Miho, Issei Mori
Bloodline Analysis:
- Sire: Real Steel
- Granddam: Cesario (One of Japan’s finest bloodlines)
- Characteristic: Significant pedigree appeal for turf middle-distance races.
Training & Condition Analysis:
December 4 (Thursday) Miho W Course: While finishing behind a higher-class horse, he received a solid workout. His movement remains good.
Other Potential Contenders & Dark Horses
- June Take: By Kizuna. Power type, but still improving in training.
- Reframing: By King Halo. Despite being 7 years old, his training indicates good movement, suggesting a chance in a tough race.
- Meiner Mont: By Gold Ship. Showing more agility in training, indicating potential for improvement.
- Melioreum: By Cheval Grand. While his times are fast, he runs in a single gear and might struggle with adaptability.
Data Comparison: Training Times & Bloodline Trends Overview
Training Performance Comparison Table
| Horse Name | Course | Latest Workout | Overall Time | Last 1F | Brief Comment / Condition | Best Time Comparison |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinhanaada | Miho W | 12/3(Wed) | 64.7 | 11.5 | Demonstrated superior power (↑ improved) | Density far surpasses previous best |
| Win Edel | Ritto CW | 12/5(Fri) | 95.2 | 12.0 | Clear signs of improvement | Improved previous best by approx. 2 seconds |
| Family Time | Ritto Hill | 12/3(Wed) | 53.1 | 12.7 | Significant improvement post-workout | Above average good time |
| Red Valiente | Ritto CW | 12/4(Thu) | 83.8 | 11.6 | More agile after one run | Sharp acceleration with minimal effort |
| Meiner Kelerius | Miho W | 12/3(Wed) | 65.6 | 12.0 | Indications of improved form | Recorded excellent time with minimal effort |
| Shake Your Heart | Ritto Hill | 12/3(Wed) | 53.3 | 12.5 | Consistent training | Strong finishing stamina |
Analysis Result: Based on the numbers, Sinhanaada and Win Edel exhibit the most significant impact. Notably, Win Edel’s substantial improvement on her personal best suggests that the 5-year-old mare might be reaching the peak of her growth, a crucial indicator.
Bloodline Trend Analysis
- King Kamehameha Lineage (Power & Sustained Speed): Includes Sinhanaada, Win Edel, Meiner Kelerius, among others. These horses possess the power necessary to conquer Chukyo’s demanding slopes.
- Tony Bin Blood (Left-Handed Track & Long Straight): Features Shake Your Heart, Meiner Kelerius, and others. Known for their proficiency on left-handed tracks, they often exhibit a distinct late surge on the final straight.
Chunichi Shimbun Hai 2025 Prediction: Key Factors for Our Conclusion
- Is Sinhanaada’s form genuinely top-tier?: Based on her exceptional training and previous race, it’s highly probable she is in peak condition and ready to perform at a graded level.
- The Impact of Handicap Weights: In this handicap race, horses showing rapid improvement (like Win Edel) with potentially lighter weights could outperform more established horses carrying heavier burdens.
- Course Suitability & Bloodline: Chukyo’s demanding 2000m turf course strongly favors stamina and sustained power. Horses with Tony Bin, Roberto, or European stamina influences (e.g., Galileo) are well-positioned for success.
- Recent Momentum vs. Past Records: Winter Chukyo conditions emphasize current fitness and upward trends. Pay close attention to horses that have recently excelled or shown significant improvement in workouts, rather than solely relying on past G1 or G2 placings.
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