第61回中日杯(金沢競馬)徹底予想

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[Updated: 2026-01-23 20:36:35] Revised by AI Assistant

Analysis by AI

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The 61st Chunichi Hai, the prestigious Grand Prix of Kanazawa Horse Racing, is set to electrify fans on December 7, 2025. This in-depth article provides a thorough analysis of all 11 contenders, with a keen focus on the reigning champion Namidanokiss and the formidable Mangan, poised for a powerful comeback. We delve into each horse’s pedigree and recent form, dissect the unique characteristics of the Kanazawa Dirt 2000m course, and uncover the critical tactical elements from race data. Our expert perspective illuminates key prediction points for this thrilling event.

Article Highlights

  • The “61st Chunichi Hai,” Kanazawa Horse Racing’s grand season finale, will be held on December 7, 2025.
  • Namidanokiss, with a superior track record, and Mangan, boasting an excellent personal best time over 2000m, are the central figures in our prediction.
  • Pegasusturbo, in strong recent form and adaptable, along with Kurfurst, ridden by jockey Yoshihara, are poised to be key players in shaping the race dynamics.
  • The demanding course setup, which tests pure stamina, means the battle for the lead and decisive “makuri” (long sprint from mid-pack) moves from the backstretch will ultimately determine the winner.

Table of Contents

  1. 1. Introduction: The Significance of the 61st Chunichi Hai and Our Analytical Approach
    1. 1.1. The Chunichi Hai: Kanazawa Horse Racing’s Grand Climax
    2. 1.2. The Unique Challenge of the Kanazawa Dirt 2000m Course
  2. 2. Detailed Analysis of All Runners: Pedigree, Performance, Aptitude, and Race History
  3. 3. Chunichi Hai Prediction Insights Derived from Data
    1. 3.1. Capability Analysis Through Time Comparison
    2. 3.2. The Crucial Battle for the Lead
    3. 3.3. Jockey and Stable Strategies
  4. 4. Conclusion: Our Final Chunichi Hai Prediction

Introduction: The Significance of the 61st Chunichi Hai and Our Analytical Approach

The Chunichi Hai: Kanazawa Horse Racing’s Grand Climax

On December 7, 2025, the historic 61st “Chunichi Hai” (3-year-olds and up Open, Stakes Race, Dirt 2000m) will take center stage at Kanazawa Racecourse. This event transcends the scope of a typical regional stakes race, holding profound significance as the grand culmination of Hokuriku’s Kanazawa Horse Racing season. Held as winter approaches, this demanding long-distance contest is a true test of not only raw speed but also unwavering stamina and mental fortitude. It is, without exaggeration, the prestigious Grand Prix that crowns Kanazawa’s “true strongest horse” of the year. Fans intently searching for this race with queries like “Chunichi Hai Stakes prediction points” are not merely seeking a winning ticket; they are craving in-depth insights into each horse’s race rotation, intricate pedigree background, and crucial adaptability to Kanazawa’s distinct track conditions. In this comprehensive article, drawing from detailed entry data, we will thoroughly explore “prediction highlights,” “comparison of top contenders,” and “race development analysis,” all vital elements from an SEO perspective.

The Unique Challenge of the Kanazawa Dirt 2000m Course

The Kanazawa Racecourse Dirt 2000m track features a demanding layout, navigating four challenging corners. This is a tough, uncompromising setting where victory cannot be achieved by a mere burst of short-distance acceleration. Instead, it demands impeccable composure during the race, a well-timed long sprint from the backstretch, and unyielding tenacity in the final straight. This year’s formidable field comprises a mix of horses that have primarily excelled in shorter to mile races (e.g., 1400m or 1500m) and seasoned veterans who have built impressive resumes in long-distance events of 2000m or more. For instance, how will speed specialists like Pegasusturbo and Marin Dundun, currently on winning streaks in shorter races, fare against proven stayers like Mangan and Namidanokiss, renowned for their immense stamina? This compelling “contrast in distance aptitude” stands as the paramount focal point of this Chunichi Hai, forming the very core of our prediction strategy.

Detailed Analysis of All Runners: Pedigree, Performance, Aptitude, and Race History

【1枠1番】Marmalade (Filly 6)

Sire: Danon Legend / Dam’s Sire: Taiki Shuttle. Marmalade boasts a pedigree typical of a “speed-enhanced type,” with her optimal distance likely up to 1600m. The 2000m distance presents her biggest challenge.

  • Previous Race (Nov 23 Rakuten Kei): 5th in a 1700m race. She was unable to improve her position at the crucial stage, finishing by simply flowing into the line.
  • Two Races Ago (Jun 11 Ibigawa): 10th in a 1600m race. She lost momentum in the latter half of the race, leading to a defeat by a significant margin.

Overall Assessment: Given her recent performances, an extension to 2000m appears to be a significant hurdle. Her ability to hold on, potentially leveraging the inside gate, will be key, but she’s likely at a disadvantage in a true stamina test.

【2枠2番】Pegasusturbo (Horse 8)

Sire: Lord Kanaloa / Dam’s Sire: Agnes Tachyon. A well-bred horse whose sire is a world-class sprinter. Even at 8 years old, there are no signs of decline in his powerful performance.

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  • Previous Race (Nov 5 Pointe): 1st in a 1700m race. He showcased a dominant performance, surging from mid-pack to take the lead decisively.
  • Two Races Ago (Oct 21 Kagaawa): 1st in a 1500m race. He executed a masterful “makuri” from the rear, sweeping past all horses by the third corner.
  • Three Races Ago (Sep 30 Inuwa): 2nd in a 2000m race, the same distance as the Chunichi Hai. Although defeated by Mangan, he undeniably proved his capability over the distance.

Overall Assessment: With his recent momentum, exceptional versatility, and proven performance at 2000m, Pegasusturbo has few weaknesses. Partnered with Tsubasa Sasagawa, a renowned jockey from Minami Kanto, he is a prime candidate to challenge for victory.

【3枠3番】Wettercock (Horse 5)

Sire: Talismanic / Dam’s Sire: Deep Sky. His pedigree suggests abundant stamina and power, making the distance extension to 2000m a favorable factor for him.

  • Previous Race (Nov 23 Rakuten Kei): 2nd in a 1700m race. He steadily extended his stride from mid-pack, demonstrating consistent and reliable ability.
  • Two Races Ago (Oct 21 Kagaawa): 1st in a 1500m race. He secured a hard-fought victory by a neck from a front-running position, highlighting his inherent strength.

Overall Assessment: Wettercock’s appeal lies in his unwavering consistency, always contending for top honors among local competitors. While he might lack a single explosive burst of speed, he is certainly capable of advancing to the top ranks if the race development unfolds in his favor.

【4枠4番】Kurfurst (Horse 4)

Sire: Kizuna / Dam’s Sire: French Deputy. This pedigree excels in conditions that demand both power and stamina. Furthermore, the growth potential of this 4-year-old horse is an exciting prospect.

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  • Previous Race (Nov 9 Hokkoku King): 4th in a 2600m race. He put in a very promising performance, actively moving to temporarily take the lead, showing significant potential.
  • Two Races Ago (Oct 14 Rakuten Kei): 1st in a 1700m race. He secured victory with an ideal front-running breakout, recording an excellent time.

Overall Assessment: Ridden by Kanazawa’s top jockey, Hiroto Yoshihara. There is a strong possibility that Kurfurst will elevate his performance at his optimal 2000m distance, building on the experience from his previous race. If he can establish an early lead and maintain it, he possesses the capability to hold off even more established contenders.

【5枠5番】Diamond Line (Filly 5)

Sire: Rainbow Line / Dam’s Sire: Brian’s Time. Diamond Line’s pedigree marks her as a “super stayer,” whose performance genuinely improves with longer distances.

  • Previous Race (Nov 16 Kashin): 6th in a 1400m race. This distance was clearly insufficient for her true capabilities.
  • Two Races Ago (Oct 27 Rakuten Po): 3rd in a 1700m race. She secured a place on the board despite being well behind the leaders.

Overall Assessment: The distance extension to 2000m is definitely a positive for Diamond Line. However, the crucial challenge will be whether she can bridge the time gap with the top-tier horses. Should the race devolve into a gruelling war of attrition, she has a genuine chance to rise through the ranks.

【6枠6番】Teikoku (Horse 5)

Sire: Espoir City / Dam’s Sire: Seeking the Dia. Teikoku’s pedigree suggests his best distances are likely within the 1600m to 1800m range.

  • Two Races Ago (Sep 30 Inuwa): 4th in a 2000m race. He finished 1.7 seconds behind the winner, Mangan, clearly illustrating the gap to the leading contenders.

Overall Assessment: While Teikoku consistently runs a solid race, he gives the impression of lacking the necessary “punch” to truly contend for a win in a demanding stakes race. His prospects will largely depend on how much he can improve his position if the race development unfolds favorably.

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【6枠7番】Precioso (Gelding 8)

Sire: Black Tide / Dam’s Sire: Boston Harbor. Precioso’s greatest asset is his veteran-like race management and tactical prowess.

  • Previous Race (Nov 23 Rakuten Kei): 1st in a 1700m race. He secured a decisive victory with a commanding performance, breaking clear early from a stalking position.
  • Three Races Ago (Sep 30 Inuwa): 3rd in a 2000m race. He led and held on impressively, a performance that warrants significant praise.

Overall Assessment: Precioso is a crucial front-runner who could dictate the pace and development of the race. If he can establish his own rhythm and maintain it, he has ample power remaining to hold off challenges, much like he demonstrated in his last race.

【7枠8番】Mangan (Horse 8)

Sire: I Have Another / Dam’s Sire: Agnes Tachyon. Mangan boasts top-tier stamina among Kanazawa’s competitors, with an unparalleled record in long-distance races.

  • Previous Race (Nov 9 Hokkoku King): 10th in a 2600m race. This was an inexplicable and significant defeat, making it crucial to determine the underlying cause.
  • Two Races Ago (Sep 30 Inuwa): 1st in a 2000m race. He delivered a masterful performance, leaving the second-place Pegasus Turbo a full 1.0 second behind.

Overall Assessment: Disregarding his heavy defeat in the previous outing, Mangan’s inherent ability is undoubtedly among the very best. The strength he displayed over 2000m is genuine, and a powerful comeback in this race is highly probable.

【7枠9番】Namidanokiss (Horse 4)

Sire: Hokko Tarumae / Dam’s Sire: Manhattan Cafe. Namidanokiss possesses a pedigree perfectly structured as if “born to conquer dirt middle to long distances.”

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  • June 8 Hyakumangoku Sho (2100m): 1st place. He triumphed in Kanazawa’s premier race, notably defeating Mangan, who finished 2nd, on that occasion.
  • July 7 Rakuten Kei (1700m): 1st place. He adapted seamlessly to the shorter distance, unequivocally proving that he possesses a formidable combination of both speed and stamina.

Overall Assessment: In terms of raw performance and track record, Namidanokiss is undeniably a candidate for “Absolute Champion.” His electrifying performance in the Hyakumangoku Sho was at a level that makes him a definite and formidable contender for victory in this race.

【8枠10番】Ryuno Break (Gelding 6)

Sire: Makfi / Dam’s Sire: Empire Maker. While recent information is scarce for Ryuno Break, the key question is how long he can sustain his short-distance speed. There is a strong possibility he will be at a disadvantage over the 2000m distance.

Overall Assessment: There are significant concerns regarding his distance aptitude. Even with a highly favorable race development, contending for top positions seems like a challenging prospect.

【8枠11番】Marin Dundun (Horse 5)

Sire: Toby’s Corner / Dam’s Sire: Pyro. Speed is Marin Dundun’s inherent strength, but his stamina remains a notable concern over the 2000m distance. While he could potentially play a disruptive role in the race’s pace, a decisive victory seems questionable.

Overall Assessment: His speed is an attractive quality, but the 2000m journey is long, and his stamina remains a significant concern.

Conclusion: Our Final Chunichi Hai Prediction

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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