November 15, 2025
Key Takeaways
Anchor Horse Candidates
Costa Nova: Undefeated on Tokyo dirt.
Blazer: Described as being in “the best condition ever.”
Potential for High Payouts
Satomi no Kirari: Significant discrepancy between public popularity and expert ratings.
Sunrise Flame: Pedigree and training specifically suited for Tokyo mile races.
Crucial Races
GIII Musashino Stakes: A highly anticipated clash between Costa Nova, Luxor Cafe, and Peptide Nile.
GII Daily Hai Nisai Stakes: A key race for talented two-year-olds, featuring Admire Quads.
Race-by-Race Analysis
WIN 1: Kyoto 10R Andromeda Stakes (Listed Race)
Deciphering a Competitive Handicap Race
The opening race is a 2000m handicap on the Kyoto inner turf course, demanding agility and forward positioning. Data indicates a close contest between the top two favorites.
(6) Librianglass (Expected 1st Favorite)
Reasoning: Stable is confident in its condition. “Perfect” training rating. Strong suitability for 2000-2200m. A highly reliable anchor candidate.
(9) Shake Your Heart (Expected 2nd Favorite)
Reasoning: Slightly higher Pro Honmoku Index than Librianglass. Trainer expects improved performance at its local track, Kyoto, due to reduced travel stress.
(13) Schwarzkugel (Expected 5th Favorite)
Reasoning: Showing signs of recovery. Training indicates improved settling ability. Could be a contender if the top favorites engage in a tactical battle.
WIN 2: Kyoto 11R Daily Hai Nisai Stakes (GII)
A Gateway for Talented Two-Year-Olds
A crucial race for two-year-olds on the Kyoto outer turf 1600m course, which requires stamina. A small but talented field.
(2) Michael Barows (Expected 8th Favorite)
Reasoning: Despite a low Pro Honmoku Index, the stable believes the 1600m distance is more suitable. Good finishing speed in training suggests potential.
(6) Admire Quads (Expected 2nd Favorite)
Reasoning: From the prestigious Tomomichi stable. Expected to improve from its debut. Training described as powerful and impressive.
WIN 3: Tokyo 10R Okutama Stakes
A Straight Sprint Demanding Explosive Speed
A 1400m turf race at Tokyo, where finishing speed is key. The favorite, Meiner Ticket, has a known weakness.
(5) Satomi no Kirari (Expected 6th Favorite)
Reasoning: High Pro Honmoku Index despite lower popularity. Trainer reports signs of recovery. Potential for a decisive win on a firm track.
(8) Meiner Ticket (Expected 1st Favorite)
Reasoning: Highest-rated horse in the Win5. Excellent condition. A shadow roll has been added to correct its tendency to drift inwards.
(10) Kitasan d’Amour (Expected 2nd Favorite)
Reasoning: Main challenger to Meiner Ticket. Smoother training and steady stride. Expected to improve with jockey Christophe Lemaire.
WIN 4: Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes (GIII)
A Prelude to the Champions Cup
The most challenging race. A 1600m dirt course at Tokyo with a unique turf start. Speed, power, and gate position are crucial.
(3) Lord Phons (Expected 7th Favorite)
Reasoning: Strong endorsements from trainers despite low public rating. Prefers colder weather and is in much better condition. A potential strong performer.
(4) Costa Nova (Expected 1st Favorite)
Reasoning: Undefeated on Tokyo dirt (6 for 6). Excellent training and high confidence from the stable. The 59kg weight is the only concern.
(14) Peptide Nile (Expected 5th Favorite)
Reasoning: A G1 winner with superior ability. Stable is confident in its improving condition and physique despite its age.
(15) Sunrise Flame (Expected 8th Favorite)
Reasoning: An outsider perfectly suited for this course. Strong pedigree for Tokyo dirt 1600m and specifically trained for this race.
(16) Luxor Cafe (Expected 2nd Favorite)
Reasoning: Main rival to Costa Nova. A three-year-old on an upward trajectory with spectacular training and improved breathing. Has a weight advantage.
WIN 5: Fukushima 11R Fruit Line Cup
The Final Challenge, a Small Track Speed Race
A tricky 1150m dirt race at Fukushima that demands speed and agility around tight turns.
(5) Hambergite (Expected 9th Favorite)
Reasoning: A long shot with a history of performing well on this course (3rd last year). Well-prepared for this specific race.
(7) Shakashaka Sea (Expected 5th Favorite)
Reasoning: In good condition despite a layoff. Trainer is confident, but notes the horse prefers an outside run. Could place high if conditions are right.
(8) Blazer (Expected 2nd Favorite)
Reasoning: Considered a “sure bet.” Trainer states it’s in the “best condition ever.” Proven record at this course and distance. Strongest candidate for the final race.
Summary of Noteworthy Horses
| Race Information | Horse No. | Horse Name | Popularity | Pro Index | Key Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto 10R Andromeda Stakes | 6 | リビアングラス | 1 | 19.60% | Training: “Perfect.” Stable: “Best stage.” Strongest anchor horse candidate. |
| Kyoto 10R Andromeda Stakes | 9 | シェイクユアハート | 2 | 19.75% | Top Pro Index. Stable expects a comeback at Kyoto. |
| Kyoto 10R Andromeda Stakes | 13 | シュバルツクーゲル | 5 | 11.33% | Training shows improvement in settling. Potential for an upset due to recovery. |
| Kyoto 11R Daily Hai Nisai Stakes | 2 | マイケルバローズ | 8 | 3.01% | Stable: “Mile is better than 1400m.” Stamina may be advantageous in a tough race. |
| Kyoto 11R Daily Hai Nisai Stakes | 6 | アドマイヤクワッズ | 2 | 17.94% | Stable: “Improvement felt,” “Can compete in graded stakes.” Training shows power beyond a two-year-old. |
| Tokyo 10R Okutama Stakes | 5 | サトミノキラリ | 6 | 23.34% | 2nd highest Pro Index. Stable: “Finally showing signs of recovery.” Training shows excellent momentum. |
| Tokyo 10R Okutama Stakes | 8 | マイネルチケット | 1 | 31.19% | Highest Pro Index. Stable is using a shadow roll to address drifting. |
| Tokyo 10R Okutama Stakes | 10 | キタサンダムール | 2 | 14.10% | Stable: “Smoother than last time.” Experts: “Can contend for victory.” |
| Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes | 3 | ロードフォンス | 7 | 6.33% | Stable: “Better in colder weather.” Training analysis: “Caution advised.” |
| Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes | 4 | コスタノヴァ | 1 | 29.01% | Undefeated on Tokyo dirt. Training: “Perfect.” Stable: “Best stage.” 59kg is the only concern. |
| Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes | 14 | ペプチドナイル | 5 | 7.41% | Improving condition despite age. Experts: “Superior ability.” |
| Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes | 15 | サンライズフレイム | 8 | 6.26% | Pedigree (Sire DREFONG) and training are specifically targeted for Tokyo dirt 1600m. |
| Tokyo 11R Musashino Stakes | 16 | ルクソールカフェ | 2 | 23.53% | Three-year-old with upward potential. Training: “Flawless condition.” Stable: “Breathing has greatly improved.” |
| Fukushima 11R Fruit Line Cup | 5 | ハンベルジャイト | 9 | 5.53% | Stable: “Finished 3rd in this race last year.” Course実績 + “Well prepared.” |
| Fukushima 11R Fruit Line Cup | 7 | シャカシャカシー | 5 | 16.44% | “Good condition despite layoff.” Training shows sufficient propulsion. Stable: “Performs best on the outside.” |
| Fukushima 11R Fruit Line Cup | 8 | ブレーザー | 2 | 26.87% | Stable: “Best condition ever.” Proven course record. Strongest candidate for the final race. |
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