November 8, 2025

The Win5 on November 8, 2025, presents a challenging lineup across Kyoto, Tokyo, and Fukushima. This article provides a deep dive into 14 horses to watch, from solid favorites to major longshots, based on AI-calculated “Pro Favorite Index” and “Value Score.” We’ll uncover the key to a big payout by combining data with training reports and stable comments.

Article Highlights

• Solid Contenders: Race 3’s Vendome (63% Index) and Race 4’s Diamond Knot (53% Index) show outstanding reliability.
• Top Longshots: Keep an eye on Race 2’s Kaz Gortys (245% Value) and Race 5’s Tosen Escudo (226% Value).
• Upset Alert: Race 2 (Muromachi S) and Race 5 (Kibitaki S) have divided indices, suggesting a wider betting strategy is wise.
• Winning Strategy: A promising approach is to single-bet the reliable horses in Races 3 & 4 and allocate the saved funds to longshots in Races 2 & 5.

Win5 Leg 1: Kyoto 10R Shimizu S (Turf 1600m)

The Win5 kicks off with a race where the AI index points to two strong contenders: Channel Tunnel with a Pro Favorite Index of 29.67% and Dazzling Brave at 24.31%. The latter, in particular, has strong backing from experts, making the choice between these two the first key decision.

【Horse #1】 No. 6 Channel Tunnel (Proj. 4th Fav)

Among today’s horses, the first thing that catches the eye is this horse’s Value Score of 212%. The Pro Favorite Index is also high at 29.67%, signaling a clear “buy” from a data perspective. This index is backed by impressive training results. According to expert analysis, comments like “has developed a solid core” and “in great shape, moving lightly and ready to perform” indicate physical growth and peak condition. However, this horse comes with a clear risk. The reason for the unusually high value score lies in its mental fragility. Stable comments such as “gate issues” and “gets nervous next to other horses in the gate” publicly express concern about its start and temperament.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The high AI index is due to the physical ability praised in training. On the other hand, the 212% value score is evidence that the risks pointed out by the stable—gate and mental issues—are reflected in the odds. It’s too risky for a single-bet strategy in Win5, but if it can perform as well as it trains, it has a strong chance of breaking through. If you’re building a 2-3 horse ticket, this one is a must-include based on its value.

【Horse #2】 No. 10 Dazzling Brave (Proj. 2nd Fav)

For the first leg of the Win5, this horse is arguably the most “reliable” choice. Its AI index of 24.31% is solid, but what’s truly noteworthy is the overwhelming support from experts, with top analysts marking it as their top pick. On the other hand, the stable’s comment is a bit reserved: “We’d like to see a little more punch.” The training report also notes “improving but was a step behind,” suggesting it’s in decent, but not peak, form. This seemingly contradictory assessment gets to the heart of this horse’s nature.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The expert’s strong endorsement coexists with the stable’s desire for “more punch.” This reflects a horse that lacks explosive speed but is incredibly consistent. If the conditions mentioned by the stable—”help from the track condition and race flow”—materialize, its stamina will surely place it among the top finishers. It’s the most solid choice for the first leg of the Win5.

Win5 Leg 2: Kyoto 11R Muromachi S (Dirt 1200m)

This is the most challenging race in today’s Win5. The AI recommends five different horses, and their indices are tightly clustered. However, the AI Value Score lights up for No. 11 Kaz Gortys (245%) and No. 3 A Tracks (215%), signaling huge potential. In contrast, the favorite, Star Turn, seems overvalued at 83%. This race should be approached with an upset in mind.

【Horse #3】 No. 3 A Tracks (Proj. 9th Fav)

A Value Score of 215%. This high number accurately reflects the horse’s current situation. The stable’s comment, “It seemed mentally worn down in the summer, but this time it’s energetic and has a good vibe,” points to a clear recovery. This “recovery” is strongly supported by training data. Workout reports praise its “sharp movements” and “quick-turning stride, with a well-toned body,” confirming its excellent physical and mental state.

Analysis & Recommendation:
Its popularity has dropped to 9th favorite due to a summer slump, but training and stable comments signal a “full recovery.” The AI’s 215% value score capitalizes on this gap between past performance and current form. Experts have also noticed the turnaround, making it a prime candidate to deliver a high payout.

【Horse #4】 No. 4 Star Turn (Proj. 1st Fav)

The star of this race. Its AI Favorite Index is the highest at 22.31%. The Value Score is low at 83%, but this is simply proof that its ability and popularity are aligned. What’s most remarkable is its spectacular training. Workout reports are filled with the highest praise: “in the best shape of its life,” “a more aggressive training regimen than before… full of propulsion… flawless.” The stable also notes “signs of a return to form,” and experts have it as a top pick.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The AI, experts, and above all, its training performance all point to it being the favorite. While the low value score offers little betting appeal, for the purpose of “advancing” in the Win5, there’s no more reliable anchor. Trusting the “best shape of its life” assessment and using it as a solid pick is a valid strategy.

【Horse #5】 No. 8 Lord Eclair (Proj. 16th Fav)

AI Index 3.14%, projected 16th favorite. On paper, this is a horse to ignore. However, its training cannot be overlooked. Workout reports note “lively movements,” and the analysis states, “While its training can be inconsistent, it has been forward and rhythmic… its condition is impeccable,” suggesting it’s like a different horse. On the other hand, the stable has expressed clear doubts about its suitability for the distance, saying, “1200 meters is a bit too fast for it.”

Analysis & Recommendation:
A true longshot. The “impeccable condition” from training clashes sharply with the concerns about its suitability for 1200m. The Value Score of 161% is a bet that its peak condition can overcome this unsuitability. If you’re aiming for a massive Win5 payout, it’s worth taking a chance on this horse’s “transformation.”

【Horse #6】 No. 11 Kaz Gortys (Proj. 8th Fav)

Today’s top longshot. Its AI Value Score of 245% is the highest among all horses. The reason is clear: the stable comments point to a specific factor for improvement, stating, “has improved since being gelded” and “is showing more forwardness.” This effect is also visible in its training, with analysis noting, “sharpened up after a hard workout a week ago” and “seems more focused than in its last race,” indicating a boost in both mind and body. Experts haven’t missed this change, giving it high marks.

Analysis & Recommendation:
A physical change (“gelding”) has led to a mental change (“improved focus”), which has directly resulted in “higher quality training.” Its projected 8th favorite status has not yet fully priced in this “gelding effect.” Strongly recommended by both experts and the AI, this is an excellent horse to target.

【Horse #7】 No. 16 Bonanza (Proj. 2nd Fav)

Projected 2nd favorite, with strong expert backing. The stable is also confident, saying, “it’s refreshed” and “its body has filled out.” However, the AI Pro Favorite Index is a mere 6.29%, and the Value Score of 93% offers no appeal. A further concern is the latest training analysis: “ran a sub-49 second time but tired at the end” and “seems slightly under-prepared,” pointing out a lack of finishing power despite a fast time.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The stable and experts say “buy,” but the trackside reporter (training analyst) expresses concern that “it tired at the end.” The AI suggests this could be a “dangerous favorite” where popularity doesn’t match its actual ability (Index 6.29%). For Win5, it would be wise to either leave it out completely or include it only as a backup.

Win5 Leg 3: Tokyo 10R Kinshu S (Dirt 1600m)

This is the top candidate for a “single-bet” race in today’s Win5. No. 7 Vendome has a phenomenal AI Pro Favorite Index of 63.14%, dominating the field. Getting through this leg with a single pick is the biggest key to winning.

【Horse #8】 No. 7 Vendome (Proj. 1st Fav)

The heart of the Win5 strategy. A Pro Favorite Index of 63.14% indicates a higher level of reliability than any other horse. Experts are in agreement, and there appear to be no weaknesses. The stable seems confident of victory, commenting, “it’s her turn now.” Notably, she will be fitted with blinkers for the first time. This is the team’s “winning move” to draw out the full concentration of a horse that has yet to give its all. Training was light, described as “steady and on track,” but the analysis confirms this is fine, stating, “light training is okay after continuous travel,” so we can consider her in perfect condition.

Analysis & Recommendation:
This horse has shown high performance without even going all out. The AI’s 63% rating is based on that state. Now, the team has implemented a clear improvement strategy by adding blinkers. When a horse that is already the strongest contender is further enhanced, its reliability is unshakable. The AI index and expert opinions are in perfect alignment. This is a race to bet on with a “single pick.”

Win5 Leg 4: Tokyo 11R Keio Hai 2歳S (GⅡ) (Turf 1400m)

A Grade 2 race for two-year-olds. While there’s no absolute standout, No. 10 Diamond Knot has a high AI Favorite Index of 53.88%. Even considering the uncertainty of a two-year-old race, it’s a strong anchor candidate. For longshots, No. 1 Nenekerimaru and No. 7 You Pharaoh, both with value scores over 160%, are worth a look.

【Horse #9】 No. 1 Nenekerimaru (Proj. 7th Fav)

A longshot candidate with a Value Score of 166%. A talented horse that the stable rates as having “high potential.” That potential is evident in its training, where it shows a “powerful stride.” However, its temperament is an issue. Both the stable and training analysis point out its mental immaturity, with comments like “still lacks focus” and “mind tends to wander.” It will be running without cheek pieces this time, and it will be interesting to see how that plays out.

Analysis & Recommendation:
A typical two-year-old with both high potential and youthful temperament. The AI’s 166% value score suggests a chance that its “potential” will overcome its “temperament.” It could have a breakout performance on the GⅡ stage and is a horse to keep on your ticket.

【Horse #10】 No. 7 You Pharaoh (Proj. 10th Fav)

Value Score of 175%. The angle for this horse is clear. The stable has declared, “It doesn’t show its best when held back, so we hope for a similar race,” meaning an aggressive strategy of taking the lead or sitting second is its true strength. The racecard notes also mention “expected to benefit from the race flow.” Training is solid, with comments like “movements are decent” and “doesn’t seem to have dropped in form,” indicating it’s holding its condition well. An expert’s “▲” mark is also intriguing.

Analysis & Recommendation:
This horse’s chance to win lies in the “race flow.” Its AI index (5.06%) is low because its performance is so dependent on the pace. If other horses hold back, it could cling on to a top spot just by controlling the pace, as the stable intends.

【Horse #11】 No. 10 Diamond Knot (Proj. 1st Fav)

Despite being a two-year-old race, it boasts an AI Favorite Index of 53.88%, a reliability on par with a mixed-age race. A renowned trainer has publicly stated, “has plenty of future potential” and “has a good chance in this field,” comments that show considerable confidence for a two-year-old G2 race. Its training is also perfect. Reports say, “traveling on two weeks’ rest, but no damage, everything is on track” and “still moving exceptionally well,” leaving no room for criticism. Experts naturally have it marked as their top pick.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The “four perspectives”—AI, stable, training, and experts—are in perfect agreement. Even accounting for the uncertainty of a two-year-old race, its reliability is in a class of its own. In the fourth leg of the Win5, this is another strong anchor horse worth a “single pick.”

Win5 Leg 5: Fukushima 11R Kibitaki S (Turf 1200m)

The final hurdle of the Win5. The projected favorite, No. 13 Salt Queen (Index 19.58%), is the one to beat, but the AI sees high value in No. 14 Tosen Escudo (Value 226%) and No. 2 Road Trail (Value 175%), so it’s not over until it’s over.

【Horse #12】 No. 2 Road Trail (Proj. 13th Fav)

Value Score of 175%. The AI suggests it has the potential to overcome its low projection as the 13th favorite. The stable is hopeful for a turnaround, commenting, “We’ve freshened it up, and its condition is good” and “If it can use its speed on the opening week’s track…” However, its training reviews are not favorable. Workout reports note it’s “still a bit heavy,” and the analysis says its “movements were sluggish,” appearing under-prepared to trackside observers.

Analysis & Recommendation:
The stable’s hope for a “fresh” performance directly contradicts the “heavy” reality of its training. If you trust the stable, it’s a “buy.” If you trust its training, it’s a “pass.” The value score is high, but so is the risk. A true gambler’s pick.

【Horse #13】 No. 13 Salt Queen (Proj. 1st Fav)

The top anchor candidate for the final race. In addition to an AI Favorite Index of 19.58%, expert picks are concentrated on it. The team is clearly aiming for a win here, with the stable stating, “The horse has really matured” and “The handicap is unchanged. We want to seal the deal here,” indicating they’ve prepared it perfectly for this target. True to their word, they have “clearly intensified the workload” in training, and the horse has responded well, with reports of “no stiffness or negative reactions. Improving.”

Analysis & Recommendation:
The stable’s confident comment (“We want to seal the deal”), the intentionally intensified training, and the high expert ratings are all perfectly aligned. Its qualitative reliability is even higher than its numerical index suggests. It’s the most fitting horse to anchor the final leg of the Win5.

【Horse #14】 No. 14 Tosen Escudo (Proj. 8th Fav)

A Value Score of 226%. The basis for this phenomenal number is summarized in the stable’s comments: “It’s a Fukushima specialist.” Furthermore, “A slower autumn track suits it better than a fast summer track,” suggesting it’s perfectly suited for today’s (Nov. 8) track conditions at Fukushima. Its preparation is also flawless. In training, it showed “good momentum throughout” and “accelerated sharply,” highlighting its excellent form. Experts also rate its suitability and condition highly.

Analysis & Recommendation:
Two niche strengths—being a “Fukushima specialist” and preferring an “autumn track”—could perfectly align in today’s race. Its projected 8th favorite status may be overlooking this “pinpoint suitability.” With excellent training and expert support, it’s the top contender to upset the favorite, Salt Queen.

Today’s Full Win5 Watch List (14 Horses)

In today’s Win5, the AI indices for Race 3 (Tokyo 10R Vendome) and Race 4 (Tokyo 11R Diamond Knot) are exceptionally high. The shortest path to victory will likely involve getting through these two races with “single picks.” In contrast, Race 2 (Kyoto 11R) and Race 5 (Fukushima 11R) are full of longshots with high AI Value Scores, suggesting potential upsets. A broader betting strategy is required for these. Good luck to everyone.

関連記事

Suzuran Sho 2025 Predictions: Jpn1 Veteran Helios or Rising Star Suzuka Goketsu? A Deep Dive on All 11 Runners

2025年11月1日

Shockwave! In-Depth Analysis of the Chaotic 2025 Breeders’ Cup Classic After Favorite Sovereignty’s Withdrawal

2025年11月1日

[2025 Hyakunichiso Tokubetsu & Mochinoki Sho] Are Undefeated Stars Garofano & Pyromancer Vulnerable? A Data-Driven Deep Dive

2025年11月2日

[2025 Urawa 11R Momiji Tokubetsu Predictions] Data-Driven Analysis: Is Joe Toby the Lynchpin or Blazing Heat the Dark Horse? A Deep Dive into All 13 Runners

2025年10月30日

[2025 JBC Classic Results] Mickey Fight Dominates! Claims Dirt Racing Crown with Back-to-Back G1 Wins

2025年11月3日

[2025 Urawa – Kannazuki Special (A2) Preview] Nishino Kashmir’s Quest for a First Minami Kanto Win: Is She Unbeatable?

2025年10月28日