Value Horse Picks [November 7, 2025] Minami Kanto Funabashi Horse Racing | Commentary on Featured Horses including Jack Pearl with a high index of 433%

November 7, 2025

We deliver race predictions for Minami Kanto Funabashi Horse Racing held on November 7, 2025, based on AI indices. This article carefully selects “value horses” identified from training data and stable comments, notably Jack Pearl in Race 10, which recorded an index of 433%. We analyze key points for each race, such as low-level field compositions and the risk of talented horses underperforming, and provide detailed explanations of promising value horses and their rationale.

Key Takeaways of This Article

• Race 10 Jack Pearl: The reason for his previous defeat is clear. Highly likely to bounce back due to excellent training, recording an index of 433%.
• Race 1 Max Heart: While other horses are generally in poor condition, he has a chance to win with smooth preparation.
• Race 2 Egg Scramble: Showed high ability by outperforming C2 older horses in training, potential for an overwhelming victory depending on the start.
• Race 4 Stock Taking: All of stable comments, barrier trial, and training are highly rated, boasting a high level of completion.
• Race 5 Oort Solis: Won the previous race despite concerns, high reliability this time with definite improvement in condition.
• Race 12 Crystal Cave: Showed extraordinary ability with 2 consecutive wins after a long layoff, potential to dominate even after promotion due to talent.

Funabashi Race 01 | Dirt 1200m | 2-year-old Thoroughbred

Race Prediction Points: Low-level field, difference in preparation is key

This race consists of 2-year-old horses, but research materials and stable comments suggest that many of the entrants are still incomplete. Half of the horses have stables openly stating issues or being in a developing stage, indicating a weak field composition.

• No. 1 Ragbir (Trainer Aii: “Still needs time,” “Will take time”)
• No. 2 Sakura Energy (Trainer Saito: “Hasn’t fully developed strength yet”)
• No. 3 Ficus Lyrata (Trainer Yamanaka: “Still immature both mentally and physically”)
• No. 5 Incunabula (Trainer Sato Y: “Hasn’t changed as expected”)
• No. 6 Shena Blues (Trainer Yano: “Still running playfully”)

Therefore, rather than comparing absolute ability, the biggest factor determining victory or defeat will be the horses’ current readiness and completeness to run in a race.

Featured Horse Column: (12) Max Heart (Colt, 2yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 16%, Estimated Odds 327%

Analysis: A colt by Fine Needle out of a Symboli Kris S mare. The main reason for recommending this horse is the generally poor preparation and condition of other horses. While other stables are making negative comments across the board, trainer Takeshi Hasegawa of Max Heart has explicitly expressed a positive view, stating, “There’s no big difference with this field.” This “smoothness” is also reflected in the training data, with the final workout on November 3 suggesting he is ready for the race.

Conclusion: The estimated odds of 327% for this horse are analyzed as a result of the AI evaluating “the extremely poor condition of other horses” and “this horse being one of the few with smooth preparation,” rather than its absolute ability. In this low-level field, the probability of this horse, which is prepared to a decent standard, winning is reasonable, and there is sufficient value for betting.

Funabashi Race 02 | Dirt 1200m | 2-year-old Thoroughbred

Race Prediction Points: Risk of talented horses underperforming, potential for upset

This race also features many horses facing challenges typical of 2-year-old races. Stable comments reveal numerous horses with clear concerns regarding temperament, ability, and physical condition. There’s a risk that horses with high potential may not be able to perform due to temperament issues or poor starts. The key to prediction lies in identifying horses that show “high potential” through training content and comments, and can maintain concentration on race day.

Featured Horse Column: (12) Egg Scramble (Colt, 2yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 21%, Estimated Odds 296%

Analysis: A well-bred horse by Lord Kanaloa out of an Alphabet Soup mare. Trainer Takashi Watanabe commented, “He has good stuff,” indicating a typical “high-risk, high-return” profile for a talented horse. This “good stuff” is objectively backed by training data; in his final workout, he finished 0.2 seconds ahead of higher-class C2 Sovereign Ruler from the inside.

Conclusion: For a 2-year-old to outperform an older C2 horse in training is proof of extremely high ability. The AI’s 21% win rate is a result of highly valuing this objective training performance. The estimated odds of 296% reflect the “start” risk that the stable is concerned about, but the training content, which more than compensates for this, provides strong grounds to consider these odds a “value bet.”

Funabashi Race 03 | Dirt 1500m | Eucalyptus Debut (Maiden)

Race Prediction Points: Improvement from barrier trials holds the key

A 1500m maiden race. A close examination of research materials reveals that many horses showed issues in their barrier trials (Noushi). This race requires correctly evaluating not the results of barrier trials from several months ago, but the “improvement” gained from subsequent growth and training. Comparing and analyzing how much horses that were mediocre in their barrier trials have changed their movement in recent training will be the key to success.

Featured Horse Column: (4) Pop That Buddy (Colt, 2yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 29%, Estimated Odds 278%

Analysis: By Rey de Oro. This horse shows a clear “information asymmetry” between stable comments and training content. While trainer Kiyoshi Arai maintains a cautious stance, in his final workout on November 2, he finished alongside (dead heat) with C2 class Toxie Kaguyahime.

Conclusion: The AI’s 29% win rate is a result of strongly prioritizing the “goodness of the final workout (dead heat with a C2 horse)” over the “poorness of the barrier trial.” The estimated odds of 278% are formed by the poor barrier trial content and cautious stable comments, but recent objective data suggests this horse has significantly improved. This very gap is the biggest reason why it becomes a “value bet.”

Funabashi Race 04 | Dirt 1200m | Eucalyptus Debut (Maiden)

Race Prediction Points: Relatively high-level maiden race, completeness is questioned

As indicated by “closely matched among top contenders,” unlike previous races, many stables are hopeful from the first race. This race will be a “comparison among highly completed horses,” where barrier trial content, training times, and the strength of the stable’s confidence are likely to directly reflect in the results. Horses that have shown a high level in both barrier trials and training are likely to perform as expected.

Featured Horse Column: (3) Stock Taking (Filly, 2yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 27%, Estimated Odds 294%

Analysis: A well-bred horse for dirt sprints by Copano Rickey out of a South Vigorous mare. For this horse, all data sources agree on “high evaluation.” Trainer Masato Hayashi praised her, saying she “can perform well in actual races.” In her final workout, she recorded an excellent time and finished alongside her training partner, C2 class Genki Ippai, who is also a featured horse in Race 7.

Conclusion: This horse boasts a high level of completion, capable of performing on par with Genki Ippai, an older C2 class horse featured in Race 7. The estimated odds of 294% are formed because other horses also received high evaluations, but the fact that “stable comments,” “barrier trial performance,” “training times,” and “training partner” are all aligned surpasses other horses. We judge her reliability to be extremely high.

Funabashi Race 05 | Dirt 1200m | 4-year-old and up C3-1 Group Special

Race Prediction Points: Promoted horse vs. horses improving from previous runs

A C3-1 Group Special over 1200m. The focus of the race is the power balance between horses that won in their previous race and were promoted (No. 1 Oort Solis) and horses aiming for improvement in their second race after a layoff. The race will center on whether the horse in its first race after promotion can withstand the pursuit of improving horses in their second race.

Featured Horse Column: (1) Oort Solis (Colt, 4yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 35%, Estimated Place Rate 72%, Estimated Odds 233%

Analysis: This horse has the highest AI reliability among all recommended horses, and the reason is hidden in trainer Yutaka Sato’s comment. He brilliantly achieved 1st place (victory) in the “previous race, where concerns due to layoff were greater.”

Conclusion: This horse won in its current class even in a condition that the stable judged not to be perfect. With the victory in the previous race, the stable’s tone has completely shifted from “concern” to “expectation.” There is no reason to think that a horse that won despite not being at its best in the previous race cannot overcome the promotion hurdle in its “second race after a layoff” with definite improvement in condition. The estimated odds of 233% are, in fact, a “value bet” considering this potential for improvement.

Funabashi Race 07 | Dirt 1500m | Mikaka Robot Cup C2-5 Group・6 Group

Race Prediction Points: Many horses still in preparation, select by smoothness of preparation

A C2 class 1500m race, appearing to be a “close contest.” Here too, many horses seem to have questionable preparation. With no definite strong favorite, eliminating horses with negative comments and narrowing down to horses that the stable explicitly states are “smooth” or “improved” will be the shortcut to success.

Featured Horse Column: (7) Genki Ippai (Colt, 3yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 17%, Estimated Place Rate 73%, Estimated Odds 276%

Analysis: His place rate of 73% boasts the top stability among all recommended horses. The reason lies in trainer Masato Hayashi giving the maximum evaluation to a horse in its first transfer race, stating, “He seems ready to perform right away.” This confident comment is backed by his training movements; in his final workout, he performed on par with the highly evaluated maiden Stock Taking, featured in Race 4.

Conclusion: The fact that Genki Ippai, a C2 transfer horse, and the well-prepared maiden Stock Taking were able to complete their training on par (dead heat) strongly proves that this horse is in a condition to “perform right away in C2 class.” The AI’s place rate of 73% is based on this high-quality training and the stable’s confident comments.

Funabashi Race 10 | Dirt 1600m | Fuso Koketsu Special B3-3 Group

Race Prediction Points: B3 race with mixed promoted horses and those returning from layoff

A B3 class 1600m race. With no clear protagonist and many elements of concern among existing forces, this field composition is analyzed as an excellent stage for proven horses who couldn’t show their full potential in the last race to make a comeback. In this race, identifying horses with a clear reason for their previous defeat and definite good preparation for this race will be the key to high dividends.

Featured Horse Column: (5) Jack Pearl (Colt, 5yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 16%, Estimated Odds 433%

Analysis: This horse shows the highest odds index among all recommended horses. The basis for the recommendation is summarized in trainer Inamasu’s comment: “It will be tough if it’s positioned like in the previous race.” This indicates that the reason for his previous defeat was clearly “tactics (positioning),” not his ability or physical condition. His physical condition is not just “no problem,” but the training data suggests “top form,” with the highest evaluation of “excellent stretch after being urged” given in his final workout.

Conclusion: A time of 36.8 seconds for the final furlong in “hand-ridden” cannot be recorded unless the horse is in top form. The AI’s evaluation of 433% odds accurately captured this typical “comeback pattern” of “clear reason for previous defeat” and “excellent preparation this time.” With the stable understanding the reason for defeat and the horse approaching this race in top condition, the estimated odds of 433% are the ultimate “value bet.”

Funabashi Race 12 | Dirt 1600m | Pachira Special C1-1 Group to 3 Group

Race Prediction Points: High-level C1 race, clash of talented horses

A C1 class 1600m race. This has the potential to be the highest-level field composition among today’s races. It’s an unusually good card for a C1 class race, featuring a clash between “rising stars” on a winning streak in Minami Kanto and “transfer elites” from JRA, a race where true ability is tested.

Featured Horse Column: (13) Crystal Cave (Colt, 3yo)

Horse Profile: Estimated Win Rate 32%, Estimated Place Rate 66%, Estimated Odds 237%

Analysis: The reason AI gave the highest evaluation in a high-level field composition lies in this horse’s extraordinary performance. His unfathomable ability is evident in “winning two consecutive races after transferring to Minami Kanto despite a break of over a year” and “comfortably adapting to extended distance and winning decisively.” He also recorded sharp times in training, and his preparation is perfect.

Conclusion: While trainer Yutaka Sato expresses concerns about promotion, research materials unequivocally state he is “a horse capable of handling both the class and 1600 meters.” It is highly likely that this horse will not remain in C1 class, and even against strong transfer horses, the expectation for an undefeated V4 (4 consecutive wins) is unwavering due to his momentum and talent. The AI’s high win rate of 32% evaluates this difference in “caliber.”