In-depth Analysis & Professional Ratings for November 29, 2025
By Central Horse Racing Data Analysis Team
Key Takeaways
High-Value Picks
Ten horses identified with significant gaps between professional ratings and market odds, offering strong investment value.
Reliable Anchors
Satono Patriot (Race 7) and Gran Maestro (Race 2) stand out as top candidates for “sure-win” anchor bets due to exceptionally high ratings.
Main Race Contenders
Estrella de Belen (Race 10) & Buena Onda (Race 11) offer a balanced mix of reliability and favorable odds in the day’s main events.
Undervalued Long Shots
New Found (Race 8) and Hiruno Puglia (Race 9) are identified as high-potential dark horses with significant payout possibilities.
Data-Driven Strategy
Analysis integrates bloodlines, training performance, and course suitability to provide a comprehensive, data-backed roadmap for a successful betting portfolio.
In-Depth Horse Analysis
Swipe through to see our top 10 featured horses
Estrella de Belen
Tokyo 10R: Shangri-La Stakes
(Dirt 1400m)
21%Main Rating
Contender Rating:51%
Popularity:3rd Fav
Value / Money:151%
Bloodline:
Combines Epiphaneia’s stamina with Fasliyev’s speed, ideal for Tokyo’s 1400m dirt which demands both acceleration and sustained pace.
Training:
Excellent condition. Final workout showed exceptional sharpness (11.4s last 1f). Trainer notes a left-lean tendency, requiring skilled handling by jockey Lemaire.
Key Point:
Ability to maintain speed is a major advantage on this demanding course. Market underestimation (151% value) presents a strong betting opportunity.
Buena Onda
Tokyo 11R: Capital Stakes
(Turf 1600m)
15%Main Rating
Contender Rating:61%
Popularity:6th Fav
Value / Money:159%
Bloodline:
Features a “Miracle Blood” cross, combining explosive finishing power with sharp acceleration—perfect for Tokyo’s 1600m course.
Training:
Consistent training despite a short break. Final workout showed good condition with a strong stride, indicating readiness to perform.
Key Point:
Its explosive late surge on the long Tokyo straight, paired with jockey Masahisa Kawada, makes it a potent threat. Significant undervaluation at 6th favorite.
Gran Maestro
Tokyo 2R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
(Dirt 1600m)
60%Main Rating
Contender Rating:70%
Popularity:1st Fav
Value / Money:169%
Potential:
The “Golden Triangle” of elite Northern Farm bloodline, top T. Kimura stable, and top jockey C. Lemaire signals exceptionally high expectations.
Training:
Described as “one-pace,” which is a significant advantage in dirt races, allowing it to maintain a consistent high speed without tiring.
Key Point:
A top-tier 60% rating for a maiden race makes it a powerful anchor bet. Despite being the favorite, its 169% value suggests odds are still favorable.
Neckarsulm
Tokyo 3R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
(Turf/Dirt TBC)
57%Main Rating
Contender Rating:61%
Popularity:1st Fav
Value / Money:161%
Condition:
Exhibits abundant vitality. Final workout showed sharp acceleration (11.8s last 1f), a time sufficient to dominate a maiden race.
Race Analysis:
Previous loss was due to traffic issues, not lack of ability. Trainer suggests it can perform much better with a clear run.
Key Point:
Disregard previous misfortune. An 11-second final furlong in training is a sign of genuine talent. Poised for a decisive win on Tokyo’s wide track.
Gunda
Tokyo 4R: 2-Year-Old Newcomer
(Conditions TBC)
57%Main Rating
Contender Rating:66%
Popularity:1st Fav
Value / Money:199%
Information Asymmetry:
While public details are scarce, the exceptional professional rating (57%) and value (199%) point to strong internal evaluations and an information advantage.
Inferred Background:
The data suggests undisclosed factors, such as elite training times or high praise from early development stages, are driving this strong recommendation.
Key Point:
A potential “hidden monster.” The lack of public information combined with high professional ratings signals a rare opportunity. Trust the data.
Longing Celine
Tokyo 5R: 2-Year-Old Newcomer
(Conditions TBC)
13%Main Rating
Contender Rating:48%
Popularity:3rd Fav
Value / Money:210%
Training Analysis:
Praised for its “high leg power” in training, reportedly outshining older, more experienced horses in practice runs—a very strong signal for a newcomer.
Investment Value:
The 210% value metric highlights massive payout potential. Betting on impressive training form at lower popularity is a proven high-return strategy.
Key Point:
“High leg power” is a critical indicator of raw talent in newcomer races. A prime candidate for a win bet or as the core of combination bets.
Le Valet de Coeur
Tokyo 6R: 3-YO & Up, 1 Win
(Dirt 1600m)
56%Main Rating
Contender Rating:66%
Popularity:1st Fav
Value / Money:199%
Profile:
Pure dirt pedigree. Improved focus and concentration post-gelding has unlocked its potential.
Performance:
Ran an excellent 2nd place on this course with a time of 1:36.0, showing resilience. This time is strong for its class.
Key Point:
Improved mentality, strong dirt aptitude, and proven course performance make it a highly reliable anchor for the day’s betting.
Satono Patriot
Tokyo 7R: 3-YO & Up, 1 Win
(Turf Presumed)
71%Main Rating
Contender Rating:69%
Popularity:1st Fav
Value / Money:162%
Professional Evaluation:
An overwhelming 71% rating, indicating experts find it nearly flawless. The most confident pick of the day.
Investment Value:
Despite low odds, the 162% value metric highlights extreme efficiency due to near-zero risk. Ideal for high-confidence win bets or as the head of combination wagers.
Key Point:
A 71% rating signals a near-certain victory. Possesses the absolute ability to win regardless of how the race unfolds. THE anchor of the day.
New Found
Tokyo 8R: 3-YO & Up, 2 Win
(Conditions TBC)
31%Main Rating
Contender Rating:69%
Popularity:4th Fav
Value / Money:245%
Training Analysis:
Despite comments about being “voluminous,” its final workout time was exceptionally fast, suggesting peak physical condition and power.
Investment Value:
At 4th favorite with a massive 245% value, this is a prime target. The market is likely overreacting to physical appearance comments, creating a value gap.
Key Point:
Focus on the clock, not the comments. The training times indicate it has the potential to upset the higher-ranked favorites.
Hiruno Puglia
Tokyo 9R: Catreus Stakes
(Dirt 1600m)
6%Main Rating
Contender Rating:45%
Popularity:11th Fav
Value / Money:329%
Bloodline:
Sire is from the dominant Into Mischief line, a potent source of North American dirt speed well-suited to Japanese courses like Tokyo 1600m.
Training:
Significant recent improvement, showing “sharper movement.” Recorded an exceptional uphill track time, rare for a 2-year-old.
Key Point:
The ultimate long shot. The combination of “American bloodline,” “sharp movement,” and “low popularity” makes it a prime high-risk, high-reward bet for massive payouts.
Portfolio Strategy & Conclusion
This analysis presents a clear roadmap to victory for November 29th. Anchor your portfolio with the high-reliability picks of Satono Patriot and Gran Maestro for stable returns. In the main races, Estrella de Belen and Buena Onda are strong contenders. For those seeking higher returns, capitalize on the undervaluation of New Found and strategically include the high-potential long shot Hiruno Puglia, whose 329% value metric could single-handedly ensure a profitable day.
