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Steyres Stakes 2025

In-Depth Analysis of Top Contenders’ Pre-Race Workouts and Prediction for the 3600m Nakayama Course

Key Takeaways

Unique Course Demands

The Nakayama 3600m course’s 16 corners and steep inclines demand exceptional stamina and maneuverability from competitors.

Top Contender Fitness

Chuck Nate and Chrominance show outstanding pre-race workout data, indicating peak physical condition and high contention for victory.

Bloodline Influence

The Stay Gold lineage, especially through Gold Ship progeny, is heavily represented, signaling a race favoring horses bred for stamina.

Race & Course Analysis

Nakayama 3600m Profile

16 Corners & Distance Loss

The course’s numerous corners place a premium on inside navigation and jockey skill to minimize distance loss, making maneuverability essential.

Steep Incline & Stamina Test

Multiple ascents of Nakayama’s signature steep incline, especially late in the race, serve as the ultimate test of a horse’s resilience and true stamina.

Bloodline Trends: The Stamina Lineage

SireNotable ProgenyAnalysis
Gold ShipWin Airfolk, Vermicelle, etc.High long-distance suitability; excels in tough races.
OrfevreMixologyTriple Crown winner pedigree; explosive power and stamina.
Heart’s CryChuck NateProduces G1 winners who mature well with age.
Lord KanaloaChrominanceInfluence from dam sire; age adapts well to long distances.

Top Contenders

CHUCK NATE

Gelding, 7yo, Miho TC, Hori Stable

Solid Steyer

Workout: Miho W, 6F 66.5s, Final 1F 11.3s (Ridden out)

Analysis: Demonstrated high cardiovascular capacity and a sharp finishing kick against a speedy rival. Workout suggests peak condition, potentially better than last year.

Outlook: Proven success in this race and a bloodline built for toughness make him the primary focus and most reliable choice.

CHROMINANCE

Colt, 8yo, Miho TC, Ozaki Stable

No Signs of Decline

Workout: Miho W, 4F 50.2s, Final 1F 11.7s (With ease)

Analysis: Effortlessly matched a G1 winner on a soft track, showing excellent physical and mental form. His agility in training has notably improved.

Outlook: Expected to improve significantly from his last race. His ability to settle over long distances makes him a top contender for an upset victory.

MIXOLOGY

Gelding, 6yo, Ritto TC, Tsujino Stable

Record Holder Comeback

Workout: Ritto CW, Final 1F 12.0s (Strong effort)

Analysis: A long, steady gallop with remaining ease in the final stretch indicates smooth progress. Movement has become smoother since his layoff.

Outlook: A previous record win at 3400m proves his top-tier stamina. A horse to watch closely in a stamina-intensive race.

HO-O ELITE

Filly, 4yo, Miho TC, Tajima Shun Stable

Maneuverable Dark Horse

Workout: Miho W, 6F 66.5s, Final 1F 11.6s (Ridden strongly)

Analysis: Marked a good time effortlessly with a strong finish. Training comments highlight his excellent maneuverability, a key advantage here.

Outlook: Stamina and fighting spirit make him suitable for long distances. Carrying a light 55kg is a significant advantage.

Potential Upsets

Meiner Campana

A tough Gold Ship progeny in stable condition, focused on finishing strong. Could emerge in a stamina-focused race.

Vermicelle

Another tough Gold Ship filly who excels in grueling races and consistently trains on the demanding uphill track.

Pure Kiang

Agile in training with an improving evaluation. Could be a threat if he sets a comfortable pace from the front.

Final Furlong Speed

RankHorseTime (s)Eval.
1Chuck Nate11.3S
2Vertenberk11.5A
2Pure Kiang11.5B+
4Ho-o Elite11.6A
5Chrominance11.7S

Final Verdict

Primary Contender

Chuck Nate

Workout received an ‘S’ evaluation with no reservations. High-quality performance, excellent timing, and proven course suitability make him the most reliable choice.

Strong Contender

Chrominance

Shows no signs of age, matching a G1 horse in training. An intriguing bloodline makes him the top candidate for an upset.

Special Mentions

Meiner Campana & Ho-o Elite

Both have the potential to perform well in a stamina-intensive race due to bloodline and tactical advantages.

This article is based on information and data available as of late November 2025.

Please confirm the final list of participants and post positions with the official announcements.

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。