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Saga Racecourse presents

4th Formalhaut Stakes

A Deep Dive into the G3 Two-Year-Old Fillies Showdown

Date

Nov 30, 2025

Venue

Saga Racecourse

Track

1400m Dirt

Category

G3, 2-y-o Fillies

Key Contenders

Sakidori Tokken

Saga

Pedigree: A potent mix of To The World’s dirt suitability and Seeking the Dia’s sprint power, ideal for Saga’s demanding track.

Performance: Perfect in-the-money record (4W, 2S). Showcased versatile come-from-behind ability and holds a top-class 1400m time of 1:31.6.

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa. The engagement of this top Ohi jockey signals immense confidence and strategic intent from the stable.

Top All-Rounder

Impulse Bella

Hyogo

Pedigree: A blue-blooded combination of US speedster Drefong and Deep Impact, promising explosive power and absolute speed.

Performance: Undefeated in 2 starts. Narrowly beaten by JRA rivals in her last race, proving her high-level ability. Her front-running style is a major asset.

Jockey: Tomohiro Yoshimura. Hyogo’s champion jockey continues the partnership, bringing national-level skill to the saddle.

Explosive Speedster

Pharma Dol

Ohi

Pedigree: By Japan Cup winner Cheval Grand out of a Kurofune mare, suggesting resilience and stamina over pure speed.

Performance: Highly experienced in competitive South Kanto races. Could thrive if the race turns into a grueling test of stamina.

Jockey: Manato Tobita. A strategic pairing, combining an outsider’s power with a talented local jockey’s intimate course knowledge.

Stamina Dark Horse

Hakuaiduman

Saga

Pedigree: American Patriot x Fuji Kiseki points to a classic “front-running and holding on” type, perfectly suited to Saga’s tight turns.

Performance: Very consistent record with a blistering 1:31.4 victory in her last 1400m race. Potentially the fastest in the field.

Jockey: Shinnosuke Ishikawa. Expect an aggressive, pace-setting ride that could see her dominate from the start.

Pace Dominator

Sarasa Challenge

Kawasaki

Pedigree: Mind Your Biscuits and Manhattan Cafe genes provide a blend of power and stamina for tough races.

Performance: Graded race experience, finishing second in the Sonoda Princess Cup (G3). A proven contender at this level.

Jockey: Isao Yamaguchi. The legendary Saga jockey’s presence is a huge advantage, potentially unlocking a surprise victory.

Veteran’s Choice

Data at a Glance

Horse NameBest TimeFormTrack FitTotal
Sakidori Tokken9/109/1010/1028
Impulse Bella9/109/108/1026
Hakuaiduman9/108/109/1026
Sarasa Challenge8/108/109/1025
Pharma Dol8/108/109/1025

Saga 1400m Dirt

Deep Sand & Power: Saga’s track is notoriously deep, demanding significant power and stamina. Horses that can handle a heavy, tiring surface have a distinct advantage.

Tight Turns & Agility: The course features tight turns, placing a premium on cornering agility. Horses must maintain momentum through the bends to be competitive.

Pace Bias: The deep sand and kickback heavily favor front-runners and stalkers. Gaining a forward position early is often crucial for two-year-olds, making the initial pace battle critical.

Final Verdict & Betting Strategy

The 4th Formalhaut Stakes boils down to a fascinating clash between the local ace Sakidori Tokken and the invading speedster Impulse Bella. Sakidori Tokken’s versatility, home-track advantage, and strategic jockey choice make her a reliable favorite.

However, Impulse Bella’s raw speed and top-tier jockey could prove overwhelming if she secures an uncontested lead. Look for Pharma Dol and Sarasa Challenge as key challengers who could capitalize on a fast pace or benefit from a masterful ride.

Remember, two-year-old filly races are unpredictable. Always check final paddock conditions and track updates before placing your bets.Get Final Race-Day Picks

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

専門分野: AIを使った競馬予想。生成AIを使ったコンテンツ作成
実績・資格:

主な活動実績 AI競馬マスターズ2023: 3位入賞 俺プロ: 馬将認定 参考成績(中央): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562 参考成績(地方): https://yoso.netkeiba.com/nar/?pid=yosoka_profile&id=562

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。