A thorough evaluation of the final workouts for the 2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup. Based solely on official data, we objectively diagnose the condition of top contenders like Regaleira, fresh off a G2 win, and Stellenbosch, aiming for a rebound. We assign S to B ranks based on training times and stable comments, getting to the heart of your betting strategy.
- Key Takeaways
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup 2025: Final Workout Overview
- Key Data: Final Workout Evaluation Summary Table
- S-Rank: Top-Rated Prime Contenders
- A+-Rank: The 3-Year-Old to Watch
- A-Rank: Notable Contenders & Dark Horses
- B-Rank: Analysis of All Other Contenders
- Conclusion: Final Evaluation and Recommendations
- See the Final Conclusion
Key Takeaways
- Regaleira (S-Rank): Rated as “Improving” from her G2-winning form, showing signs of being in perfect condition.
- Stellenbosch (S-Rank): Despite a poor last run, she clocked a “Personal Best” in her final workout. Physically at her peak with high potential for a comeback.
- Paradireine (A+-Rank): Evaluated as being in “Peak Condition” despite a tough G1 race, showing exceptional improvement for a 3-year-old.
- Lilac (A-Rank): Maintaining the condition her jockey described as her “Best Ever,” she’s a potential dark horse who could cause an upset at long odds.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup 2025: Final Workout Overview
First, let’s get a bird’s-eye view of the condition of all 16 entrants. One of the most critical signals in betting is the “degree of improvement.” According to official training data, the following three horses are rated with an upward arrow “↗” (Improving):
- Vermicelle (5yo Mare)
- Paradireine (3yo Filly)
- Regaleira (4yo Filly)
The fact that Regaleira, who won a G2, and Paradireine, who ran well in a G1, are officially recognized as having made further progress since their last races will be a significant threat to the other stables. In this article, in addition to these two “Improving” horses, we will give the highest S-Rank to Stellenbosch, who recorded a “Personal Best” in her final workout.
Key Data: Final Workout Evaluation Summary Table
This table summarizes the evaluation of the final workout (marked with ☆) and the overall form arrow for all 16 horses. All data is based on officially released training information.
| Horse Name | Arrow (Form) | Workout Comment (Overall) | Final Workout Date (☆) | Final Workout Comment (☆) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermicelle | ↗ | Sharp Leg Action | 11/12(Wed) | Sharp Leg Action |
| Erica Express | → | Brisk Movement | 11/12(Wed) | Brisk Movement |
| Aurora X | → | Maintains Good Form | 11/12(Wed) | Maintains Good Form |
| Canatape | → | Maintains Good Form | 11/12(Wed) | Maintains Good Form |
| Keryfred Ask | → | No Drop in Condition | 11/12(Wed) | No Drop in Condition |
| Coconut Brown | → | Lagged but Not Pushed | 11/12(Wed) | Lagged but Not Pushed |
| Safira | → | Maintains Physique | 11/12(Wed) | Maintains Physique |
| Shinryokuka | → | Good Finish | 11/12(Wed) | Good Finish |
| Stellenbosch | → | Clocked Personal Best | 11/12(Wed) | Clocked Personal Best |
| Sekitoba East | → | Leaner, Improved Physique | 11/12(Wed) | Leaner, Improved Physique |
| Paradireine | ↗ | In Peak Condition | 11/12(Wed) | In Peak Condition |
| Fair Ehrung | → | Light Work Sufficient | 11/12(Wed) | Light Work Sufficient |
| Bond Girl | → | Smooth Movement | 11/12(Wed) | Smooth Movement |
| Lilac | → | Lively Movement | 11/12(Wed) | Lively Movement |
| Links Tip | → | Lively Despite Break | 11/12(Wed) | Lively Despite Break |
| Regaleira | ↗ | Showing Good Signs | 11/12(Wed) | Showing Good Signs |
S-Rank: Top-Rated Prime Contenders
We’ll analyze in detail the two prime contenders who, based on the data, must be rated “S”.
S-RankRegaleira (4yo Filly) – “Excellent Signs” of Improvement
Training Data: Received a comment of “Showing Good Signs” in her final workout (☆ 11/12 Miho W, Good). Her overall form arrow is “↗” (Improving).
Previous Race Interview (All Comers GII, 1st): Jockey Keita Tosaki praised her performance, saying, “She felt great, responded well when I asked her, and really stretched out,” and “She’s easy to ride and has a great finishing kick.”
Basis for S-Rank Evaluation:
After winning a G2, a stable’s goal is usually to maintain that good condition (arrow “→”). However, Regaleira’s training data earned an “↗” (Improving) rating, indicating she is “even better” than when she won the G2. This shows the stable’s confidence that she is in better condition than her last race. The “Showing Good Signs” comment in her final workout confirms this upward trajectory is real, leaving no doubt about her S-Rank evaluation.
S-RankStellenbosch (4yo Filly) – A Full Comeback with a “Personal Best”?
Training Data: An impressive comment of “Clocked Personal Best” in her final workout (☆ 11/12 Ritto CW, Good). Her form arrow is “→” (Steady).
Previous Race Interview (Sapporo Kinen GII, 15th): Jockey Kenichi Ikezoe suggested the loss was not physical, commenting, “She’s a very capable horse and should have moved up effortlessly at the fourth corner, so I can only attribute it to her mentality.”
Basis for S-Rank Evaluation:
Her last major defeat was strongly suggested to be due to “mentality” and “a soft track,” based on jockey comments and race notes. The fact that this “horse with a clear reason for losing” has now posted an objective record of “Clocked Personal Best” in her final workout should be taken very seriously. This indicates her physical condition is at the highest level and can be evaluated as a classic “rebound pattern,” showing potential that more than makes up for her previous weaknesses.
A+-Rank: The 3-Year-Old to Watch
Analyzing a horse that is closing in on S-Rank, or perhaps has even more momentum.
A+-RankParadireine (3yo Filly) – Rated “In Peak Condition”
Training Data: Received the highest praise of “In Peak Condition” in her final workout (☆ 11/12 Ritto Hill, Good). Her form arrow is also “↗” (Improving).
Previous Race Interview (Shuka Sho GI, 3rd): Jockey Yusuke Tannai commented, “She showed her ability with a good turn of foot,” and “The horse really tried her best.”
Basis for A+-Rank Evaluation:
Her last race, the Shuka Sho, was a very strong performance where she finished 3rd only due to “track position.” After a tough G1 race, there are concerns about fatigue for a 3-year-old filly, but her training data includes not only the “In Peak Condition” comment but also an “↗” (Improving) arrow. This strongly suggests that not only is she free of any damage from the last race, but she may have even grown and awakened as a result of it.
A-Rank: Notable Contenders & Dark Horses
Evaluating horses that, while a step below S-Rank, show clear positive signs in the data.
A-RankErica Express (3yo Filly) – “Brisk Movement”
Training Data: “Brisk Movement” comment in final workout (☆ 11/12 Ritto Hill, Good). Form arrow is “→” (Steady).
Basis for A-Rank Evaluation:
The issue in her last 2nd place finish was the “mid-race tension” pointed out by jockey Yutaka Take. The “Brisk Movement” evaluation indicates she is in top physical shape, but whether her temperament issues are resolved will have to be judged on race day.
A-RankLilac (6yo Mare) – “Lively” Form Backs Up Jockey’s Praise
Training Data: “Lively Movement” comment in final workout (☆ 11/12 Miho W, Good). Form arrow is “→” (Steady).
Basis for A-Rank Evaluation:
Although a 6-year-old, her regular jockey gave her the highest praise of “Best Ever” before her last race. This “Lively Movement” evaluation confirms she is maintaining that peak form, strongly suggesting she has the potential for an upset at long odds.
A-RankVermicelle (5yo Mare) – The Third “Improving” Horse
Training Data: “Sharp Leg Action” comment in final workout (☆ 11/12 Ritto Hill, Good). Form arrow is “↗” (Improving).
Basis for A-Rank Evaluation:
The third horse, after Regaleira and Paradireine, to receive an “↗” (Improving) rating. She carries the momentum from her last good run and has improved her condition further. At 5 years old, she shows signs of coming into her own and cannot be overlooked based on the data.
B-Rank: Analysis of All Other Contenders
Here are objective evaluations for the remaining entrants, based on training and past race interview data.
Coconut Brown (5yo Mare):
Evaluation: While her last race was strong, the fact she “lagged” in her final workout is a slight concern.
Bond Girl (4yo Filly):
Evaluation: The reason for her last loss is “unclear” and she is a “difficult ride.” The “Smooth Movement” comment suggests she could run well if in the mood, but also carries the risk of another poor performance.
Sekitoba East (4yo Filly):
Evaluation: The jockey’s promise that “she’ll be different next time” is backed up by training data showing a “Leaner, Improved Physique,” a positive sign for a rebound.
Fair Ehrung (5yo Mare):
Evaluation: The judgment that “Light Work is Sufficient” can be interpreted as a sign of the stable’s confidence that she is already in top shape.
Shinryokuka (5yo Mare):
Evaluation: As the “Good Finish” comment suggests, she appears to be in stable condition to perform to her ability once again.
Aurora X (4yo Filly):
Evaluation: The comment “Maintains Good Form” from her last win indicates she is holding her condition at a high level.
Canatape (6yo Mare):
Evaluation: Maintaining the good form from her 3rd place finish last time. With the right trip, further improvement is possible.
Links Tip (3yo Filly):
Evaluation: Her last race was simply not suited to her running style. She’s refreshed and moving lightly. The data suggests she deserves another look.
Keryfred Ask (3yo Filly):
Evaluation: A “No Drop in Condition” rating after an 11th place finish is not a strong positive factor.
Safira (4yo Filly):
Evaluation: “Maintains Physique” after a 12th place finish. The data does not suggest significant improvement.
Conclusion: Final Evaluation and Recommendations
This article provided an objective analysis based solely on official data for the “Queen Elizabeth II Cup 2025 Workout Analysis.” According to the data, the two S-Rank horses are the most formidable.
- Regaleira: Flawless data, showing she is “Improving (↗) from a G2 win.”
- Stellenbosch: A classic rebound pattern, overcoming a clear reason for her last defeat (“mentality”) with a “Personal Best” physical performance.
Rivaling these two is the A+-Rank Paradireine (↗). Her “In Peak Condition” rating shows exceptional improvement for a 3-year-old after a tough G1 race. As a dark horse, Lilac (A-Rank), who is maintaining the “Best Ever” condition her jockey described with “Lively” movement, is noteworthy based on the data.
The above analysis is an objective evaluation based on training and past race data. For the final conclusion, including race pace, track conditions, and post positions, please check the link below.
See the Final Conclusion
Check Final Conclusion and Picks
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