November 9, 2025 Maiden Race Predictions | In-depth Analysis of “I’m In” in Tokyo 5R! A Look at a Key Day Featuring Well-Bred Horses like Kyoto’s “Lobchen”

November 9, 2025, could be a pivotal day in forecasting the future classic contenders. A total of five 2-year-old maiden races are scheduled across the three major racecourses—Tokyo, Kyoto, and Fukushima. High expectations are placed on “I’m In,” ridden by C. Lemaire, and “Lobchen,” a World Premiere colt. This article provides a multi-faceted analysis of each racecourse’s track bias, along with the pedigree and training data of promising horses, offering logical, evidence-based betting insights.

Key Takeaways of This Article

• November 9, 2025, is a notable day with five high-quality 2-year-old maiden races across Tokyo, Kyoto, and Fukushima.
• The track bias at each racecourse varies significantly, making it the most crucial factor in predictions.
• Tokyo Racecourse features a flat track that tests true ability, making “I’m In” with his explosive speed a top contender.
• Kyoto’s dirt track has shifted to favor power, requiring a re-evaluation of pedigrees.
• Fukushima’s dirt track shows a strong bias towards front-runners, making a quick start from the gate essential.

Reading the “Prediction Points” from Track Bias: What Aptitude is Required Now?

In maiden race predictions, where the absolute ability of the runners is unknown, understanding the stage—the track bias—is the most critical factor. Trends over the past month, in particular, clearly indicate whether the current track demands “speed,” “power,” or “front-running ability.”

Tokyo Racecourse Track Bias

Turf (Tokyo 5R Turf 2000m)
As of November 8, the turf cushion value is 9.4, which is standard. The JRA has officially announced a shift to a “flat track” with minimal advantages or disadvantages, meaning the true ability of the horses will be tested. Combined with the trend of requiring a “fast final kick,” the Tokyo Turf 2000m maiden race will demand “explosive speed” backed by pedigree and the “race-making ability” of a top jockey to unleash it.

Dirt (Tokyo 6R Dirt 1600m)
The dry track condition, where “closers tend to perform well,” is a noteworthy point. Contrary to typical maiden race theory, this indicates a tough track that doesn’t necessarily favor front-runners. A dual skill set of high acceleration from the turf start and a sustained late kick will be required.

Kyoto Racecourse Track Bias

Turf (Kyoto 5R Turf 2000m)
The cushion value is 10.6, indicating a “slightly firm” and fast track. Combined with the mid-October bias favoring “inside posts,” pedigrees that suggest suitability for high-speed tracks (like Deep Impact lines) and the agility to maneuver skillfully from an inside draw will be crucial.

Dirt (Kyoto 4R Dirt 1400m)
【Most Critical Analysis Point】 The Kyoto dirt track has completely shifted from a “speed-favoring” surface in mid-October to one that is “dry and requires power” as of November 8. This change necessitates a fundamental review of predictions, significantly boosting the evaluation of horses with power in their pedigree or a strong physique.

Fukushima Racecourse Track Bias

Dirt (Fukushima 6R Dirt 1700m)
An extremely strong bias has been observed where “front-runners are dominant, typical of a small track.” This is the most straightforward and powerful factor. Any horse suggested to have a “quick start” or “front-running ability” from training or stable comments should be unconditionally upgraded.

Featured 2000m Turf Maiden Races: The Gateway to the Classics

Traditionally, the 2000m turf maiden races at Tokyo and Kyoto are the “royal road” that has produced numerous classic winners. On November 9, both venues feature high-level horses in terms of pedigree and training, making these crucial races for identifying early contenders.

Tokyo 5R 2-Year-Old Maiden (Turf 2000m)

The current Tokyo turf is a “flat track” that demands a “fast finish.” This condition allows the raw ability and hereditary turn of foot of the runners to be directly reflected in the results.

(4) I’m In (Colt, 2 y.o., C. Lemaire)

• Expert Evaluation: A “unanimous choice” with all four experts giving a top rating (◎), making him the overwhelming favorite with projected win odds of 1.7.
• Pedigree: Sire Silver State x Damsire King Kamehameha. His sire’s exceptional turn of foot is a perfect match for the finishing kick required at Tokyo.
• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Masahiro Kato offered the highest praise: “His workout movements are flawless. He has incredible potential.”
• Analysis: The undisputed top contender. The only concerns are the excessive hype and the inherent uncertainty of a maiden race.

(3) Votre Ciel (Colt, 2 y.o., T. Pouchet)

• Pedigree: From the first crop of sire Contrail, possessing a wealth of unknown potential.
• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Takeshi Okumura commented, “He has talent, but still has a childish side and is developing.”
• Analysis: May not be as polished as I’m In, but has significant room for growth. Jockey T. Pouchet’s handling will be key.

(6) Gokou Koi Koi (Filly, 2 y.o., T. Yokoyama)

• Pedigree: Sire Gold Ship x Damsire Roses in May.
• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Toru Kurita noted, “She has a calm personality with an on/off switch,” suggesting she may have inherited her sire’s temperament.
• Analysis (Pedigree/Track Mismatch): Progeny of Gold Ship tend to excel on tougher tracks rather than in high-speed finishes at Tokyo. On the current track that demands instant acceleration, she may be less reliable than her popularity suggests.

Kyoto 5R 2-Year-Old Maiden (Turf 2000m)

As analyzed, this will be a contest on a high-speed track that demands pace.

(4) Lobchen (Colt, 2 y.o., K. Matsuyama)

• Expert Evaluation: The top favorite with projected odds of 1.9, garnering extremely high support from experts.
• Pedigree: Sire World Premiere x Damsire Giant’s Causeway. A blend of stamina and power.
• Training & Stable Comments: Clocked a sharp 11.2 seconds in his final workout, a surprising time for a stamina-oriented pedigree. Evaluated as being in “excellent form.”
• Analysis: Despite a stamina-rich pedigree, his greatest appeal is proving in training that he has the speed to handle a fast track.

(5) Alpenglow (Colt, 2 y.o., C. Demuro)

• Pedigree: Sire Orfevre x Damsire Snitzel. A well-balanced mix of stamina and speed.
• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Hiroyuki Uemura stated, “His temperament is fine” and “longer distances will suit him,” personally dispelling common concerns about his sire’s progeny, which is a strong positive.
• Analysis: The focus will be on whether he can handle a high-speed battle under the guidance of jockey C. Demuro.

The Dirt Elites Assemble! Featured Dirt Maiden Races

On November 9, a total of three dirt maiden races are scheduled across Tokyo, Kyoto, and Fukushima. The required aptitudes are completely different for each of the three racecourses, making the match between track bias and each horse’s suitability the most critical point of prediction.

Tokyo 6R 2-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1600m)

A tough track where “closers can win,” testing acceleration from the turf start and sustained finishing power.

(12) Getaria (Colt, 2 y.o., C. Lemaire)

• Pedigree: A debutant from the highly anticipated new sire Chrysoberyl (winner of 4 JRA Dirt G1s).
• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Haruki Sugiyama commented, “His running style is pure dirt” and “he has no quirks.” An exemplary type who can perform from his first race.
• Analysis: The combination of a “closer-friendly track” and “jockey C. Lemaire” is highly reliable, and his pedigree makes him a strong contender.

Kyoto 4R 2-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1400m)

The dramatic shift of the track from “speed” to “power” will dictate everything in this prediction.

(5) Hot Seat (Colt, 2 y.o., Y. Kawada)

• Pedigree: Sire Discreet Cat x Damsire Pyro.
• Analysis (Pedigree/Track Match): This combination is one of the most suitable pedigrees for the current track condition that “favors power types.” With the track drying out, this is a horse whose evaluation should be significantly raised.

Fukushima 6R 2-Year-Old Maiden (Dirt 1700m)

There is a clear bias where “front-runners are strong,” making an aggressive, forward race placement paramount.

(11) Tagano Akirea (Colt, 2 y.o., Y. Tsunoda)

• Training & Stable Comments: Trainer Hidemasa Nakao’s comment, “He breaks well from the gate,” holds the key to this race.
• Analysis (Perfect Match of Bias and Comment): Regarding “front-running ability,” the most crucial factor on the Fukushima dirt, the stable is the only one to highlight a “good gate start.” This perfect alignment of information and analysis makes him a reliable top pick.

Analysis Summary: Ratings for the Featured Maiden Races

Based on today’s detailed analysis, we have rated the top contenders for the November 9, 2025 debut races, highlighting the horse in each race that best matches the “prediction points.”

Final Conclusion: November 9, 2025 Maiden Race Final Predictions

In this report, we have thoroughly analyzed the “prediction points” for all five 2-year-old maiden races on November 9, considering multiple factors such as track bias, pedigree, training, and stable comments. Led by I’m In in Tokyo 5R and Lobchen in Kyoto 5R, each race features promising prospects for the future.

The final conclusions based on this detailed data analysis (including top picks ◎, second picks ○, dark horses ▲, and recommended betting slips for each race) are exclusively available on my “Ore Pro” page on netkeiba, where I am active as a tipster.

Next Steps

Click the link below to see the final “betting picks” for all of today’s maiden races. We hope it will be a valuable reference for your betting strategy.

View Final Conclusions & Betting Picks for Nov 9, 2025 Maiden Races Here