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Naruokinen GIII Analysis

NARUOKINEN 2025

One Week Before Workout Analysis & Prediction Points for the Hanshin 1800m Turf Showdown

Date

Dec 6, 2025

Venue

Hanshin Racecourse

Distance

1800m Turf (Outer)

Track Type

Tough Ryegrass Turf

Course Characteristics

Long Backstretch

A ~665m run to the first corner minimizes draw bias, ensuring a fair start for all contenders.

Pace-Quickening Turn

A gentle downhill slope from the 3rd to 4th corner naturally increases the race pace, setting up a thrilling finish.

Grueling Uphill Finish

The 473.6m final straight features a tough 1.8m climb, demanding both stamina and explosive power.

Key Contenders Analysis

All Nut

オールナット

Positioned for consecutive wins with powerful workout and proven race craft.

Workout

Clocked a near-personal best of 53.3s with a blistering 12.1s final furlong. Top condition.

Previous Race

Won the Challenge Cup, showcasing sharp acceleration and maneuverability.

Pedigree

Sire Satono Diamond provides stamina; Dam’s sire French Deputy brings power. Ideal for Hanshin.

Grand Vinos

グランヴィノス

Reaching full potential, aiming to reverse the Challenge Cup result with significant expected improvement.

Workout

Exceptional sharpness with a stunning 11.3s final furlong. Colt is peaking.

Previous Race

Strong 2nd place to All Nut in his first graded stakes. Poised for a big step forward.

Pedigree

Sire Kitasan Black and mare Halwa Sweet promise prime performance at age five.

West Now

ウエストナウ

Untapped potential with a powerful late surge. A major threat on the long Hanshin straight.

Workout

Strategic light workout and pool training to maintain peak condition post-race.

Previous Race

Won Andromeda Stakes with a dominant late surge from a wide draw.

Pedigree

Sire Kizuna and Dam’s sire Frankel cross suggests elite power and stamina.

Danon Ayers Rock

ダノンエアズロック

Explosive speed demon, in top form despite a layoff. Ready to unleash on a clean track.

Workout

Remarkable 11.1s final furlong, easily outpacing higher-rated stablemates. Indicates G1-level condition.

Previous Race

Last performance is a non-factor due to poor track conditions. Expect huge improvement.

Pedigree

Sire Maurice provides elite mile speed, a huge asset in an acceleration-focused race.

Dark Horses & Mentions

David Barrows

Sizzling 11.1s final furlong. A tenacious front-runner who could steal the race.

Shonan Magma

The likely pacesetter. If he controls the tempo, he could cause a major upset. More tenacious since being gelded.

Nihonpiro Keith

Favors Hanshin’s outer course. Possesses the sustained speed from sire Kitasan Black to be a factor.

Omega Guinness

Impressive speed with a 50.1s workout. A potential surprise if he takes to turf as his pedigree suggests.

Final Predictions & Picks

A slow pace is anticipated, turning the race into a test of pure acceleration in the straight. The rematch between All Nut and Grand Vinos is the main event, but several challengers are primed to spoil the party.

All Nut

Most reliable choice. Superior race sense, versatility, and consistent top-tier workouts make him the one to beat.

Grand Vinos

Peaking at the right time. His explosive final furlong in training and expected improvement put him in the winner’s circle.

West Now

The challenger with immense untapped potential. His closing power could overwhelm the favorites in the final stretch.

Danon Ayers Rock

Top value play. His G1-level workout suggests he is ready to fire a huge race off the layoff.

David Barrows

The dangerous front-runner. His speed on the fresh opening-day track could prove difficult to catch.

Shonan Magma

Keep an eye on the pacemaker. If the race unfolds slowly, he has the tenacity to stick around for a slice.

Workout Times (Nov 26-30)

Horse NameDateCourseLast 1F
All Nut11/27Ritto坂12.1
Grand Vinos11/27RittoCW11.3
West Now11/30RittoCW12.8
Danon Ayers Rock11/26MihoW11.1
David Barrows11/27RittoCW11.1
Sents Blood11/27RittoCW11.4
Duraleede11/27RittoCW11.5
Nihonpiro Keith11/27RittoCW11.7

ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

競馬予想家 (経験20年)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。

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実績・資格:

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ヤナシ社長(旧:生成系競馬予想)

データ関連企業の社長であり、学生時代にはアルゴリズムコンテストで世界3位に入賞したAI技術者。20年以上にわたり統計解析を競馬予想に応用してきた競馬予測家でもあります。生成系AIを駆使した客観的で革新的な競馬予想を提供し、「生成AI競走馬評価」などのコンテンツを通じて、競馬をより深く楽しめるようサポートしています。