Sunday, November 16, 2025
Key Takeaways
Talented Bloodstock
Highly-touted, well-bred horses like Danon Mustang and Access are debuting, signaling future classic contenders.
Elite Jockey Lineup
World-class jockeys like Lemaire, Demuro, and Take are riding, elevating the quality and importance of these maiden races.
Training “Arrows”
The “arrow” symbol (↑) in training data is a crucial “buy” signal, indicating a horse is peaking for its debut.
AI vs. Expert Analysis
Divergence between AI and expert picks at Fukushima suggests value in horses rated highly by both sources.
Race-by-Race Analysis
TokyoKyotoFukushima
Tokyo 4R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
Dirt 1600m
A test of stamina and sustained speed, with a turf start that minimizes the impact of draw bias.
Taiki Blitzkrieg
2.8x
Top Candidate
- Trainer: “Has speed and power. Moves above average, so ready from the first race.”
- Training: Superior performance in final workout, overwhelming higher-class horses.
- Bloodline: Sire Mozu Ascot and damsire Gold Allure are well-suited for dirt mile races.
Hollywood Gram
4.3x
Second Favorite
- Trainer: “Still a bit immature, but has a good build and should suit dirt.”
- Training: Remarkable final furlong time suggests exceptional hidden potential.
Haokanoa (5.6x) & Lux Dream (8.4x)
Horses to Watch
Both from trainer Kosaki’s stable with high training marks but temperament concerns. Observing their composure in the paddock will be crucial.
Tokyo 5R: 2-Year-Old Maiden
Turf 1600m
A crucial debut stage for potential classic contenders, demanding absolute speed and racing sense.
Danon Mustang
1.7x
Top Horse
- Expert Opinion: Rated with the highest possible marks (“◎◎◎◎”).
- Trainer: “Light-footed and has good racing sense. Should perform even better on turf.”
- Training: Recorded rapid times against older, open-class horses.
Lipi (5.3x) & Oninoutage (7.0x)
Contenders
Lipi shows a “light stride” and “good reaction.” Oninoutage clocked an impressive 11.3s final furlong on turf, suggesting significant acceleration.
Matenro Navy
5.8x
Bloodline Watch
High hopes due to a successful full sibling. Well-ridden and in perfect condition with jockey Norihiro Yokoyama.
Conclusion & Key Matchups
The day promises high-level racing with several future stars making their debut. Key rivalries to watch include:
- Tokyo:Taiki Blitzkrieg vs. Danon Mustang
- Kyoto:Access vs. Long Tall Sally
- Fukushima:Pige & Fleur Sache (Value Picks)
Final predictions and betting recommendations (◎○▲△) are available on a separate link.
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