Prediction & Analysis of Favorites and Long Shots
Date
November 23, 2025
Location
Kyoto Racecourse
Race Details
1400m, Dirt, 3-Win Class
Top Predictions
◎
Main Pick
14. Capital Saxe
The most reliable anchor. Strong recent form, excellent training, and proven suitability for the course and jockey.
○
Second Pick
11. Velocuore
Impressive last-start winner with front-running ability. Poised for a wire-to-wire victory attempt.
▲
Dark Horse
3. Hiruno de Goal
Expected to improve significantly. Excellent training times suggest a strong challenge is imminent.
☆
Special Mention
9. Danon Switch
Exceptional training times indicate peak form. A potential dominant winner if talent is unlocked.
△ Potential Placers
Keep an eye on: 07 Promising Star, 06 Semimaru, 13 Fervente, and 08 Not Found for exotic bets.
Full Runner Analysis
| # | Horse Name | Rating | Diagnosis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jarvis | — | Lacks speed, relies on pace. Risk of being boxed in from inner gate. | |
| 2 | Love Comedy | — | Uncertain race fitness after long fracture layoff. | |
| 3 | Hiruno de Goal | ▲ | Must improve in second start. Woodchip time is genuine. | |
| 4 | Jasper Barrows | — | Class jump and quick turnaround are challenging. | |
| 5 | Jody’s Marron | — | Can contend if pace suits, but unlikely to improve at 7yo. | |
| 6 | Semimaru | △ | Consistent. Blinkers could lead to placing. | |
| 7 | Promising Star | △ | High ability but temperamental. Could win if runs straight. | |
| 8 | Not Found | △ | High ability despite previous withdrawal. Lemaire is a plus. | |
| 9 | Danon Switch | ☆ | Excellent training. Could win by a wide margin if potential unlocks. | |
| 10 | Hermoze | — | Long layoff and uninspiring training. Observe for now. | |
| 11 | Velocuore | ○ | In form and capable of winning in this class. Pace advantage. | |
| 12 | Pluto Master | — | Tough if leads, but depends on competition from other front-runners. | |
| 13 | Fervente | △ | Can rebound with good guidance from jockey Sakai. | |
| 14 | Capital Saxe | ◎ | Optimal anchor. Difficult to imagine him failing. | |
| 15 | Sumi | — | Distance reduction is positive, but competition is tough. | |
| 16 | Raijin | — | Gate issues are a major concern. Difficult to back from outer gate. |
Course Analysis: Kyoto Dirt 1400m
Layout: The start from a turf pocket gives wider gates an early edge. A long initial stretch can cause pace battles, but the downhill section into a flat final straight allows both front-runners and closers to succeed.
Bloodlines: American dirt pedigrees (Mr. Prospector, Storm Bird lines) excel due to speed and power. European turf lines may struggle with the high-speed finish.
Race Development Simulation
Pace Forecast: Pluto Master (#12) is likely to lead, potentially challenged by Velocuore (#11) and Danon Switch (#9). The pace should settle into a moderate tempo.
Deciding Factors: The race will be won or lost on the downhill from the third corner. Mid-pack horses like Capital Saxe (#14) and Hiruno de Goal (#3) can surge if front-runners fade. Capital Saxe targeting Velocuore is the most likely scenario.
Final Summary
The Legend Trainer Cup is shaping up as a thrilling duel between the reliable favorite Capital Saxe and the in-form front-runner Velocuore. However, the explosive potential of Danon Switch and the expected improvement from Hiruno de Goal make this a race with multiple winning chances and the promise of a dramatic finish on the Kyoto dirt.
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