November 16, 2025 • …
November 9, 2025
The Kyoto race card for November 9, 2025, is packed with exciting races, including the G3 Miyako Stakes. Amidst challenging track conditions, we’ve selected 10 reliable anchor horses and high-value dark horses based on expert indices and stable comments. We provide a detailed analysis of favorites like Alpenglow and Pick de Mush, as well as longshots with over 400% value scores.
Considering yesterday’s unpredictable track conditions, we analyze today’s 10 horses to watch by combining expert indices with on-the-ground information.
Data Analysis: Expected 6th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 12% / Pro Contender Index 47% / Value Score 182%
For the opening race, we recommend Seiun Basilisk. Its ranking as the expected 6th favorite likely stems from the impression left by its previous race. While the stable admits “training was unremarkable,” the key is its potential for a “turnaround.” A Pro Contender Index of 47% is exceptionally high for a 6th favorite, indicating that experts highly value its improvement and change in conditions, noting it “moves better after a spell” and “seems suited for dirt.” This gap in evaluation creates the appealing Value Score of 182%.
Data Analysis: Expected 14th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 17% / Pro Contender Index 46% / Value Score 357%
Bradamante is today’s most perplexing and intriguing horse. Training comments are harsh, noting a “lack of power,” and it has lagged in workouts. However, its Pro Favorite Index of 17% and Contender Index of 46% are unbelievably high for a 14th favorite. The abnormal “Value Score of 357%” arises from this massive contradiction. It suggests the index may have captured something not reflected in standard track times, making it a worthy consideration for a major upset.
Data Analysis: Expected 1st Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 71% / Pro Contender Index 67% / Value Score 163%
This is the most reliable “banker” on today’s list. It boasts an overwhelming Pro Favorite Index of 71%. A week ago, it clocked an excellent 11.2 seconds for the final furlong on the woodchip course, and its final workout was described as “light-footed.” Trainer Uemura is confident, stating, “We’ve worked it hard, it’s moving well, and a longer distance should suit.” The 2000m turf is a perfect setting. With jockey C. Demuro, it’s a highly trustworthy pick for its debut.
Data Analysis: Expected 5th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 9% / Pro Contender Index 45% / Value Score 349%
With a “Value Score of 349%,” this horse is recommended as a promising mid-range longshot. The key is the training comment “excellent muscle tone” from its final workout, one of the highest praises indicating a horse is at its physical peak. This qualitative data aligns perfectly with its high value score, suggesting its superb condition is not yet reflected in the odds.
Data Analysis: Expected 2nd Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 63% / Pro Contender Index 72% / Value Score 199%
Second only to Alpenglow, this horse has a high Pro Favorite Index of 63%, making it a “semi-banker.” The core reason for this recommendation is the stable’s comment: “conditions have improved.” This shows the team is confident that today’s “Kyoto 2400m turf” is its best stage. Its pedigree—sired by Rey de Oro out of a Harbinger mare—is built for stamina over middle to long distances, further supporting its suitability for this race.
Data Analysis: Expected 1st Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 43% / Pro Contender Index 67% / Value Score 210%
In this fillies and mares race against older horses, the 3-year-old filly Mozu Cattleya is the central figure. The stable’s bold comment, “young but powerful,” reveals confidence in its superior ability. Notably, its “Value Score of 210%” indicates that even as the expected favorite, its current market odds are still attractive compared to the pro’s expected odds. It’s a horse that combines reliability with value.
Data Analysis: Expected 1st Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 62% / Pro Contender Index 67% / Value Score 187%
With a Pro Favorite Index of 62%, this is another of today’s “bankers.” Its reliability is backed by the training comment “improved after a prep race,” a clear sign that its last race wasn’t its best and it’s ready to win now. The stable’s comment “a chance to win if things click,” when interpreted with the pro index, can be seen as a confident statement: “it will definitely win if the race unfolds favorably.”
Data Analysis: Expected 9th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 4% / Pro Contender Index 44% / Value Score 167%
We focus on Agassi as a classic “course specialist” dark horse. Despite its low ranking as the 9th favorite, its Pro Contender Index is a very high 44%. This evaluation is likely summarized in the stable’s comment: “at its favorite Kyoto.” It’s in solid condition and ready to perform on its preferred track, making it an ideal horse to include in exotic bets.
Data Analysis: Expected 12th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 5% / Pro Contender Index 47% / Value Score 174%
This is the horse with the most value in today’s main event, the G3 Miyako Stakes. Completely overlooked as the 12th favorite, its Pro Contender Index of 47% is comparable to the top favorites. This gap is where the opportunity lies. Trainer Yahagi’s comment “steadily getting stronger” can be interpreted as confidence that it has reached a level to compete in a graded stakes race. Its training process has also been ideal.
Data Analysis: Expected 10th Favorite / Pro Favorite Index 21% / Pro Contender Index 68% / Value Score 420%
Our top longshot recommendation for a final-race comeback. The “Value Score of 420%” is an anomaly, but it’s strongly supported by stable comments and training evaluations. Trainer Konno sent a classic “turnaround” signal: “Its condition has improved recently. Its muscle tone is much better.” The training report fully supports this with “plenty of speed.” The combined pro index (89%) is tantamount to declaring this horse a contender, making it the one to bet on most aggressively.