AI-Powered Analysis & Betting Guide
Saturday, November 22, 2025 | Kyoto Racecourse, Dirt 1400m
Race & Course Overview
Unique Course Layout: The Kyoto Dirt 1400m starts on turf, demanding both turf speed and dirt aptitude. This favors horses in wider gates who get a longer run-up on the grass.
Key Aptitudes: Success requires “early speed” on turf, “acceleration,” and the core strength to handle the “Yodo no Saka” slopes. A “turf-dirt versatile” pedigree is a significant advantage.
Maiden Race Uncertainty: Young, inexperienced horses face mental challenges like kickback and crowded fields. Gate speed and maturity are crucial factors beyond raw data.
Top Contenders
#7
Red Brighton
Speed and Power Fusion
◎
Favorite
Pedigree: Mikki Isle / French Deputy
Jockey: C. Demuro
AI Odds: 5.2x
Ideal pedigree for this course. Showed sharp acceleration (11.6s final furlong) in workouts. Despite potential immaturity, Demuro’s skill and the horse’s raw ability make it a prime candidate to lead and win.
#10
Ten Magic Hour
Completion & Stability
○
Challenger
Pedigree: Pyro / Admire Vega
Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama
AI Odds: 2.8x
Boasts the fastest final furlong time (11.4s). High reliability with a suitable pedigree and no reported behavioral issues. Expected to be the race favorite and perform at full capacity.
#6
Peptide Leon
Dual-Threat with Turf Aptitude
○
Challenger
Pedigree: Deep Brillante / Johannesburg
Jockey: Mirai Iwata
AI Odds: 3.5x
Excellent pedigree for the turf start. Impressive workout times (80.6s for 6f) show high completion. Highly rated by the trainer; a strong contender if it gets a good start.
Dark Horse Candidates
#11 Catarite
18.8x Odds
Speed Star for a Front-Running Victory
A leading dark horse with excellent dash ability. Stable comments suggest a fast start and course suitability. The high odds offer significant betting value for a potential wire-to-wire win.
#1 Lightning Rod
12.8x Odds
Advantage and Risk of the Innermost Gate
The inside gate is risky, but its pedigree suggests resilience. Improving condition. If the jockey can secure a good forward position, a top-three finish is highly possible.
#8 Jasper Leon
16.5x Odds
High-Risk, High-Reward Power
A foreign-bred horse with top-class leg power shown in training. However, slow gate speed is a major concern. A true boom-or-bust option with explosive potential.
Data Comparison Analysis
Training Time Comparison (Final Furlong)
Ten Magic Hour
11.4s (S)
Red Brighton
11.6s (A+)
Peptide Leon
11.6s (A)
Ivy Meow
11.8s (A-)
Catarite
12.5s (B+)
Lightning Rod
12.5s (B)
Overall Evaluation Matrix
| Horse | Aptitude | AI Eval | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #7 Red Brighton | Extremely High | ◎ | 5.2 | High Value |
| #10 Ten Magic Hour | High | ○/△ | 2.8 | Favorite (Solid) |
| #6 Peptide Leon | High | ○ | 3.5 | Solid Challenger |
| #11 Catarite | High | △ | 18.8 | Best Buy |
| #9 Battle Axe | Average | ◎/△ | 10.3 | Underdog |
| #1 Lightning Rod | Average | △/▲ | 12.8 | Depends on Gate |
Final Evaluation & Betting Strategy
◎
Favorite: #7 Red Brighton
Decisive pedigree, top jockey, and excellent workout time. AI top rating with attractive odds makes it the best bet.
○
Challenger: #10 Ten Magic Hour
Fastest workout time and high reliability. The most likely winner, but lower odds value than the favorite.
▲
Dark Horse: #11 Catarite
Speedy front-runner with undervalued odds. A great target for win bets and exotics if it gets a clean break.
△
Underdog: #6 Peptide Leon
Stable and fast, with strong trainer comments. Can challenge the top two but finishing power is a slight question mark.
☆
Special Mention: #1 Lightning Rod
Improving horse with a strong pedigree. Worth including in trifecta bets despite the risky inside gate.
Recommended Bets
Build bets around #7 Red Brighton, exploiting the value discrepancy with other popular horses.
- Win Bets#7 (High Value), #11 (High Payout)
- Quinella7 with 10, 6, 11 (7-11 has high potential)
- Trifecta7 → 10, 6, 11 → 10, 6, 11, 1, 9
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