Kuroshio Mile Championship 2025 Predictions

A data-driven analysis of key horses and race strategy for the premier mile race at Kochi Racecourse.

Key Takeaways

  • The preliminary race on Oct 26 is the most critical data point. Win Verde dominated, proving top-class speed.
  • The distance extension to 1600m is the biggest challenge. It’s a clash between the speed of the 1400m group and the stamina of proven middle-distance runners like Meisho Uzumasa.
  • Excellent Time’s versatility and high consistency make him a reliable contender to build bets around.
  • Among the horses returning from Nagoya, watch for Sunrise Grit with jockey Shu Akaoka, and Baritono, who has a strong record at Kochi.

Overview of the 21st Kuroshio Mile Championship

The “21st Kuroshio Mile Championship,” the deciding race for Kochi Racecourse’s autumn mile champion, is here. This race, the 6th at Kochi with a post time of 18:05, is a set-weight contest over 1600m on dirt for a first-place prize of ¥10,000,000.

This analysis is based solely on objective performance data from the provided ability and pedigree charts. We have excluded all speculation and subjective condition assessments to offer an objective analysis based purely on the “実績” (achievements) and “能力” (abilities) demonstrated by the horses in past races.

The 1600m distance at Kochi is a key challenge, extending from the more common 1400m. Speed alone is not enough; the final stretch will clearly separate horses by stamina, making it a true test of overall ability.

Prediction Point 1: Deep Dive into the “Preliminary Race” Data

The race held on October 26, 2025, about two weeks prior, is the most crucial data for gauging each horse’s current condition and momentum. The results directly indicate the current power balance.

“A-2 Sa” (10/26, 1400m, Sloppy) Results & Insights

Four contenders in this race—Win Verde, Gratias Goo, Namura Boss, and Meisho Uzumasa—faced off directly here.

  • 1st: Win Verde
    A decisive victory with a time of 1:29.8, 0.7 seconds ahead of the runner-up. Showed strong racing from the 3rd position on a sloppy track, proving his speed is top-class in Kochi’s A-rank 1400m races.
  • 3rd: Gratias Goo
    Despite being the 6th favorite, finished a strong 3rd, only 0.9 seconds behind the winner. He finished ahead of the day’s favorite, Meisho Uzumasa (6th), indicating excellent current form.
  • 6th: Meisho Uzumasa
    As the favorite, he was soundly defeated, finishing 6th, 1.1 seconds behind Win Verde. This shows that in a 1400m speed contest, he currently lacks the momentum of the top two.

“Opal Stakes” (10/26, 1400m, Sloppy) Results & Insights

2nd: Excellent Time
A narrow defeat, just 0.1 seconds behind the winner. He also finished 2nd in his previous race, the “Sango-kan” (9/28, 1900m), showing high consistency. His Kochi record (1 win, 7 seconds, 2 thirds) makes him a classic “silver collector,” but his reliability and ability to perform well at different distances make him a prime candidate for the cornerstone of any bet at 1600m.

Prediction Point 2: “1600m” Distance Aptitude (Stamina vs. Speed)

The Kuroshio Mile Championship is a 1600m race. The second key question is whether the “speed” of the 1400m group will prevail over the “stamina” of the 1900m group and proven 1600m performers.

Proven Runners at 1600m and Above

  • Meisho Uzumasa
    Won at 1600m four starts ago, making him the only horse in the field with a recent victory at this distance. His poor showing at 1400m last time could actually be a sign of his preference for longer distances, making this return to 1600m a perfect opportunity for a comeback.
  • Espoir Guy
    A stamina type with good results at longer distances than 1400m, including a 3rd place finish at 1900m in his last race. 1600m is well within his range.
  • Good Humor
    Has excellent aptitude for 1600m to 1800m, but this is his first race in about 5 months. For an 11-year-old horse, a strong performance after a long layoff is statistically unlikely.

Concerns for Horses Stretching Out from 1400m

Win Verde
His last four races have all been at 1400m or 1300m. The evaluation comes down to weighing his “momentum from a recent win” against the “uncertainty of an untried 1600m.” His pedigree (sire: Roses in May) suggests he may have the stamina, so the distance increase isn’t necessarily a negative.

Prediction Point 3: Evaluating Jockeys and Horses from Other Regions

Two horses recently raced away from Kochi at Nagoya Racecourse. How to interpret their losses in these “away games” is the third key point.

How to View the Two Horses Returning from Nagoya?

  • Sunrise Grit
    Finished 4th at 1500m in Nagoya last time, but now gets top Kochi jockey Shu Akaoka. The fact that the stable has assigned their go-to jockey for a major home race suggests a higher level of commitment than the finishing order might imply.
  • Baritono
    Suffered a major defeat in Nagoya, but two starts ago at Kochi 1400m, he ran an excellent 2nd, finishing ahead of both Sunrise Grit and Meisho Uzumasa. He may possess top-tier speed on the Kochi track, and if his odds drop due to his last race, he could offer great value.

21st Kuroshio Mile Championship Entry List & Data

No.HorseJockeyStableWeightLast 4 Starts (Recent on Right)
1Meisho UzumasaRyota OkaNakanishi578/3(1600m/1st), 9/14(1400m/5th), 9/28(1900m/7th), 10/26(1400m/6th)
2Excellent TimeIsamu GomaKawano578/3(1400m/6th), 9/14(1400m/3rd), 9/28(1900m/2nd), 10/26(1400m/2nd)
3Nixon TesoroSho KatoM. Tanaka576/8(1400m/3rd), 7/6(1400m/7th), 7/20(1300m/11th), 8/3(1400m/8th)
4Sunrise GritShu AkaokaH. Miyagawa577/20(1300m/5th), 8/14(Kas1600m/4th), 9/14(1400m/3rd), 10/16(Nag1500m/4th)
5Namura BossMakoto TadaraS. Kudo579/14(1400m/6th), 9/28(1900m/10th), 10/12(1400m/7th), 10/26(1400m/4th)
6Win VerdeEi InoueUchikoshi577/6(1400m/5th), 7/20(1300m/4th), 8/3(1400m/5th), 10/26(1400m/1st)
7Espoir GuyTakuya OkamuraT. Saika577/6(1400m/3rd), 8/3(1600m/5th), 9/14(1400m/8th), 9/28(1900m/3rd)
8BaritonoItsuki JonoKurakane577/20(1300m/7th), 8/14(Son1230m/2nd), 9/14(1400m/2nd), 10/16(Nag1500m/6th)
9Meiner CitrusTaiga NagamoriUchikoshi578/3(1400m/9th), 9/14(1400m/6th), 9/28(1600m/8th), 10/12(1400m/3rd)
10Gratias GooKensuke HayashiKawano578/3(1400m/3rd), 9/14(1400m/9th), 9/28(1900m/6th), 10/26(1400m/3rd)
11Good HumorHiroshi SeoUchikoshi573/9(1600m/7th), 4/13(1900m/7th), 5/25(1600m/3rd), 6/21(1800m/2nd)

Conclusion: Final Verdict Based on Data Analysis

This article has analyzed the key prediction points for the 21st Kuroshio Mile Championship based on objective performance data. The biggest question is whether the “momentum” of Win Verde, fresh off a decisive preliminary win, can overcome the challenge of the 1600m distance. His main rivals—the consistent Excellent Time, the distance-suited Meisho Uzumasa looking for a rebound, and the returning campaigners with jockey changes and course suitability—hold the keys to the race.

For the final conclusion, top picks, and recommended bets based on this data, please check the expert’s opinion at the link below.

See the Pro Tipster’s Final Picks & Bets

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