Comprehensive Workout Analysis of All 18 Runners
Key Takeaways
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Tastiera: Peak Form
Highest evaluation with “condition arrow ↗”. Sharp workouts signal a full recovery and readiness to reclaim Derby-winning form.
Danon Decile: Explosive Power
Recorded a blistering 78-second range workout time. The Derby winner is fully prepped for a powerful comeback.
Croix du Nord: Young Gun
The 3-year-old shows astonishing growth, clocking an 11.1s final furlong twice, highlighting exceptional speed.
Race Outlook & Analysis Method
The 45th Japan Cup, held at Tokyo Racecourse over 2400 meters, is a true test of a thoroughbred’s completeness. This prestigious international event pits established champions against rising stars. Our analysis moves beyond surface-level stats, prioritizing pre-race workout data to provide an objective, data-driven evaluation of each contender’s physical and mental condition leading up to the big day. We integrate this with bloodline suitability, race history, and official comments to form a complete picture of readiness.
Detailed Runner Analysis
1. Justin Palace
Horse, 6yo, Ritto – Haru Sugiyama Stable
Definite improvement from the previous race. Mentally calm and physically excellent, indicating readiness.View Analysis
2. Croix du Nord
Horse, 3yo, Ritto – Takashi Saito Stable
Remarkable recovery and growth. Exceptional speed will be a major asset on Tokyo’s straight.View Analysis
3. Cosmo Curanda
Horse, 4yo, Miho – Shoji Kato Stable
An interesting contender in a tough race. Concerns about explosive speed remain, but his condition is good.View Analysis
4. Deep Monster
Horse, 7yo, Ritto – Koji Ide Stable
Fully matured after his previous win. No decline in condition; maintaining good form.View Analysis
5. Sunrise Earth
Horse, 4yo, Ritto – Masahiro Ishizaka Stable
Behavioral issues are improving. Has undergone rigorous training, indicating physical and mental fulfillment.View Analysis
6. Houou Biscuits
Horse, 5yo, Miho – Take Okumura Stable
Good movement, but distance is a concern. Needs a favorable race development.View Analysis
7. Danon Beluga
Horse, 6yo, Miho – Toshiaki Horita Stable
Possesses GI-class ability, but workout content raises concerns.View Analysis
8. Karandagan
Gelding, 4yo, France – F. Graffard Stable
No signs of fatigue from transport; smooth strides. An unknown quantity with potential.View Analysis
9. Seiun Hades
Horse, 6yo, Ritto – Hiroshi Hashiguchi Stable
Condition is stable, but mental improvement is essential for winning a GI.View Analysis
10. Struve
Gelding, 6yo, Miho – Toshiaki Horita Stable
Previous race defeat can be disregarded. Condition is improving, making him a dark horse to watch.View Analysis
11. Admire Terra
Horse, 4yo, Ritto – Tomomichi Yada Stable
Potential for this well-bred horse to bloom. Prepared for a long-distance race and is a serious contender.View Analysis
12. Yoho Lake
Horse, 7yo, Ritto – Tomomichi Yada Stable
Shows no signs of decline at 7 years old. Further progress is expected in his second race after a break.View Analysis
13. Brady Vague
Mare, 5yo, Miho – Kazuhiro Miyata Stable
Significant improvement expected in her second race after a break. Has the potential for a turnaround if the race unfolds favorably.View Analysis
14. Danon Decile
Horse, 4yo, Ritto – Shohei Yasuda Stable
Fully prepared for the Derby winner’s comeback. The impressive workout content makes him a central contender.View Analysis
15. Masquerade Ball
Horse, 3yo, Miho – Tetsuzuka Stable
While not showing significant improvement, maintaining a high level of stability is commendable.View Analysis
16. Shin Emperor
Horse, 4yo, Ritto – Yahagi Stable
The stamina of European bloodlines should not be underestimated. Has undergone rigorous training without any concerns about his condition.View Analysis
17. Durezza
Horse, 5yo, Miho – Osamu Seki Stable
Expecting a turnaround from his previous race. If the intensified training proves effective, he has a good chance of regaining his former form.View Analysis
18. Tastiera
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Horse, 5yo, Miho – Toshiaki Horita Stable
The Derby winner is signaling a full comeback. His workout evaluation is No.1, and he cannot be overlooked.View Analysis
Final Workout Speed Ranking
| Rank | Horse | Last 1F (s) | Eval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croix du Nord (#2) | 11.1 | S |
| 2 | Deep Monster (#4) | 11.2 | A |
| 2 | Danon Beluga (#7) | 11.2 | B |
| 4 | Sunrise Earth (#5) | 11.4 | A |
| 4 | Houou Biscuits (#6) | 11.4 | B |
| 4 | Brady Vague (#13) | 11.4 | S |
| 4 | Danon Decile (#14) | 11.4 | S |
| 4 | Tastiera (#18) | 11.4 | S |
Croix du Nord’s 11.1s is exceptional. Others clocking 11.4s at ease show strong potential.
Top Workout Recommendations
18
Tastiera
The only horse with a “condition arrow ↗”, signaling a full comeback. Workout evaluation is number one.
14
Danon Decile
Jaw-dropping 78.2s workout. The Derby winner is in peak physical condition and ready to unleash his speed.
2
Croix du Nord
Astonishing growth and speed with back-to-back 11.1s final furlongs. A formidable 3-year-old talent.
Ready for the Final Prediction?
Our final assessment combines this workout data with track conditions, race development scenarios, and expert betting strategies.View Full Prediction & Betting Strategy
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