Kawasaki 11R – Race Analysis & Predictions
Nov 21, 2025
1500m Dirt
Condition: Good (良)
Pred. Time: 1:36.0
Main Favorite
Snowshoe (4枠4番)
M, 4 y.o. | Jockey: Honda Shige | Weight: 55kg
S
- Exceptional Course Suitability: 100% top-2 finish rate at Kawasaki 1500m (3 wins, 1 second in 4 starts).
- Proven Ability: Last win at 1:36.0 demonstrates superiority in this class.
- Excellent Condition: Sharp final furlong (12.2s) in recent workout confirms peak form.
Key Rivals & Contenders
Soul Strike
(2枠2番) | 55kg
A
Proven performer returning to optimal distance. Inner draw is a major advantage for an efficient, ground-saving race. Signs of recovery in last race.
Eleonora
(6枠6番) | 55kg
B+
Talented filly with a prior 5-race winning streak. A potential upset if she can secure a good position early on. Good workout form.
Bagary Lotus
(8枠11番) | 52kg
B-
Likely pacesetter from the outside gate. The light weight of 52kg could make her difficult to catch if she sets a comfortable pace. Key to the race’s flow.
Other Notable Horses
Dear Sturm (3)B
Monument King (5)B-
Rude Man (9)B
Predicted Race Development
Start to Backstretch
Bagary Lotus (11) is expected to take the lead from the outside. Soul Strike (2) and Snowshoe (4) will settle into prime positions (3rd-4th) right behind the leader.
3rd to 4th Corner
Around the 600m mark, Snowshoe (4) will make a decisive move, challenging for and likely taking the lead by the final turn. Soul Strike (2) will attempt to follow on the inside rail.
Homestretch
Snowshoe (4) is predicted to have the stamina to pull away for a clear victory. The main battle will be for second place between a determined Soul Strike (2) and a closing Eleonora (6).
Betting Strategy
Odds Analysis: Snowshoe’s (4) win odds are expected to be low (1.8-2.2). The best value lies in Trifecta (3連単) and Quinella Place (馬単) bets with Snowshoe as the anchor.
Main Strategy (Trifecta)
Focus on Snowshoe winning, with key rivals filling the podium.
1st:4(Snowshoe)
2nd:
26
3rd:
2356911
Insurance & Value Bets
Cover potential upsets and higher payouts.
Quinella Place (馬単)
4 → 2, 6, 9
Quinella (馬連)
4 – 2, 6, 9, 11
Conclusion
The “Hadano City 70th Anniversary Memorial Award” appears to be a prime opportunity for Snowshoe to secure another victory and continue its promising career. While the horse is a standout favorite, the unpredictable nature of racing means rivals like Soul Strike and Eleonora could challenge for the top spots. The race dynamics, particularly the pace set by Bagary Lotus, will be crucial.
Disclaimer: This is an analysis based on available data. Horse racing is unpredictable. Please check the official racecourse website for final information, including horse weights, paddock conditions, and real-time odds before placing any bets.